Shadowy-Pumpernickel 0xa859aa…0548b9
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$116
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
700
Trades
2,867
lifetime
Volume
$276.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$43
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-24 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
86% 52% -$5,605
Sports
10% 45% -$2,026
Politics
3% 44% +$1,302
Crypto
0% 50% -$159
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,514 $95 1¢ $23 -$72 06-29 00:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -37 -$12 39¢ $-14 -$3 08-07 12:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $5 49¢ $1 -$4 10-23 11:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-24 09:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $2 92¢ $1 -$1 06-30 01:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$1 07-31 01:59
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $7 32¢ $0 -$7 10-22 23:33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1 $6 26¢ $0 -$6 10-22 10:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 07-01 07:28
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 57¢ $0 $0 10-22 07:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $1 41¢ $0 $0 10-03 10:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 10-23 10:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1 $4 8¢ $0 -$4 10-21 23:41
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $4 55¢ $0 -$4 10-03 06:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $5 6¢ $0 -$5 07-27 08:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 10-18 11:09
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-20 14:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $7 2¢ $0 -$7 06-30 03:30