Lost-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$407

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

505

Trades

6,820

lifetime

Volume

$2.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

$5.18K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 11-02 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

77% 56% +$10,950

Sports

22% 44% -$256,389

Politics

1% 75% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	—	+5,820	$4,772	89¢	$5.2K	+$407	11-03 02:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?	33	$88.1K	98,990	48,802	+50,188	Yes	-$29,115	08-15 17:52
nba dal min 2026 02 20 spread home 13pt5	4	$49.2K	92,898	0	+92,898	Mavericks	-$49,236	02-20 23:23
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	36	$47.6K	92,000	0	+92,000	Yes	-$47,560	07-15 13:12
nba cle cha 2026 02 20 spread away 5pt5	2	$47.5K	94,992	0	+94,992	Hornets	-$47,496	02-20 23:04
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	108	$42.3K	87,234	0	+87,234	Spain	+$21,796	07-14 19:34
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	15	$41.3K	43,000	0	+43,000	Paraguay	+$1,720	06-29 23:24
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	33	$40.4K	61,003	0	+61,003	No	+$20,643	08-15 20:53
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?	304	$38.0K	80,003	0	+80,003	No	+$2,000	08-17 04:37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	43	$37.0K	46,000	36,000	+10,000	No	+$2,560	10-24 17:07
nba bos gsw 2026 02 19 spread away 5pt5	2	$32.6K	62,720	0	+62,720	Celtics	+$30,106	02-20 02:48
nba den lac 2026 02 19 spread away 4pt5	1	$32.6K	65,132	0	+65,132	Clippers	-$32,566	02-20 03:05
nba hou cha 2026 02 19 spread away 4pt5	3	$32.4K	63,892	0	+63,892	Hornets	-$32,372	02-19 20:17
sea cag lec 2026 02 16 draw	33	$30.9K	46,183	0	+46,183	No	+$15,240	02-16 12:59
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	18	$30.0K	30,101	0	+30,101	No	+$120	07-07 12:50
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-29?	14	$29.8K	57,806	0	+57,806	No	+$21,879	08-29 15:11
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?	47	$29.5K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$540	07-07 18:07
bun lei wol 2026 02 15 draw	41	$28.9K	36,186	0	+36,186	Yes	-$28,949	02-15 15:21
lal mal bet 2026 02 15 mal	14	$28.4K	40,588	0	+40,588	No	+$12,176	02-15 19:33
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$28.2K	54,951	0	+54,951	England	+$26,715	07-05 23:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	268	$26.4K	53,250	0	+53,250	No	+$26,810	07-19 19:24
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 atm1	2	$21.5K	43,000	0	+43,000	No	+$21,500	02-18 07:32
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	2	$21.4K	31,501	0	+31,501	Yes	-$21,421	08-17 18:49
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 spread away 1pt5	71	$21.1K	42,380	0	+42,380	Girona FC	-$21,133	02-16 14:10
ucl bog1 int2 2026 02 18 int2	11	$20.8K	36,469	0	+36,469	No	-$20,787	02-18 14:30
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?	54	$20.3K	41,057	0	+41,057	No	+$208	08-12 22:11
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	1	$20.1K	30,062	0	+30,062	Yes	-$20,142	07-07 19:11
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?	2	$20.0K	11,997	11,997	+0	No	-$2,271	10-31 16:35
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?	60	$19.2K	32,655	0	+32,655	Yes	-$19,234	08-20 23:30
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	30	$18.9K	37,531	0	+37,531	No	-$1,338	08-30 13:21
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?	3	$18.6K	33,901	0	+33,901	No	+$15,255	09-08 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 02:01:25	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	1,578	82¢	$1,294	0xf57e36…
11-03 02:01:25	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xca29d3…
11-03 02:01:25	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	53	82¢	$44	0xc39008…
11-03 02:01:25	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8fc77b…
11-03 02:01:24	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	243	82¢	$199	0xfb38d3…
11-03 02:01:24	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x55b838…
11-03 02:01:24	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x3a6698…
11-03 02:01:24	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x23eb2e…
11-03 02:01:22	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	265	82¢	$217	0xba84e1…
11-03 02:01:22	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0xa77c5a…
11-03 02:01:22	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x482b85…
11-03 02:01:22	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x38857d…
11-03 02:01:21	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf9c1bb…
11-03 02:01:21	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe83f00…
11-03 02:01:21	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdee949…
11-03 02:01:21	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x907699…
11-03 02:01:19	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	218	82¢	$179	0xe1123a…
11-03 02:01:19	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x600a9e…
11-03 02:01:19	Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 209.5	Over	BUY	3,356	82¢	$2,752	0x283895…
11-02 21:05:21	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	3,446	2¢	$56	0x90c7a0…
11-02 20:18:46	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xf283cc…
11-02 20:18:46	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	832	70¢	$582	0x8ca9a9…
11-02 20:18:46	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	4,968	70¢	$3,478	0x780ad7…
11-02 19:35:57	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	6,000	33¢	$1,980	0xb71257…
11-02 01:27:42	Eagles vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	5,000	70¢	$3,500	0xa5ca64…
11-01 23:55:28	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	149	56¢	$83	0xb06c59…
11-01 23:55:28	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	169	56¢	$95	0x7d862d…
11-01 23:55:28	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x677ad8…
