Twin-Riddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 50% +$1

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No		+2	$2	87¢	$2	$-0	05-04 22:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x457433…
05-05 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x295a53…
05-05 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5147ee…
05-05 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcceca2…
05-05 08:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3aa1a6…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x24793a…
05-04 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf52a00…
05-04 22:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbba4a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$735	33	05-05 11:51
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$680	12	05-05 11:50
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$548	26	05-05 11:50