Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$805

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$34

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 11-04 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

95% 23% +$826

Other

5% 85% -$19

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	+100	$14	12¢	$12	-$2	11-04 13:01
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+100	$11	11¢	$11	+$0	11-04 13:08
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	+50	$6	12¢	$6	+$0	11-04 13:11
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	+20	$2	12¢	$2	+$0	11-04 13:10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	+20	$2	8¢	$2	+$0	11-04 13:09
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+20	$1	6¢	$1	$0	11-04 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$2.8K	1,559	1,559	+0	Yes	+$148	09-20 18:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$2.1K	2,799	0	+2,799	Yes	+$712	11-03 16:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$85	130	130	+0	open	—	11-02 07:25
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	3	$33	88	88	+0	open	—	09-28 03:53
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	-$5	09-20 13:12
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	09-16 01:44
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	09-22 03:17
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	2	$14	100	0	+100	open	—	11-04 13:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$11	100	0	+100	No	-$11	09-15 10:58
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$11	100	0	+100	open	—	11-04 13:08
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$11	25	25	+0	No	-$9	09-22 15:13
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$10	41	41	+0	No	-$10	09-22 15:14
Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:12
Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:11
Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:14
Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:15
Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:14
Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:13
Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:11
Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:13
Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:14
Will United Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:10
Will United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:15
Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:11
Will United Russia win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:14
Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:14
Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-22 03:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	10-06 11:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	10-19 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:11:52	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf00bbb…
11-04 13:11:09	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x4bc51b…
11-04 13:10:57	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xaa048e…
11-04 13:09:54	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x098c32…
11-04 13:08:42	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc938a6…
11-04 13:01:24	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xd6b63d…
11-04 13:01:24	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x9f4e3e…
11-03 16:58:34	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,635	75¢	$1,976	0x5f8cc5…
11-02 07:26:46	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	64	73¢	$47	0x0aa030…
11-02 07:25:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	130	35¢	$46	0x683a6c…
11-02 07:09:40	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x2271c9…
10-26 10:04:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xbc22d2…
10-19 15:11:47	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe57f74…
10-19 15:03:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf883d6…
10-19 15:02:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6e9a26…
10-10 17:05:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x60e6b1…
10-10 17:04:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf58df4…
10-06 11:04:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xf2e039…
09-28 03:57:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x972b95…
09-28 03:53:53	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	88	12¢	$11	0x080703…
09-23 17:08:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xceb561…
09-23 12:51:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x041822…
09-23 12:49:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc5d19d…
09-22 15:15:45	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x70cce9…
09-22 15:14:03	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x605614…
09-22 15:13:36	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x1fa4d1…
09-22 15:07:33	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xd3676e…
09-22 03:17:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xc263e6…
09-22 03:15:24	Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd57703…
09-22 03:15:12	Will United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc083d3…
09-22 03:14:59	Will United Russia win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3b1be…
09-22 03:14:45	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb10e2e…
09-22 03:14:29	Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0d714…
09-22 03:14:17	Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0da4c4…
09-22 03:14:03	Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x562c18…
09-22 03:13:51	Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x540a8b…
09-22 03:13:38	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6f9ca…
09-22 03:12:09	Will United Russia win the next Altai Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x300814…
09-22 03:11:50	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2785ac…
09-22 03:11:35	Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x467aa8…
09-22 03:11:23	Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b20d4…
09-22 03:11:08	Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad46db…
09-22 03:10:26	Will United Russia win the next Lipetsk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd69ab2…
09-22 03:10:05	Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3ddbc…
09-21 07:05:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x853a8b…
09-21 07:01:36	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2a1585…
09-21 06:58:23	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0x61df40…
09-21 06:44:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xd1859c…
09-21 06:37:26	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0629d1…
09-21 06:07:38	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x28906a…
09-21 05:43:14	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x96c14a…
09-20 18:57:22	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x43c1de…
09-20 18:55:47	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1086de…
09-20 18:55:38	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea71ca…
09-20 18:55:13	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa6bf87…
09-20 18:55:02	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb2e3a2…
09-20 18:54:49	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x57ffa7…
09-20 18:52:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,559	94¢	$1,465	0x350aba…
09-20 13:13:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x2f80d5…
09-20 13:12:30	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x336a10…
09-20 13:12:03	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xf1d08a…
09-20 13:10:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	374	89¢	$333	0xcc00ab…
09-20 13:04:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	665	88¢	$585	0xd51a99…
09-17 13:29:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0xc8899f…
09-16 04:17:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfb768a…
09-16 01:44:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xaf088e…
09-15 11:47:30	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4d402d…
09-15 11:44:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0b479d…
09-15 11:15:10	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x438945…
09-15 11:14:37	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdcc02c…
09-15 11:12:15	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9090b2…
09-15 11:02:43	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x71b2da…
09-15 10:59:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x8b49d8…
09-15 10:58:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x382b2c…
09-15 10:56:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	130	78¢	$101	0x02eae0…