Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$777

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$3.77K

10 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-25 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

64% 70% -$26

Tech

16% 70% +$910

Politics

13% 44% +$618

Crypto

6% 40% +$782

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+2,025	$1,375	87¢	$1.8K	+$386	10-02 07:13
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+550	$370	75¢	$414	+$45	10-10 03:28
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+480	$310	78¢	$374	+$65	10-07 20:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+400	$332	94¢	$374	+$42	10-03 04:27
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+275	$239	98¢	$271	+$31	10-14 11:31
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	+250	$188	78¢	$196	+$9	10-25 15:21
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+199	$135	84¢	$168	+$33	09-12 14:08
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+600	$279	19¢	$114	-$165	10-08 17:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+750	-$262	10¢	$73	+$335	10-23 12:53
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+150	$24	14¢	$20	-$4	10-24 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump renames ai by september 30	4	$1.7K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$760	09-29 17:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.4K	2,025	0	+2,025	open	—	10-02 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	3	$1.2K	1,007	1,007	+0	Up	+$839	10-05 18:45
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	8	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$145	10-09 08:23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	5	$1.0K	758	758	-0	open	—	10-13 16:09
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	3	$986	1,166	0	+1,166	Yes	+$180	09-28 17:46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	2	$956	984	0	+984	Yes	+$27	10-13 15:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	16	$936	2,800	2,050	+750	open	—	10-23 12:53
crint jpn2 mys2 2026 09 12	1	$920	1,000	0	+1,000	Malaysia	-$920	09-13 13:19
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	7	$904	506	506	+0	Yes	+$48	10-07 20:34
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	2	$785	500	500	+0	Yes	+$65	10-04 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$752	400	400	+0	Yes	+$40	09-22 06:33
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026?	2	$749	500	500	+0	No	+$32	10-04 17:46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	6	$719	723	480	+243	Yes	-$13	10-13 15:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$696	850	450	+400	open	—	10-03 04:27
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	3	$679	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	09-11 17:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$634	850	350	+500	No	-$2	09-11 13:59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	9	$585	412	412	+0	open	—	10-14 13:04
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	5	$549	622	300	+322	Yes	+$151	10-11 03:48
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026?	5	$479	500	0	+500	Yes	+$21	09-22 16:11
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$370	550	0	+550	open	—	10-10 03:28
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$353	501	0	+501	Yes	+$148	09-26 03:13
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	8	$353	341	174	+167	Yes	+$6	10-13 15:46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	9	$324	330	330	+0	Yes	+$54	09-10 04:47
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?	8	$315	700	200	+500	No	+$41	09-10 19:08
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$310	480	0	+480	open	—	10-07 20:41
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$290	350	0	+350	Yes	+$60	09-27 13:19
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	5	$285	184	184	+0	Yes	+$20	10-07 10:19
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	3	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	10-09 08:27
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	2	$279	341	0	+341	Yes	+$62	10-11 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:21:21	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x9c67f4…
10-24 13:12:39	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc0705b…
10-23 12:53:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	330	40¢	$131	0x09d034…
10-23 11:37:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	450	35¢	$158	0x1d8e5f…
10-23 09:14:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xcd7559…
10-23 04:39:32	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0xd60822…
10-23 02:01:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d1f77…
10-22 18:59:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0x55e88f…
10-22 18:59:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x3792d5…
10-22 16:18:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x573080…
10-22 15:06:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0x240880…
10-22 15:04:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	23¢	$24	0x53f1d7…
10-22 15:04:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	23¢	$49	0x4ec854…
10-22 15:04:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	23¢	$25	0x26d9dc…
10-22 15:02:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x186dff…
10-22 15:01:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x61e89c…
10-22 15:01:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xb62edd…
10-22 15:00:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	21¢	$41	0xc60126…
10-22 15:00:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	236	21¢	$49	0x9a428f…
10-22 14:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	177	54¢	$96	0x1fc828…
10-22 10:54:00	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	265	41¢	$109	0xba388f…
10-22 10:54:00	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x893c24…
10-22 08:45:42	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xfa744c…
10-22 06:23:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	10¢	$202	0xc47c1d…
10-17 10:16:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	754	17¢	$127	0xb1ea47…
