Far-Flung-Lining — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

195 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.28K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-28 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

45% 12% +$309

Other

27% 17% -$777

Crypto

24% 36% -$117

Sports

5% 67% +$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	10	$582	47,067	0	+47,067	No	-$582	05-12 01:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$393	130,109	0	+130,109	No	-$393	04-29 01:14
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	12	$231	79,336	10,378	+68,958	No	-$135	03-29 06:44
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	6	$229	469	469	+0	No	-$5	03-30 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:45 UTC	4	$219	176	174	+2	Down	+$127	03-30 12:50
will trump say gay this week march 29	2	$164	139	139	+0	Yes	+$114	03-26 23:37
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	9	$151	84,330	10,330	+74,000	No	-$105	04-06 15:17
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$125	105	105	+0	Sean Strickland	+$85	05-10 06:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$121	1,272	235	+1,038	Yes	+$944	05-05 00:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$100	2,128	0	+2,128	Yes	-$100	10-28 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:50 UTC	7	$95	441	0	+441	Up	-$95	03-30 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	4	$67	48	48	+1	Up	+$28	03-30 12:45
fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	3	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$14	04-01 02:09
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 28	3	$52	369	0	+369	Yes	-$52	03-28 20:01
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	4	$45	448	0	+448	No	-$45	04-01 15:38
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 29 2026	2	$44	50	50	+0	No	-$4	03-30 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:55 UTC	3	$40	127	0	+127	Up	-$40	03-30 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:20 UTC	3	$37	31	31	+0	Down	+$24	03-30 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:00 UTC	2	$37	43	0	+43	Up	-$37	03-30 13:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$31	325	325	+0	No	-$1	03-31 23:07
will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$25	108	108	+0	No	+$1	04-01 13:10
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$22	3,065	3,065	+0	No	+$2	04-28 00:28
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?	2	$20	1,571	0	+1,571	No	-$20	05-09 16:53
will trump say jesus during national agriculture day events	1	$20	121	0	+121	No	-$20	03-26 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:10 UTC	4	$20	81	0	+81	Up	-$20	03-30 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:25 UTC	3	$18	195	0	+195	Down	-$18	03-30 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$15	17	10	+6	Up	+$3	05-04 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	3	$15	112	0	+112	Down	-$15	04-23 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$14	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	05-04 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	2	$14	80	0	+80	Up	-$14	03-30 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:05:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x86c489…
10-28 05:12:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,128	5¢	$100	0x4c02f0…
05-12 01:41:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	16,580	0¢	$17	0x0c74ce…
05-11 01:01:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4,444	1¢	$40	0x9c8e24…
05-11 01:01:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xd79823…
05-11 01:01:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12,299	1¢	$100	0xb3522b…
05-10 06:02:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x84db88…
05-10 00:50:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,355	5¢	$65	0x77b5ae…
05-10 00:49:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x92bb8f…
05-10 00:49:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,087	5¢	$50	0xbfddf1…
05-09 18:18:11	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x80151d…
05-09 17:38:53	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	552	3¢	$15	0xce6062…
05-09 17:38:41	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4,154	2¢	$100	0xaa39cf…
05-09 16:53:22	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xeaf887…
05-09 16:39:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5,378	3¢	$180	0x24a9f8…
05-09 16:31:20	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x6c2f1c…
05-09 16:30:30	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6e06cb…
05-05 00:22:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xd682a7…
05-04 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb3149b…
05-04 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xad77ca…
05-04 12:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3ac087…
05-04 12:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf8e740…
05-04 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe4d4f9…
05-04 12:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x75c596…
05-04 12:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23a8f8…
05-04 12:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xeb3ac8…
05-04 12:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x1a1cb7…
05-04 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x80cc88…
05-04 12:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x64d8b2…
05-04 12:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xab096c…
05-04 12:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xad24a9…
05-04 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x393d1c…
05-04 12:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x120286…
05-04 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x37b619…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x50a4f6…
05-04 11:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xc0c943…
05-04 11:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x268585…
05-04 11:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3ef5b8…
05-04 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2aecd5…
05-04 11:34:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$4	0xf95d4e…
05-01 21:58:08	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xc7b172…
05-01 21:57:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	6¢	$10	0x5351a1…
05-01 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5b1b17…
05-01 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6420ac…
05-01 15:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba995e…
05-01 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x790266…
05-01 05:31:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe78ad…
05-01 05:31:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,241	8¢	$105	0x8bbee3…
04-29 01:14:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	57,333	0¢	$172	0xf00200…
04-28 00:28:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$12	0xe34486…
04-28 00:28:08	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3,065	0¢	$12	0x073e60…
04-27 01:04:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	47,667	0¢	$143	0xc5882f…
04-24 21:39:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b7b21…
04-24 14:00:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x363a9d…
04-24 11:55:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5599a9…
04-24 11:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1ff7a3…
04-24 09:13:02	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,065	0¢	$10	0xa7e43a…
04-24 09:12:58	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x03a2db…
04-24 08:38:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x926dc8…
04-23 13:27:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x98839d…
04-23 13:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4e9143…
04-23 13:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaad401…
04-23 13:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbc3ed8…
04-23 13:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xded554…
04-23 13:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3d1d6a…
04-23 13:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7b007b…
04-23 11:48:10	will zeus be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa5f93b…
04-23 06:11:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x5720b2…
04-23 06:02:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x3710e2…
04-23 06:01:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3f9944…
04-23 05:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7693ee…
04-23 05:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9dee54…
04-06 15:17:09	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x11b9fb…
04-06 13:42:23	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	65,000	0¢	$65	0x2ab230…
04-01 15:38:45	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	133	10¢	$13	0x16984c…
04-01 15:26:23	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x39023f…
04-01 13:49:37	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	147	10¢	$15	0xf7ddea…
04-01 13:48:29	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0xa4cff1…
04-01 13:47:57	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	10,330	0¢	$23	0xae5f34…
04-01 13:47:27	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x660b03…
04-01 13:16:25	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	4,186	0¢	$14	0x6e1588…
04-01 13:10:05	will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	108	12¢	$13	0x4739df…
04-01 10:32:45	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x22127b…
04-01 10:32:05	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0x5cbb3d…
04-01 10:31:57	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xa22e97…
04-01 10:31:29	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	3,144	1¢	$17	0xfe7698…
04-01 04:25:45	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfc237f…
04-01 04:19:19	will trump say kanye or taylor swift in march	Yes	BUY	197	3¢	$5	0x3db7e6…
04-01 02:09:45	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x57488e…
04-01 00:56:43	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 usa	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x50753f…
03-31 23:07:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x60745c…
03-31 22:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4ece02…
03-31 13:19:33	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe2ffbe…
03-31 12:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xda6fe7…
03-31 12:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x97a273…
03-31 12:50:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd80ec4…
03-31 12:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xea3476…
03-31 12:47:15	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 usa	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x45526e…
03-31 12:46:41	fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8b6a17…
03-31 12:46:01	will trump say kanye or taylor swift in march	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf9803c…