Candid-Duckling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down		+1	$1	94¢	$1	$-0	05-10 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	Down	+$1	05-10 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$0	0	1	-1	Down	+$0	05-10 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x707b38…
05-10 06:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7c5a7c…
05-10 06:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x412ce7…
05-10 06:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf5c30c…
05-10 06:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe27072…
05-10 06:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x920435…
05-10 06:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x82b9fa…
05-09 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc76ac…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.64K	133	05-10 09:40
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	5	$777	61	05-10 06:37
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	5	$656	72	05-10 09:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$2.27K	18	05-10 06:38
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$1.45K	9	05-10 06:38
Attentive-Consciousness 0xa6f6…b7a3	4	$1.14K	47	05-10 06:36
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	4	$565	45	05-10 06:37
Dutiful-Desert 0x4962…f1b2	3	$1.10K	11	05-10 06:38