Shrill-Settlement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved (90d)

103

Trades (90d)

485

1,488 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.1K

$66.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-10 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% -$436

Crypto

16% 66% +$123

Sports

3% 22% -$384

Politics

1% 70% -$26

Tech

1% 50% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	19	$1.6K	899	899	+0	Yes	+$14	08-31 17:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?	25	$1.2K	637	637	+0	Yes	+$40	08-23 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 2?	3	$1.1K	586	586	+0	No	+$85	09-02 05:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	16	$920	521	521	+0	Yes	+$34	08-27 20:08
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	16	$851	513	513	+0	Yes	-$22	08-28 23:56
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$766	3,859	776	+3,083	Yes	+$42	02-03 13:13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$749	1,075	1,668	-593	No	+$147	07-11 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 28?	22	$711	504	504	+0	Yes	-$82	08-28 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	2	$654	354	354	+0	Yes	+$54	08-01 09:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$633	373	373	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11?	3	$631	341	341	+0	No	+$31	06-11 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on July 31?	4	$610	318	318	+0	Yes	+$10	07-31 07:47
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	3	$605	387	387	+0	Over	+$5	06-26 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:15 UTC	4	$604	315	315	+0	Up	+$4	03-24 00:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	2	$603	306	306	+0	Yes	+$3	08-01 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?	8	$562	307	307	+0	Yes	+$49	08-30 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	6	$553	295	295	+0	Yes	+$31	09-07 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	10	$537	290	290	+0	Yes	+$25	08-29 22:00
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$522	323	323	+0	Norway	+$122	06-30 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?	3	$521	271	271	+0	Yes	+$21	06-09 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?	3	$469	278	278	+0	No	+$82	06-11 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	5	$464	261	261	+0	Yes	+$54	08-31 12:22
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	3	$459	294	294	+0	No	+$59	06-21 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	5	$429	226	226	+0	Yes	+$19	08-26 16:25
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	5	$428	247	247	+0	Over	+$28	07-07 17:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?	6	$427	241	241	+0	Yes	+$36	08-17 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10?	3	$426	229	229	+0	No	+$26	06-10 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?	3	$422	223	223	+0	No	+$22	06-12 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	2	$422	224	224	+0	Yes	+$22	07-29 07:34
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	5	$421	280	280	+0	No	-$36	01-30 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 23:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 10?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x54b749…
09-10 12:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xd1f600…
09-09 23:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 9?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xdbe4ec…
09-09 23:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 9?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x151177…
09-09 23:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 10?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x1fc4d9…
09-09 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x56ef23…
09-09 11:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x276e08…
09-09 11:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd58e27…
09-09 11:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbeba1…
09-09 10:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xe4da4e…
09-09 06:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 9?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xb7a11e…
09-09 06:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 9?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x7ef00c…
09-09 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 9?	No	BUY	106	72¢	$76	0xba221e…
09-09 03:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 10?	No	BUY	76	80¢	$61	0x08817d…
09-09 01:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 9?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xb213b4…
09-09 00:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	87	71¢	$62	0x2a3c9f…
09-08 23:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	158	72¢	$114	0x78f823…
09-08 23:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	96	70¢	$67	0xf3d608…
09-08 22:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 9?	No	BUY	115	66¢	$76	0xfe9047…
09-08 20:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7da6eb…
09-08 18:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	72	84¢	$61	0xc00e61…
09-08 13:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5118c7…
09-08 13:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x692a7f…
09-08 13:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e9baa…
09-08 13:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x1fe4a0…
09-08 13:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x9652d1…
09-08 13:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e7f9f…
09-08 12:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 10?	No	BUY	128	89¢	$114	0xa90558…
09-08 12:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	140	82¢	$114	0xe8a251…
09-08 11:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	178	64¢	$114	0x0054e3…
09-08 11:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xb55db0…
09-08 08:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe3ea18…
09-08 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x51a217…
09-08 08:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x808eca…
09-08 07:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	93	74¢	$70	0x2733a4…
09-08 02:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2e35e3…
09-08 02:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x1c6f93…
09-08 01:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	113	86¢	$97	0xe9ff8b…
09-08 01:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	65	78¢	$51	0x2fe503…
09-07 23:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xdc1844…
09-07 21:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	84	74¢	$62	0x77411c…
09-07 10:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xde1d3f…
09-07 10:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x77ea65…
09-07 09:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf677a9…
09-07 09:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x440818…
09-07 07:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	72	85¢	$61	0xebdf60…
09-07 06:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xa6b666…
09-04 05:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf56f64…
09-03 04:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf72298…
09-03 04:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x98c703…
09-03 04:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1b3e8b…
09-03 04:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x4d9cfa…
09-03 04:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0x0a3f1a…
09-03 04:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xc25f59…
09-03 04:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0x84e89b…
09-02 21:18:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 2?	Yes	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0x159a99…
09-02 21:17:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 2?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x5cff2f…
09-02 21:13:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	72	79¢	$57	0x9f26ca…
09-02 21:13:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc88e69…
09-02 06:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2623b8…
09-02 06:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4eb507…
09-02 05:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 2?	No	SELL	446	100¢	$446	0x19f59c…
09-02 05:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 2?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x08300c…
09-02 04:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	586	85¢	$500	0x6d63e5…
09-01 21:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x8efdc6…
09-01 20:47:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xd049d4…
09-01 20:18:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x977610…
09-01 19:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x279b69…
09-01 19:24:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	43	85¢	$37	0x1288a4…
09-01 15:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0xe9bac4…
09-01 15:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xf62397…
09-01 15:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x29f9bd…
09-01 13:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0x62a667…
08-31 22:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x235047…
08-31 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdbdaf0…
08-31 21:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9b932a…
08-31 21:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0xc43258…
08-31 20:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x72c12a…
08-31 20:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	176	75¢	$132	0xf540be…
08-31 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xfc3df9…
08-31 17:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0aad95…
08-31 17:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x0be93f…
08-31 16:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x3878a2…
08-31 16:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x0ea881…
08-31 15:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x00aaac…
08-31 15:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x513ae5…
08-31 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	38	78¢	$30	0xe8c8d2…
08-31 15:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	76	78¢	$59	0x7c2f22…
08-31 15:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	217	84¢	$182	0x9a7260…
08-31 15:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8c5012…
08-31 14:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	172	92¢	$158	0xa6efdb…
08-31 14:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x3af0a6…
08-31 14:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x38dfcf…
08-31 13:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x64eb5d…
08-31 13:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	676	92¢	$619	0xde63fb…
08-31 13:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x8ee7a2…
08-31 13:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xd31809…
08-31 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0xc9ceb4…
08-31 12:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x047e7d…
08-31 12:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x838ddb…