Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$393

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-03 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

35% — —

Sports

7% 50% $-2

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes		-8	$-8	94¢	$-8	+$0	06-03 21:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	03-10 11:36
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$60	114	0	+114	open	—	04-11 13:18
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	04-27 07:54
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$30	44	15	+28	open	—	02-26 11:39
trump announces new drug boat strike by march 7 2026	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-08 13:12
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	5	$29	28,810	0	+28,810	open	—	04-13 14:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	3	$28	7,208	0	+7,208	open	—	04-29 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$24	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	1	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 06:47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$13	21	0	+21	Yes	+$8	03-01 15:40
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	02-26 10:06
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-26 13:30
dota2 aur1 xtreme 2026 02 26	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-26 20:14
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	$-10	04-16 07:57
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	1	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	06-03 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	29	29	+0	open	—	05-07 04:15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-16 07:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	03-01 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-29 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 21:02:07	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xa53bed…
05-07 04:15:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x643975…
04-29 19:59:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3707f0…
04-29 19:57:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	2,180	0¢	$2	0xe36b95…
04-29 08:15:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf2e066…
04-29 08:15:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1bd1a5…
04-29 08:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x21f006…
04-28 06:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xa4a108…
04-27 15:31:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x8bb4a8…
04-27 07:54:58	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	41	84¢	$35	0xc094fc…
04-16 07:57:32	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x06af80…
04-16 07:56:56	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9bddc4…
04-13 14:45:33	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	8,800	0¢	$9	0x8b46ab…
04-13 11:05:27	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9,950	0¢	$10	0xfe8d89…
04-13 10:54:45	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2,600	0¢	$3	0x99c00e…
04-13 10:53:47	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x09574b…
04-13 10:49:21	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2,460	0¢	$2	0xae21ad…
04-11 13:18:55	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x201f57…
04-10 09:33:59	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x57d590…
03-10 11:36:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0xe67ad3…
03-08 13:12:57	trump announces new drug boat strike by march 7 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x3a7072…
03-01 15:40:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x3789cc…
03-01 15:39:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7102ec…
03-01 15:37:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x699641…
02-26 20:14:02	dota2 aur1 xtreme 2026 02 26	Aurora	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x51f06c…
02-26 13:32:12	trump announces new drug boat strike by march 7 2026	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9740db…
02-26 13:30:12	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa26ea1…
02-26 11:39:16	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x2a8718…
02-26 11:39:10	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x85da1a…
02-26 11:31:22	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x36f0a3…
02-26 10:06:46	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xce5ebc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	13	$144.0K	2,272	06-01 00:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$77.6K	7,695	05-31 17:26
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	12	$45.6K	555	06-01 05:53
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	12	$27.2K	340	06-07 03:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	11	$7.15M	9,707	06-01 03:20
Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c	11	$205.4K	4,328	05-29 17:08
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	11	$29.3K	3,708	04-30 14:04
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	11	$4.22K	952	05-06 07:32