11-01 23:55:28	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	472	56¢	$264	0x0e7e49…
11-01 23:55:25	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x427269…
11-01 23:55:24	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	35	56¢	$19	0xcce3f5…
11-01 23:55:22	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xe7104d…
11-01 23:55:22	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x03574c…
11-01 23:55:21	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	213	56¢	$119	0x7215c8…
11-01 23:55:21	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0x0712c8…
11-01 23:55:19	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x5c4be7…
11-01 19:55:10	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x76f972…
11-01 19:54:12	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x879120…
11-01 19:50:27	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	3,630	59¢	$2,142	0x632eda…
11-01 19:48:51	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	244	59¢	$144	0xca920f…
11-01 19:48:48	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	126	59¢	$74	0x67851f…
11-01 19:47:03	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x11d249…
11-01 19:46:45	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x43d2e4…
11-01 19:46:13	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd34897…
11-01 19:45:42	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0xe6bce9…
10-31 22:00:33	Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	BUY	7,500	53¢	$3,975	0xe85a3d…
10-31 22:00:07	Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xb11607…
10-31 21:59:22	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	8,000	48¢	$3,840	0xddb31b…
10-31 20:32:31	Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)	Los Angeles Galaxy	BUY	146	52¢	$76	0x707ab4…
10-31 20:32:31	Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)	Los Angeles Galaxy	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4fb0e0…
10-31 20:32:30	Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)	Los Angeles Galaxy	BUY	5,848	52¢	$3,041	0x156d17…
10-31 16:35:30	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	11,997	74¢	$8,886	0xcb78d1…
10-31 16:33:31	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	11,997	93¢	$11,157	0x62b81f…
10-31 15:19:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xe73422…
10-31 15:19:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	618	64¢	$395	0x2f1b75…
10-31 15:19:39	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	136	64¢	$87	0xd5b0ac…
10-31 15:19:34	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1dd3dd…
10-31 15:19:01	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	123	64¢	$79	0x1b9b3d…
10-31 15:19:01	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x06b1fe…
10-31 15:18:57	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0xbf24ea…
10-31 15:18:15	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x0efbd7…
10-31 02:03:09	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	7,000	45¢	$3,150	0xb20bab…
10-30 23:28:21	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	3,000	59¢	$1,770	0xeef8de…
10-30 23:21:15	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	7,000	66¢	$4,620	0xda2c10…
10-30 23:19:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5,000	59¢	$2,950	0x8d059b…
10-30 23:19:09	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xb3f010…
10-30 23:14:21	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	1,736	52¢	$903	0xe71a35…
10-30 23:14:21	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	789	52¢	$410	0x568e88…
10-30 23:14:07	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0xe60058…
10-30 23:14:01	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2d99a5…
10-30 23:14:00	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x09eb27…
10-30 23:13:57	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x2fa2da…
10-30 23:13:57	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	1,155	52¢	$601	0x24d224…
10-30 23:11:49	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc6c289…
10-30 23:11:48	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x79f2cc…
10-30 23:11:27	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe12452…
10-30 23:11:07	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x19afc1…
10-30 23:10:45	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	203	52¢	$106	0xa1f5a8…
10-30 02:12:15	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0x698801…
10-30 02:11:49	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x7e0d48…
10-29 23:36:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x37be70…
10-29 23:36:28	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd55c6d…
10-29 23:36:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x72e8ef…
10-29 23:36:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2f927d…
10-29 23:36:19	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0xfa125f…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd6ca4…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	846	54¢	$457	0x79a4da…
10-29 23:36:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6bb3aa…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xe39184…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0x883048…
10-29 23:36:16	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0x728472…
10-29 23:36:15	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	1,444	54¢	$780	0x4eb711…
10-29 23:36:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	239	54¢	$129	0x6c1a4a…
10-29 23:36:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4a7738…
10-29 23:36:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xe6d3ce…
10-29 23:34:33	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5ce65f…
10-29 23:34:27	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x383de4…
10-29 23:34:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5b85af…
10-29 23:34:03	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5da531…
10-29 23:33:54	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1be0e3…