Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$583

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$80

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 11-04 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

53% 62% -$105

Other

47% 50% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+20	$19	94¢	$19	+$0	11-04 17:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+20	$15	92¢	$18	+$3	11-04 17:55
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$8	97¢	$10	+$1	10-20 23:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+10	$7	95¢	$10	+$3	10-20 23:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+10	$8	94¢	$9	+$1	10-01 03:31
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	+10	$8	78¢	$8	+$0	11-04 17:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+10	$5	64¢	$6	+$1	10-20 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:57:22	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2e165d…
11-04 17:55:55	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x04da03…
11-04 17:51:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8fe494…
10-20 23:48:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdd7e30…
10-20 23:46:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb76156…
10-20 23:42:12	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf31861…
10-01 03:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x540e86…
09-14 13:45:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9e0fe4…
08-28 18:34:13	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xc2304c…
08-28 18:31:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xe1db22…
08-28 18:30:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xceddca…
08-28 18:28:55	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcd2ec5…
08-28 18:12:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c41e8…
08-28 00:05:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xaefed4…
08-13 06:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xc0f1e7…
08-13 06:37:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xddc24f…
08-11 23:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdfc1ee…
08-11 22:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x67a9d2…
08-11 22:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x03880a…
08-11 22:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x81f614…
08-11 22:41:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb52130…
08-09 17:07:27	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x42ce0a…
08-09 16:58:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbd9fb8…
08-09 16:57:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x41f181…
08-09 16:51:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5f7374…
08-09 16:45:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8aeaf8…
07-09 20:24:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8f45cb…
07-09 20:22:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 shots brahim diaz gte1	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x8b726f…
07-09 20:21:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals chemsdine talbi gte1	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x6e58bc…
07-09 20:21:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals chemsdine talbi gte1	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x2f12bf…
07-09 20:15:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xcd01eb…
07-07 22:06:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte1	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfd3108…
07-07 20:56:59	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte1	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xca0102…
07-07 20:54:08	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte1	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x43b9dc…
06-13 15:17:28	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9f1aca…
06-13 15:16:39	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x41e2ef…
06-12 13:30:19	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe71eff…
06-11 14:14:52	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,190	2¢	$30	0x4c425e…
06-10 00:23:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,190	8¢	$100	0x268804…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$130	1,190	1,190	+0	No	-$70	06-11 14:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$3	08-28 18:30
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	-$36	08-28 18:34
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte1	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	07-07 22:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$19	23	0	+23	Yes	+$4	08-28 00:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	08-09 16:57
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	11-04 17:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals chemsdine talbi gte1	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	07-09 20:21
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	09-14 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	08-28 18:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	11-04 17:55
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	1	$15	25	0	+25	Under	+$10	07-09 20:24
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	08-09 16:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	-$14	07-09 20:15
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by september 30 2026	1	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	08-28 18:31
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-08-09?	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	08-09 17:07
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	-$10	08-28 18:28
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Under	-$10	06-13 15:16
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Under	+$7	06-12 13:30
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Under	-$10	06-13 15:17
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	10-20 23:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	10-01 03:31
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	11-04 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	3	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	-$8	08-11 23:14
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 shots brahim diaz gte1	1	$7	15	0	+15	Yes	-$7	07-09 20:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	08-09 16:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-20 23:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-20 23:46
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	08-11 22:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-11 22:59