Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
331
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$270
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-05 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
82% 39% -$49
Politics
7% 62% +$18
Sports
6% 40% -$230
Crypto
3% 57% +$94
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$3
Tech
1% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +330 $216 66¢ $219 +$4 11-05 00:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +49 $31 60¢ $29 -$2 10-30 20:06
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-27 17:32
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 28¢ $5 +$0 10-27 19:10
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-27 17:32
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 10-28 09:28
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes -53 -$8 3¢ $-2 +$6 05-16 22:16