Each-Stench-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-04 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

52% 48% +$225

Other

43% 38% -$202

Sports

5% 38% -$130

Crypto

1% 0% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+192	$25	11¢	$21	-$4	07-21 03:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$2.4K	2,390	2,390	+0	No	-$119	04-20 00:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$1.1K	1,322	1,322	+0	Yes	+$11	04-13 18:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	9	$944	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	-$79	04-17 10:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$925	791	791	+0	No	+$213	04-30 12:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$888	711	696	+15	Yes	+$207	04-17 13:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$871	857	857	+0	Yes	+$72	04-13 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$778	576	570	+7	No	+$34	04-15 05:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$710	674	674	+0	No	+$30	05-06 22:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$635	588	588	+0	No	-$82	04-23 00:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	9	$633	795	795	+0	No	-$11	04-12 03:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$493	466	466	+0	No	-$7	05-01 15:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$474	530	530	+0	No	-$26	06-15 01:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$443	434	434	+0	No	+$139	04-29 12:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$393	455	455	+0	Yes	-$7	05-06 12:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$373	349	349	+0	No	+$73	05-23 04:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$360	510	500	+10	No	-$140	04-20 00:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$318	234	234	+0	No	+$47	04-09 12:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$306	333	333	+0	No	+$6	04-15 06:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$300	521	521	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 15:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$286	518	129	+388	Yes	-$146	05-01 00:34
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$279	227	227	+0	Yes	+$11	03-26 10:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	5	$273	144	287	-143	No	+$133	05-26 01:08
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$254	306	306	+0	No	+$57	03-16 00:51
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$236	169	169	+0	No	+$35	04-08 19:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	3	$234	209	204	+4	No	+$38	04-15 05:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$233	175	175	+0	Yes	+$33	04-02 13:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$224	202	202	+0	Yes	-$18	03-31 13:55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	5	$213	1,676	1,676	+0	Yes	-$207	09-21 23:55
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$205	152	152	+0	No	+$38	03-26 07:50
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$192	400	400	+0	No	-$8	04-09 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 10:30:29	Sydney Roosters vs. Newcastle Knights	Newcastle Knights	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x00ff52…
09-29 22:44:02	rlnrl syd new 2026 10 04	Newcastle Knights	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x11fbe2…
09-26 01:57:09	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xcb4e78…
09-21 23:55:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	1,676	0¢	$3	0xea0dbb…
07-22 10:18:25	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x1ebf42…
07-21 12:45:51	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0xe00145…
07-21 03:52:58	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xac6994…
07-19 21:32:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x1fbea6…
07-19 21:07:30	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	110	82¢	$90	0xdc09f2…
07-19 20:17:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x432da4…
07-19 14:25:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0xf31396…
07-19 11:51:24	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0x70b83a…
07-18 22:38:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x5541df…
07-18 12:43:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x96758f…
07-16 10:29:34	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x321051…
07-16 10:29:26	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x64e235…
07-16 10:29:20	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3cf88d…
07-16 10:27:25	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x621a2b…
07-15 21:21:43	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x3347cb…
07-15 13:27:46	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x4144be…
07-15 13:27:38	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf97f29…
07-14 21:33:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	256	19¢	$50	0x056dda…
07-14 21:05:28	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x7efb0c…
07-10 05:37:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xf4751d…
07-10 05:36:16	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x755ee3…
06-29 12:34:46	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe3c578…
06-18 23:04:10	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x597c13…
06-16 16:46:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x42434f…
06-16 04:40:12	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	284	18¢	$50	0x3b78b7…
06-16 04:39:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	562	8¢	$47	0xd35214…
06-15 20:07:36	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	185	22¢	$41	0xd6c69e…
06-15 05:05:00	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd63c58…
06-15 05:02:48	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by submission	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xcdc936…
06-15 04:51:12	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by submission	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x37b163…
06-15 04:50:18	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x3bef53…
06-15 04:44:19	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	111	34¢	$38	0x59afa0…
06-15 04:07:42	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	Under	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x11ce9f…
06-15 04:01:37	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x2143be…
06-15 03:23:04	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x30254c…
06-15 01:13:48	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3e4f8c…
06-15 01:08:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	191	37¢	$71	0x1ec10c…
06-15 00:38:06	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4b2ae1…
06-15 00:36:31	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xf233a9…
06-11 20:20:22	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2215ad…
06-10 12:45:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	64	72¢	$46	0x58e4ca…
06-07 20:01:24	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	562	9¢	$50	0x88defe…
06-02 19:34:11	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xa37c30…
06-02 08:02:20	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	251	16¢	$40	0x61efc9…
06-02 08:01:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0x24d10a…
05-26 01:08:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x31b08c…
05-26 01:08:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	101	75¢	$76	0x25ff2f…
05-25 05:54:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x9b6303…
05-24 07:36:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	185	29¢	$54	0x2e9ef5…
05-23 04:21:21	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xc5b587…
05-23 04:21:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xcb0b7b…
05-23 04:20:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	144	49¢	$70	0x0dee18…
05-23 04:19:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	85	78¢	$67	0x7d6cc0…
05-19 13:02:39	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	827	12¢	$100	0x0b277d…
05-19 04:35:17	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x5f29a8…
05-18 04:17:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	82	55¢	$45	0xb0531b…
05-15 02:55:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xe5e7db…
05-10 04:47:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb5da96…
05-10 03:46:07	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x2ec9a0…
05-10 02:17:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xaf7037…
05-10 00:57:14	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x561893…
05-10 00:21:43	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x1f4f80…
05-10 00:21:32	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x773ea5…
05-06 23:37:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x47d730…
05-06 22:39:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	255	49¢	$125	0x40fb57…
05-06 15:57:05	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0xf03ad8…
05-06 12:24:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	255	59¢	$150	0x3fa9a6…
05-06 12:22:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	181	61¢	$111	0xd237fc…
05-06 12:22:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	42¢	$193	0x7f4a08…
05-03 12:24:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x653bff…
05-01 15:04:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	236	58¢	$137	0x4261ed…
05-01 15:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x1e79be…
05-01 15:02:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	466	52¢	$243	0x8751ea…
05-01 15:02:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	521	29¢	$150	0x1815b1…
05-01 00:34:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	59¢	$46	0x799481…
05-01 00:34:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	59¢	$62	0xda19bc…
05-01 00:34:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	129	54¢	$70	0x5947aa…
04-30 12:04:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	466	54¢	$250	0xc2c101…
04-30 12:04:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	317	81¢	$257	0x182144…
04-30 00:59:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x392a9a…
04-30 00:59:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x9bf096…
04-30 00:59:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0xb81699…
04-30 00:53:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	126	78¢	$98	0xc75ac6…
04-29 12:20:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	377	26¢	$100	0xe8ce03…
04-29 12:20:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	217	71¢	$154	0xdb6764…
04-29 01:13:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	390	40¢	$156	0xbdec1f…
04-29 01:09:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x089efe…
04-29 01:08:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x071326…
04-28 17:23:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	229	70¢	$161	0x168457…
04-28 17:23:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	217	63¢	$137	0xdc2399…
04-23 23:56:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	74¢	$89	0xcc2dd1…
04-23 16:55:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	434	35¢	$152	0xc2ef9f…
04-23 16:54:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	245	62¢	$152	0x117a22…
04-23 00:25:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xdbd7ae…
04-23 00:22:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xe874b4…
04-23 00:22:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x80b561…