Damp-Wood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

97% 82% +$41

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	0	+100	Yes	+$54	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$42	121	0	+121	No	-$42	05-13 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$42	100	0	+100	Yes	+$58	06-04 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$41	100	0	+100	No	-$41	06-04 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$41	120	0	+120	No	-$41	05-13 02:34
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	05-18 00:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$35	100	0	+100	No	-$35	05-18 00:20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$23	100	0	+100	No	-$23	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$22	120	0	+120	Yes	+$98	05-13 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	06-25 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	05-25 02:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$12	100	0	+100	Yes	+$88	05-18 00:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	06-04 05:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$7	120	0	+120	No	-$7	05-13 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-29 00:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on June 1?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 00:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-25 07:13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-30 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 29?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-29 01:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-07 01:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on June 1?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-01 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 1?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-01 01:18
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-06 01:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 02:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 6?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-06 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xf53fd6…
06-25 07:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x43088c…
06-25 07:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x00d03d…
06-04 05:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x00f4a4…
06-04 05:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf26124…
06-04 05:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x4a4b32…
06-01 01:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5f844c…
06-01 01:15:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x92dfed…
06-01 01:13:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd4e4db…
06-01 01:07:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7d2099…
06-01 00:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xb774d2…
05-25 07:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x16140e…
05-25 07:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5af5b0…
05-25 07:13:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ae826…
05-25 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe088ac…
05-25 07:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa0060…
05-25 07:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8fdc71…
05-25 07:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x00dc75…
05-25 07:10:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x64fa4c…
05-25 02:38:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x09b079…
05-25 02:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x11f000…
05-25 02:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x06ce27…
05-25 02:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf47ae1…
05-25 02:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xec3430…
05-25 02:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xc9c782…
05-18 00:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd19b54…
05-18 00:20:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0xd2eeb8…
05-18 00:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x21f897…
05-18 00:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x2f3e1f…
05-13 02:39:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x3cfdb4…
05-13 02:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xe917b5…
05-13 02:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x735da8…
05-13 02:36:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xe0ee72…
05-13 02:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0x02f1f6…
05-13 02:35:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x7d06d0…
05-13 02:35:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xd48d25…
05-13 02:35:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x87d41c…
05-13 02:34:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9143ce…
05-13 02:34:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x18c62f…
05-13 02:34:23	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xef9e48…
05-13 02:34:23	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xec01eb…
05-13 02:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	34¢	$31	0x72d25a…
05-10 03:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x218ff2…
05-10 03:22:13	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd13376…
05-10 03:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43f045…
05-10 02:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x015ac9…
05-10 02:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x99a044…
05-07 01:38:51	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x253d5d…
05-07 01:38:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd185b7…
05-07 01:37:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x937569…
05-07 01:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb3822f…
05-07 01:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6cca8f…
05-07 01:36:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x78dd60…
05-07 01:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd65ee6…
05-07 01:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc3b77…
05-07 01:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8529f7…
05-07 01:34:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x019b9c…
05-07 01:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfe31b6…
05-06 01:18:10	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xecf19f…
05-06 01:17:46	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1042a3…
05-06 01:17:36	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3f890…
05-06 01:17:18	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on May 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x71a9d2…
05-06 01:17:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $695 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9fc02…
05-06 01:16:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe30623…
05-06 01:16:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6436a1…
05-06 01:16:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1a90c5…
05-06 01:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73de8d…
05-06 01:15:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf39658…
05-06 01:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9fab64…
05-06 01:14:08	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb09ec…
05-06 01:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x729b24…
05-06 01:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x57a14b…
05-06 01:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xba2303…
05-06 01:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b3942…
05-06 01:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6801c2…
05-06 01:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc13410…
04-30 02:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x05528d…
04-30 01:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x262dae…
04-30 01:00:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x22c01f…
04-30 01:00:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd6e57c…
04-30 00:59:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x37ef8a…
04-30 00:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8ac33a…
04-30 00:58:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdec10f…
04-30 00:58:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ebf59…
04-30 00:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9bc47…
04-29 01:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7327fe…
04-29 01:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4d6167…
04-29 00:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1c9a30…
04-29 00:46:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b9ee2…