Lost-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$9.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.62K

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

365

6,759 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$158.6K

$2.28M lifetime

Avg / trade

$338

Open exposure

$8.05K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-29 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

78% 56% +$16,576

Sports

21% 45% -$242,321

Politics

1% 75% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 505 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	—	+4,000	$2,200	100¢	$4.0K	+$1,800	10-29 23:05
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes		+4,000	$2,160	100¢	$4.0K	+$1,820	10-29 23:36
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers		+100	$71	72¢	$72	+$0	10-30 02:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?	33	$88.1K	98,990	48,802	+50,188	Yes	-$29,115	08-15 17:52
nba dal min 2026 02 20 spread home 13pt5	4	$49.2K	92,898	0	+92,898	Mavericks	-$49,236	02-20 23:23
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$47.6K	92,000	0	+92,000	Yes	-$47,560	07-15 13:12
nba cle cha 2026 02 20 spread away 5pt5	2	$47.5K	94,992	0	+94,992	Hornets	-$47,496	02-20 23:04
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	108	$42.3K	87,234	0	+87,234	Spain	+$21,796	07-14 19:34
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	15	$41.3K	43,000	0	+43,000	Paraguay	+$1,720	06-29 23:24
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	33	$40.4K	61,003	0	+61,003	No	+$20,643	08-15 20:53
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?	304	$38.0K	80,003	0	+80,003	No	+$2,000	08-17 04:37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	43	$37.0K	46,000	36,000	+10,000	No	+$2,560	10-24 17:07
nba bos gsw 2026 02 19 spread away 5pt5	2	$32.6K	62,720	0	+62,720	Celtics	+$30,106	02-20 02:48
nba den lac 2026 02 19 spread away 4pt5	1	$32.6K	65,132	0	+65,132	Clippers	-$32,566	02-20 03:05
nba hou cha 2026 02 19 spread away 4pt5	3	$32.4K	63,892	0	+63,892	Hornets	-$32,372	02-19 20:17
sea cag lec 2026 02 16 draw	33	$30.9K	46,183	0	+46,183	No	+$15,240	02-16 12:59
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	18	$30.0K	30,101	0	+30,101	No	+$120	07-07 12:50
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-29?	14	$29.8K	57,806	0	+57,806	No	+$21,879	08-29 15:11
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?	47	$29.5K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$540	07-07 18:07
bun lei wol 2026 02 15 draw	41	$28.9K	36,186	0	+36,186	Yes	-$28,949	02-15 15:21
lal mal bet 2026 02 15 mal	14	$28.4K	40,588	0	+40,588	No	+$12,176	02-15 19:33
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$28.2K	54,951	0	+54,951	England	+$26,715	07-05 23:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	268	$26.4K	53,250	0	+53,250	No	+$26,810	07-19 19:24
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 atm1	2	$21.5K	43,000	0	+43,000	No	+$21,500	02-18 07:32
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	2	$21.4K	31,501	0	+31,501	Yes	-$21,421	08-17 18:49
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 spread away 1pt5	71	$21.1K	42,380	0	+42,380	Girona FC	-$21,133	02-16 14:10
ucl bog1 int2 2026 02 18 int2	11	$20.8K	36,469	0	+36,469	No	-$20,787	02-18 14:30
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?	54	$20.3K	41,057	0	+41,057	No	+$208	08-12 22:11
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	1	$20.1K	30,062	0	+30,062	Yes	-$20,142	07-07 19:11
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?	60	$19.2K	32,655	0	+32,655	Yes	-$19,234	08-20 23:30
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	30	$18.9K	37,531	0	+37,531	No	-$1,338	08-30 13:21
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?	3	$18.6K	33,901	0	+33,901	No	+$15,255	09-08 18:17
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	3	$18.4K	34,025	0	+34,025	No	+$5,647	10-22 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:12:15	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0x698801…
10-30 02:11:49	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x7e0d48…
10-29 23:36:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x37be70…
10-29 23:36:28	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd55c6d…
10-29 23:36:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x72e8ef…
10-29 23:36:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2f927d…
10-29 23:36:19	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0xfa125f…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd6ca4…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	846	54¢	$457	0x79a4da…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6bb3aa…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xe39184…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x883048…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0x728472…
10-29 23:36:15	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1,444	54¢	$780	0x4eb711…
10-29 23:36:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	239	54¢	$129	0x6c1a4a…
10-29 23:36:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4a7738…
10-29 23:36:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xe6d3ce…
10-29 23:34:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5ce65f…
10-29 23:34:27	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x383de4…
10-29 23:34:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5b85af…
10-29 23:34:03	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5da531…
10-29 23:33:54	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1be0e3…
10-29 23:33:43	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x48969e…
10-29 23:33:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x304da6…
10-29 23:33:31	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc3b0ba…
10-29 23:33:22	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x889e1d…
10-29 23:33:22	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	380	54¢	$205	0x2917ff…
