Incomplete-Reorganisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.41K

Unrealized P&L

+$575

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

155

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$122.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$337

Open exposure

$3.94K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-25 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 81% +$270

Politics

28% 100% +$1,563

Other

17% 100% +$1,439

Tech

3% 100% +$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes		+3,942	$3,367	100¢	$3.9K	+$575	10-25 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	2	$4.0K	2,037	2,037	+0	Yes	+$35	06-19 21:06
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	2	$3.5K	1,794	1,794	+0	Yes	+$47	06-08 23:11
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	3	$3.5K	1,947	1,946	+0	Yes	+$410	08-24 13:01
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	3	$3.5K	1,842	1,842	+0	Yes	+$155	09-29 16:45
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	3	$3.4K	3,621	0	+3,621	Yes	+$181	09-29 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 14:00 UTC	4	$3.4K	1,813	1,811	+2	Up	-$10	03-21 14:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$3.4K	3,942	0	+3,942	open	—	10-25 22:12
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	4	$3.1K	1,648	1,648	+0	Yes	+$172	09-27 17:33
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	Yes	+$59	05-31 09:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 14:15 UTC	8	$3.1K	2,201	2,184	+17	Down	-$202	03-21 14:20
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	3	$2.8K	1,512	1,512	+0	Yes	+$202	08-18 11:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,533	1,533	+0	Yes	+$84	05-12 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,391	1,377	+14	Down	+$377	03-21 17:50
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$2.3K	1,202	1,202	+0	Yes	+$96	05-09 10:35
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	3	$2.1K	1,151	1,151	+0	Yes	+$150	05-09 07:39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	Yes	+$10	04-30 07:54
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	3	$1.9K	1,006	1,006	+0	Yes	+$97	08-15 12:19
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.8K	976	976	+0	Yes	+$20	04-28 08:29
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	1	$1.8K	2,080	0	+2,080	Yes	+$302	06-08 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:40 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,120	1,109	+11	Up	+$76	03-21 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:50 UTC	3	$1.7K	904	901	+2	Down	+$68	03-21 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:45 UTC	3	$1.7K	918	915	+3	Up	+$56	03-21 16:48
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	4	$1.6K	826	825	+1	Yes	+$19	04-21 16:31
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	2	$1.6K	1,738	0	+1,738	Yes	+$178	06-02 19:28
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	2	$1.5K	1,583	0	+1,583	Yes	+$83	07-10 21:18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	2	$1.5K	1,665	0	+1,665	Yes	+$200	08-24 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	766	643	+124	Up	-$63	03-21 13:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$1.3K	779	779	+0	Yes	+$220	04-14 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 18:45 UTC	2	$1.1K	699	692	+7	Down	+$133	03-21 18:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.1K	581	581	+0	Yes	+$57	04-28 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:12:00	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,164	70¢	$815	0xfb4808…
10-06 08:45:10	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,778	92¢	$2,552	0x482fb8…
10-06 08:13:10	Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Yes	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0xc6c19d…
10-06 07:51:15	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	815	93¢	$760	0x07d58a…
09-29 16:46:53	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	1,895	95¢	$1,800	0x1b9a2f…
09-29 16:45:57	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,842	98¢	$1,805	0xcfa3fe…
09-28 07:35:06	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	884	95¢	$840	0x400cc0…
09-27 17:44:56	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	842	95¢	$800	0x1835b4…
09-27 17:33:47	Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,648	100¢	$1,645	0x46c3e2…
09-27 11:44:54	Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xa5200c…
09-23 17:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe80505…
09-23 17:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdb0e97…
09-22 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xedaa0e…
09-22 20:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6bf55a…
09-22 12:55:40	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xc3d16f…
09-21 12:28:14	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,785	90¢	$1,600	0xb6df04…
09-02 18:59:03	Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$65	0x9e3514…
08-28 19:25:13	Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,560	90¢	$1,400	0x2bf7f9…
08-24 13:53:18	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	795	88¢	$700	0x788241…
08-24 13:01:40	Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	1,946	100¢	$1,945	0xc63249…
08-22 09:52:07	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	869	88¢	$765	0x7f5c40…
08-19 07:38:57	Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0xd22b9e…
08-18 11:37:06	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	378	99¢	$374	0x9769c2…
08-18 11:36:37	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1,134	100¢	$1,128	0xdb510f…
08-17 12:15:31	Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	1,337	77¢	$1,034	0x71dcb1…
08-15 12:19:36	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1,006	99¢	$997	0xe9806c…
07-26 23:52:37	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xf2edbc…
07-23 21:16:25	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	247	97¢	$241	0x92abb2…
07-23 21:16:06	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	266	97¢	$259	0x7ecb12…
07-23 17:25:12	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0x08ea4a…