10-17 09:32:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0x56ce2e…
10-17 08:51:45	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	179	12¢	$21	0x406df8…
10-16 17:11:46	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xb1cfdb…
10-15 06:36:46	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xb27b1a…
10-14 13:04:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0x361ffc…
10-14 13:04:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x23c6f9…
10-14 11:31:41	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	235	87¢	$204	0x2f4467…
10-14 08:00:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xdf1dca…
10-14 07:47:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xa1da27…
10-14 07:37:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0xd83419…
10-14 01:47:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	162	74¢	$120	0xfa07e0…
10-14 01:45:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	35	74¢	$26	0xa2f89a…
10-14 01:44:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xd0b4f1…
10-13 16:24:06	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xb9c9dc…
10-13 16:09:43	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	247	72¢	$177	0x9799b4…
10-13 15:50:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	97¢	$774	0x6c0821…
10-13 15:47:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	99¢	$182	0xd199af…
10-13 15:46:33	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0xad0386…
10-13 15:46:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0xe987f1…
10-13 15:45:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7aff9b…
10-13 15:36:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	468	72¢	$336	0xa03d90…
10-13 09:18:49	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	23	72¢	$17	0x71814b…
10-13 08:46:16	Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$78	0xc1545b…
10-13 04:34:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xa620ca…
10-13 03:13:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x425b55…
10-13 03:10:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	90	72¢	$65	0xa366ad…
10-12 01:09:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x50b4b5…
10-11 08:17:01	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	303	30¢	$91	0xb3d24e…
10-11 08:07:34	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe30604…
10-11 07:43:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	308	14¢	$43	0x78d8d4…
10-11 03:49:57	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xbec4df…
10-11 03:48:27	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xd3ae72…
10-11 03:48:18	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8d1dfb…
10-11 03:37:14	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	316	80¢	$253	0x831041…
10-10 18:36:01	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	276	63¢	$174	0x323dde…
10-10 09:09:57	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x72ae2f…
10-10 03:28:05	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	550	67¢	$370	0x13f8a1…
10-09 11:12:13	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	SELL	205	34¢	$70	0x5bf421…
10-09 11:01:04	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	90	66¢	$60	0xa735b1…
10-09 11:00:52	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	BUY	412	68¢	$281	0x108f29…
10-09 11:00:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	758	66¢	$499	0x6d81b1…
10-09 08:54:52	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x6285fd…
10-09 08:27:24	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xb87a27…
10-09 08:23:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	413	26¢	$109	0x655508…
10-09 08:18:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	26¢	$15	0xc49cef…
10-09 08:18:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xacdaea…
10-09 08:14:58	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	24¢	$117	0x2ee9ad…
10-09 07:53:06	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x97bbc5…
10-09 07:03:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	45¢	$226	0x9ef6a1…
10-09 06:50:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	35¢	$177	0xc38f0d…
10-09 03:57:41	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	26¢	$512	0x98adeb…
10-09 03:49:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	55¢	$67	0x26c66d…
10-09 03:45:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x9f5a56…
10-08 17:33:38	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	23¢	$43	0xb468fa…
10-08 16:02:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	36¢	$144	0xf271ff…
10-08 15:46:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x79ef29…
10-08 15:38:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x42e308…
10-08 15:37:54	gemini 4pt0 released by october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	138	53¢	$73	0xed4693…
10-08 15:22:20	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x459921…
10-08 15:22:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x70c556…
10-08 13:13:32	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3c5769…
10-08 11:27:27	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xbb1b8b…
10-08 11:20:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x355486…
10-08 09:10:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$235	0x529bbc…
10-08 03:48:14	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xfda0cb…
10-08 02:44:08	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0x3ca451…
10-07 21:42:46	Will UnitedHealth (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0x19dd61…
10-07 21:38:13	Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0x40a09d…
10-07 20:41:05	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xd92e7c…
10-07 20:34:09	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	506	94¢	$476	0x2a1921…
10-07 18:20:03	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	373	88¢	$328	0xa916df…
10-07 17:21:32	gemini argon released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcdb85d…
10-07 17:17:23	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x89de51…
10-07 17:16:13	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x606d5e…
10-07 17:14:19	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x4ac9cb…