Shrill-Settlement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$197

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-07 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 67% +$7

Other

41% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+368	$200	54¢	$197	$-3	07-04 09:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$766	3,859	776	+3,083	open	—	02-03 13:13
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	3	$605	387	387	+0	open	—	06-26 03:54
btc updown 5m 1774311300	4	$604	315	315	+0	open	—	03-24 00:19
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$522	323	323	+0	open	—	06-30 19:15
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	5	$428	247	247	+0	open	—	07-07 17:30
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	5	$421	280	280	+0	open	—	01-30 06:44
btc updown 5m 1774424700	2	$407	416	0	+416	open	—	03-25 07:49
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	2	$400	303	303	+0	open	—	07-01 15:05
btc updown 5m 1782334500	4	$397	240	240	+0	open	—	06-24 20:59
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	4	$397	299	298	+0	open	—	07-03 17:12
will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$377	294	294	+0	open	—	07-07 16:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$354	244	244	+0	open	—	03-05 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$310	317	0	+317	Up	+$7	05-14 05:18
btc updown 5m 1772588100	4	$256	144	143	+1	open	—	03-04 01:39
eth updown 5m 1772587800	3	$242	134	119	+15	open	—	03-04 01:34
btc updown 5m 1782216900	2	$227	149	149	+0	open	—	06-23 12:18
btc updown 5m 1782794100	2	$225	167	167	+0	open	—	06-30 04:37
btc updown 15m 1769752800	2	$223	179	176	+3	open	—	01-30 06:03
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	2	$222	122	122	+0	open	—	07-07 00:39
btc updown 5m 1782789600	2	$218	127	127	+0	open	—	06-30 03:22
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	4	$217	164	164	+0	open	—	06-26 00:48
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 0pt5	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	07-07 01:22
btc updown 5m 1782219300	2	$216	125	125	+0	open	—	06-23 12:58
cs2 vit mouz 2026 06 13	2	$215	127	127	+0	open	—	06-13 16:03
btc updown 5m 1782185700	2	$215	127	127	+0	open	—	06-23 03:38
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$214	137	137	+0	open	—	07-04 18:16
btc updown 5m 1782714900	2	$210	130	130	+0	open	—	06-29 06:38
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	2	$206	130	130	+0	open	—	06-26 02:30
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	2	$206	111	111	+0	open	—	07-07 01:38
btc updown 5m 1774251300	2	$206	109	109	+0	open	—	03-23 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 21:42:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x84a96b…
07-07 21:41:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	111	37¢	$41	0xbe4988…
07-07 21:40:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 second half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	132	32¢	$42	0x868fa2…
07-07 20:45:08	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x518237…
07-07 18:21:13	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xabd4b2…
07-07 17:30:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc68b19…
07-07 17:30:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x718ad8…
07-07 17:22:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xdf0163…
07-07 16:51:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 second half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	125	83¢	$104	0x185ec7…
07-07 16:44:31	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	256	60¢	$154	0x075050…
07-07 16:43:23	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x7762ad…
07-07 16:42:28	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xd6f2ce…
07-07 16:42:23	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xb75d0d…
07-07 16:17:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	132	90¢	$118	0xfe8be4…
07-07 09:36:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc278ca…
07-07 09:36:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x874263…
07-07 06:21:23	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x0f31e2…
07-07 06:19:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5f51ed…
07-07 01:38:43	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	SELL	111	95¢	$106	0xf590c5…
07-07 01:22:25	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0xcf8d6a…
07-07 00:54:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x36045c…
07-07 00:49:49	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xfd6a0f…
07-07 00:39:16	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x12e9fe…
07-06 18:20:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	127	78¢	$99	0x924ec0…
07-06 15:24:17	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x76713f…
07-06 15:12:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x0ef59a…
07-05 13:20:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	141	69¢	$97	0x84c360…
07-05 09:00:19	will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x7c478d…
07-05 07:36:56	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x1080e5…
07-05 07:30:28	btc updown 5m 1783236600	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8c0268…
07-04 18:16:41	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	137	83¢	$114	0xb905cc…
07-04 09:24:01	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0x287244…
07-04 09:09:44	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xcf43a8…
07-03 17:12:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	149	66¢	$99	0x17e4ff…
07-03 16:55:53	btc updown 5m 1783097700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6cb912…
07-03 16:39:04	btc updown 5m 1783096500	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x397e68…
07-03 15:44:28	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	123	80¢	$99	0x689de5…