07-20 18:27:22	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1,512	86¢	$1,300	0xa04131…
07-14 08:47:44	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	BUY	572	96¢	$550	0x2ca66c…
07-12 15:46:10	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x959360…
07-12 15:45:11	Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x10eda6…
07-12 15:43:14	Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	Yes	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0x0b0aba…
07-10 21:18:35	Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	Yes	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0xbcda57…
07-08 08:38:29	Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	Yes	BUY	1,054	95¢	$1,000	0xa6abb3…
06-19 21:06:05	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	2,037	100¢	$2,035	0xc5e558…
06-19 20:47:20	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2,037	98¢	$2,000	0x446639…
06-08 23:14:00	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	2,080	85¢	$1,778	0x5cfe63…
06-08 23:11:12	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	1,794	100¢	$1,789	0x67186c…
06-04 08:47:04	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1,794	97¢	$1,742	0x84c24a…
06-02 19:28:20	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xa167b4…
06-02 10:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x09d718…
06-02 10:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	67	64¢	$43	0x598db3…
06-02 10:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0xc14dcc…
05-31 10:50:35	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	1,672	90¢	$1,500	0xe9949b…
05-31 09:42:15	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	1,579	99¢	$1,559	0xe13a8f…
05-17 21:39:16	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	1,579	95¢	$1,500	0x9f9323…
05-15 14:16:41	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	811	86¢	$700	0x650a0c…
05-12 11:37:01	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	655	84¢	$550	0xef0130…
05-12 07:33:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,533	84¢	$1,284	0xd80c66…
05-09 18:21:41	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,533	78¢	$1,200	0xce9d00…
05-09 10:35:57	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	1,202	99¢	$1,196	0x81d228…
05-09 08:14:12	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	1,202	91¢	$1,100	0xb146bc…
05-09 07:39:19	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	1,151	99¢	$1,140	0x6062cf…
04-30 08:14:36	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	105	86¢	$90	0xb19eae…
04-30 08:14:24	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	1,047	86¢	$900	0x993082…
04-30 07:54:50	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,012	99¢	$1,000	0x41b5b8…
04-29 12:29:24	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,012	98¢	$990	0x2475d1…
04-28 08:29:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	437	96¢	$418	0x001553…
04-28 08:29:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	581	99¢	$573	0xdc2434…
04-26 10:13:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	89¢	$517	0xd1276b…
04-26 10:09:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x8269a7…
04-26 10:08:16	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	449	96¢	$431	0xcd3e4c…
04-21 17:51:40	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	976	94¢	$915	0xdcebe2…
04-21 17:48:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0xe7cea1…
04-21 17:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	251	39¢	$99	0x04cab7…
04-21 17:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	302	71¢	$213	0x470850…
04-21 17:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0x6f68c8…
04-21 17:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	46	37¢	$17	0x4132b9…
04-21 17:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x32e42c…
04-21 16:31:38	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	SELL	420	100¢	$420	0xfa0d68…
04-21 15:15:22	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	SELL	207	98¢	$203	0x75cae1…
04-21 15:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	496	36¢	$178	0x2ff3cc…
04-21 15:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x273755…
04-21 15:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x4ed4d8…
04-21 15:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0x394b6a…
04-21 15:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0xbfcf96…
04-21 15:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xe81405…
04-21 15:01:16	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0x581058…
04-20 10:54:40	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	Yes	BUY	826	97¢	$801	0x1e2b35…
04-14 07:52:01	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	801	97¢	$773	0xb3415e…
04-14 07:24:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	779	99¢	$773	0xb00f7c…
04-10 09:17:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	319	71¢	$227	0xa948c3…
04-10 08:56:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	460	71¢	$327	0x9d0288…
03-22 10:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	339	85¢	$288	0xb6b607…
03-22 09:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	288	100¢	$288	0xd8922b…
03-22 09:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	288	97¢	$280	0xd9e688…
03-22 09:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	282	99¢	$280	0x32fe1a…
03-22 09:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	284	83¢	$236	0x5b23ca…
03-22 09:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x4543c7…
03-22 09:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	189	96¢	$180	0xe13937…
03-22 09:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	260	58¢	$150	0x0945a4…
03-22 09:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	311	64¢	$200	0x375222…
03-22 09:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	284	57¢	$161	0x216879…
03-22 09:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	287	70¢	$200	0x6b7b68…
03-22 09:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	127	51¢	$65	0x552f2c…
03-22 09:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd1ea0f…
03-22 09:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	260	69¢	$178	0xc6a359…