10-29 23:33:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x53ca7f…
10-29 23:33:10	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x67e997…
10-29 23:33:01	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd50658…
10-29 23:32:48	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0a903e…
10-29 23:29:55	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	283	54¢	$153	0x2eb25a…
10-29 23:29:43	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6ecdd6…
10-29 23:29:39	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x6b7c1f…
10-29 23:29:15	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	217	54¢	$117	0x96b02e…
10-29 23:05:15	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4,000	55¢	$2,200	0x9feec7…
10-29 22:32:27	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xa96c43…
10-29 02:16:02	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2,800	61¢	$1,708	0x2e23da…
10-28 23:07:08	Spread: Raptors (-4.5)	Raptors	BUY	7,600	53¢	$4,028	0x983a9d…
10-28 23:04:20	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5,000	78¢	$3,900	0x1b00c5…
10-28 23:02:17	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbd365f…
10-28 20:49:07	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10,000	53¢	$5,300	0x437a3e…
10-28 02:11:08	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	10,000	47¢	$4,700	0x5e6013…
10-26 20:07:03	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	10,000	51¢	$5,099	0x2c1d23…
10-26 20:02:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	392	66¢	$259	0xd2a67e…
10-26 20:02:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3,656	66¢	$2,413	0x8b6fad…
10-26 20:02:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1f3470…
10-26 20:02:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$27	0x2bd3bd…
10-26 20:02:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	622	66¢	$411	0x24aaaf…
10-26 20:02:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0ea517…
10-26 20:02:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc3f486…
10-26 20:02:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa5206a…
10-26 20:02:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	110	66¢	$73	0x27646c…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdd99f4…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xd04b61…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9b5e10…
10-26 20:02:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,690	66¢	$1,115	0x933ade…
10-26 20:02:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0xd78daf…
10-26 20:02:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	380	66¢	$251	0x3802fb…
10-26 20:02:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	538	66¢	$355	0x23cfda…
10-26 20:02:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	195	66¢	$129	0xbc8489…
10-26 20:01:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x57107c…
10-26 20:01:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3a7f2b…
10-26 20:01:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	392	66¢	$259	0xc03592…
10-26 20:01:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd52f60…
10-26 20:01:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd13e80…
10-26 20:01:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	380	66¢	$251	0x5cbf5d…
10-26 20:01:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	874	66¢	$577	0xb9edaf…
10-26 20:01:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	380	66¢	$251	0x4f2efb…
10-26 20:01:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x173531…
10-26 20:01:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0xb5e829…
10-26 18:26:18	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	9,325	54¢	$5,000	0x03b1e0…
10-26 04:13:54	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0x42828f…
10-26 03:41:44	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	82	28¢	$23	0x3ee809…
10-26 00:24:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	480	58¢	$278	0xfb4fe3…
10-26 00:24:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0x92b778…
10-26 00:24:09	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2,432	58¢	$1,411	0x22f639…
10-26 00:24:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	80	58¢	$46	0xeca5d5…
10-26 00:24:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x9e6c68…
10-26 00:24:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3c7cbc…
10-26 00:24:08	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	1,455	58¢	$844	0x1c114c…
10-26 00:23:54	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xc0e429…
10-26 00:23:39	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	183	58¢	$106	0x257672…
10-26 00:23:33	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	1,287	58¢	$746	0xe4b992…
10-25 23:54:29	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0xaa82a9…
10-25 23:54:29	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa72edf…
10-25 23:54:29	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x99ab64…
10-25 23:54:29	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x57bba3…
10-25 23:54:29	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x55be41…
10-25 23:54:23	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0xa576c1…
10-25 23:54:21	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	540	1¢	$6	0x87d742…
10-25 23:54:18	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x91d682…
10-25 23:54:18	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	237	1¢	$3	0x35ac2a…
10-25 23:54:08	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xc6f9df…
10-25 23:54:08	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	183	1¢	$2	0x888d1c…
10-25 23:54:06	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	540	1¢	$6	0xbe29d0…
10-25 23:54:06	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0xa271c1…
10-25 23:54:00	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xfdc12a…
10-25 23:54:00	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	198	1¢	$2	0xcbcb09…
10-25 23:54:00	Spread: Pacers (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	198	1¢	$2	0xa8fcb6…