Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,493

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 04-21 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

48% 20% $-11

Crypto

31% — —

Other

20% 0% $-9

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	82	$9.0K	7,947	7,947	+0	open	—	03-16 02:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	22	$1.8K	1,579	1,578	+0	Yes	$-8	03-15 13:35
iran leadership change by march 31	20	$1.4K	1,659	1,659	+0	open	—	03-11 17:46
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	12	$1.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-12 00:27
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	12	$1.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	03-13 22:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	20	$991	892	892	+0	open	—	03-15 03:47
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	96	$698	712	712	+0	Yes	$-6	04-01 19:51
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	14	$581	570	570	+0	open	—	03-13 23:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	15	$508	577	577	+0	open	—	03-09 19:34
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	8	$431	556	556	+0	open	—	03-15 03:47
will president trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in march	13	$415	444	444	+0	open	—	03-15 13:35
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	6	$328	236	236	+0	open	—	03-14 21:19
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$316	375	375	+0	open	—	03-09 19:33
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	35	$306	308	308	+0	open	—	04-20 07:11
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	40	$304	307	307	+0	open	—	03-30 02:08
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?	35	$302	351	351	+0	open	—	03-30 02:10
btc updown 15m 1772717400	5	$291	200	198	+2	open	—	03-05 13:41
btc updown 15m 1772774100	6	$259	208	205	+3	open	—	03-06 05:22
btc updown 15m 1772736300	4	$255	200	198	+2	open	—	03-05 18:59
btc updown 15m 1772723700	12	$225	215	212	+3	open	—	03-05 15:21
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 13:01
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	4	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 13:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$188	150	150	+0	Yes	+$2	03-13 21:59
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	32	$185	236	216	+20	open	—	04-20 20:37
btc updown 15m 1772726400	2	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 16:06
btc updown 15m 1772777700	2	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 06:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	03-15 13:00
btc updown 15m 1772735400	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 18:35
btc updown 15m 1772781300	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 07:20
btc updown 15m 1772780400	2	$163	100	99	+1	open	—	03-06 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 04:43:48	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa2b05f…
04-21 04:43:42	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xac62a6…
04-21 04:43:06	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x3ec753…
04-21 04:43:04	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xd07af2…
04-21 02:38:44	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8bfc56…
04-21 00:39:34	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x3841ee…
04-21 00:39:28	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x4d2310…
04-21 00:39:24	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xa9d8d9…
04-21 00:39:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xd3a64a…
04-20 23:24:02	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x771daf…
04-20 22:40:04	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xc1c8d8…
04-20 20:37:22	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfbaa70…
04-20 16:33:32	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f623b…
04-20 16:33:26	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	46	27¢	$12	0x7b6c3a…
04-20 08:30:22	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x8631af…
04-20 08:29:54	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x3a4e46…
04-20 08:29:08	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x16770e…
04-20 07:14:54	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x3c5a9f…
04-20 07:11:38	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x7c8f0c…
04-20 06:02:10	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x39e378…
04-20 00:52:50	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x96d838…
04-19 22:28:54	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa15a96…
04-19 15:58:08	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf2a3e7…
04-19 15:45:10	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7f6391…
04-19 15:25:58	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x74a818…
04-19 15:25:16	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x50be46…
04-19 13:39:08	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x88b3cc…
04-19 13:38:28	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x0e5d71…
04-19 13:37:42	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xa5023b…
04-19 13:36:10	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x524b9a…
04-19 13:35:40	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xacf49e…
04-19 13:35:16	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x8669f2…
04-19 13:35:14	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xb8bf3a…
04-19 13:35:02	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x3d6382…
04-19 13:34:54	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$15	0xd47daf…
04-19 09:50:52	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x938650…
04-19 09:35:30	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x40af5a…
04-19 09:35:28	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x9edd7a…
04-19 08:39:48	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8cc323…
04-19 08:22:28	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xa0540e…
04-19 08:18:50	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xae833e…
04-19 08:18:12	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0x82e2a3…
04-19 03:00:42	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x18b3da…
04-19 02:17:08	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xf924ff…
04-18 23:45:42	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x98879d…
04-18 20:11:50	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xfc96f6…
04-18 19:15:12	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x73b36c…
04-18 18:40:38	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0479ba…
04-18 18:29:56	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xdeda59…
04-18 16:58:40	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8bde5a…
04-18 15:27:26	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa0a906…
04-18 14:45:40	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x91eb2a…
04-18 14:45:40	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x7a7a96…
04-18 14:14:28	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8e3886…
04-18 14:07:34	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc2972e…
04-18 14:06:58	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x00ba31…
04-18 10:07:22	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xdac1fc…
04-18 10:06:02	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x1272a6…
04-18 10:05:54	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x159caa…
04-18 10:05:44	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf709e1…
04-18 10:04:50	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xf3a5ee…
04-18 08:19:04	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xa2cd73…
04-18 03:50:48	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x143a19…
04-18 03:50:38	Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x37b5b2…
04-17 20:45:10	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x111600…
04-17 12:53:24	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb3f318…
04-17 10:21:08	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x911ff3…
04-17 10:20:02	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x22deb5…
04-17 08:30:32	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x95287c…
04-17 08:30:16	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x91608c…
04-17 05:09:36	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0x20b743…
04-16 20:25:26	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x056dd3…
04-16 08:33:08	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x43d7c3…
04-16 08:33:00	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xe1c326…
04-16 06:04:50	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x77fa52…
04-15 19:18:24	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xdef808…
04-15 17:31:06	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8c041c…
04-15 12:27:38	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6313ba…
04-15 12:15:30	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8c9009…
04-15 11:58:28	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa2aaa2…
04-15 10:51:24	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xe552d5…
04-15 10:51:18	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xa10fd5…
04-15 10:51:12	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x1167cf…
04-15 10:48:54	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x27b259…
04-15 10:45:14	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x842b78…
04-15 09:20:24	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3e6ea8…
04-15 08:37:30	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x470af7…
04-15 07:47:20	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x644bfc…
04-15 05:49:14	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x079755…
04-15 03:59:52	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe2138a…
04-15 03:39:58	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x96ad0d…
04-15 03:37:28	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xc97e1d…
04-15 03:15:28	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5c41fc…
04-14 22:45:26	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3a0093…
04-14 22:22:04	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbf2a9f…
04-14 17:51:10	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x34e3a9…
04-14 17:51:10	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x34e3a9…
04-14 17:10:02	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x17ce79…
04-14 17:10:02	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x17ce79…
04-14 13:43:23	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x098c2a…