07-03 15:40:29	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb6a9ee…
07-03 15:23:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	149	66¢	$99	0x76c131…
07-03 15:18:31	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa2d787…
07-03 15:07:16	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6d56ef…
07-03 09:08:25	btc updown 5m 1783069500	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x73da43…
07-03 09:07:02	btc updown 5m 1783069500	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4f31ea…
07-03 02:25:50	btc updown 5m 1783045500	Down	SELL	14	62¢	$8	0xdd1d6d…
07-03 02:25:26	btc updown 5m 1783045500	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe40d03…
07-02 05:23:20	btc updown 5m 1782969600	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x345303…
07-02 05:21:40	btc updown 5m 1782969600	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x00cf7b…
07-01 17:49:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0x2ff7b8…
07-01 17:40:53	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x71cef1…
07-01 15:10:22	btc updown 5m 1782918600	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7d7f4c…
07-01 15:05:40	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	SELL	303	66¢	$200	0xdbf13a…
07-01 12:33:41	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xb5822b…
07-01 12:33:41	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x3d3383…
07-01 12:33:11	btc updown 5m 1782909000	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x38d1e8…
07-01 12:17:01	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	SELL	120	82¢	$99	0x261f8d…
07-01 12:08:32	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9622be…
07-01 11:59:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x58f653…
07-01 04:01:22	btc updown 5m 1782878400	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc416c8…
06-30 19:15:25	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	323	100¢	$322	0x408658…
06-30 16:44:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xb8dbd4…
06-30 07:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782804000	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$9	0x87a3ea…
06-30 07:23:35	btc updown 5m 1782804000	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x665868…
06-30 07:18:44	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x981730…
06-30 07:18:20	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	SELL	42	30¢	$12	0xcc7083…
06-30 07:17:10	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7274fa…
06-30 06:47:46	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xdf2e01…
06-30 06:47:46	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xa0f99a…
06-30 06:47:46	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xa00684…
06-30 06:46:25	btc updown 5m 1782801900	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x10068f…
06-30 06:39:49	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Down	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0x603893…
06-30 06:37:58	btc updown 5m 1782801300	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa68492…
06-30 06:31:55	btc updown 5m 1782801000	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x8e01bc…
06-30 06:26:14	btc updown 5m 1782800700	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x04def5…
06-30 04:37:53	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	SELL	167	75¢	$125	0xf3f8b6…
06-30 04:35:26	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd41308…
06-30 03:22:19	btc updown 5m 1782789600	Down	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0xa3ebaa…
06-30 03:21:47	btc updown 5m 1782789600	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x3d3bd6…
06-30 03:17:43	btc updown 5m 1782789300	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x90fde8…
06-29 16:17:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	115	78¢	$90	0xb9d449…
06-29 16:12:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5ec1e4…
06-29 16:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782748800	Down	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x1abf6c…
06-29 16:01:05	btc updown 5m 1782748800	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6420e2…
06-29 15:59:35	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x242d53…
06-29 11:57:01	btc updown 5m 1782734100	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4153d…
06-29 06:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782714900	Down	SELL	130	85¢	$110	0xc93b5e…
06-29 06:38:16	btc updown 5m 1782714900	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x4fad42…
06-29 04:38:08	btc updown 5m 1782707700	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x57058d…
06-29 04:37:08	btc updown 5m 1782707700	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8c0e3b…
06-29 04:24:25	btc updown 5m 1782706800	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x9287c9…
06-29 04:24:25	btc updown 5m 1782706800	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x15c286…
06-29 04:21:11	btc updown 5m 1782706800	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x57427f…
06-29 04:19:16	btc updown 5m 1782706500	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x8380ac…
06-29 04:19:16	btc updown 5m 1782706500	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x0f9301…
06-29 04:17:41	btc updown 5m 1782706500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x25b16e…
06-29 04:14:13	btc updown 5m 1782706200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x86e81e…
06-29 02:13:04	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x3e1349…
06-28 23:49:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9860fe…
06-28 11:44:01	btc updown 5m 1782646800	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd54fde…
06-27 22:24:40	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x97a8fd…
06-27 22:22:16	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0xafd8cf…