Cheerful-Soil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

300

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$121.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-14 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 87% +$655

Other

20% 71% -$306

Politics

14% 85% -$1,843

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	11	$4.9K	3,610	3,231	+379	No	-$519	04-07 20:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$3.6K	1,807	1,807	+0	No	+$18	05-15 18:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$3.5K	1,754	1,754	+0	No	+$52	05-12 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$3.2K	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$23	05-27 03:59
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$2.9K	1,644	1,644	+0	No	+$88	03-31 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:40 UTC	2	$2.9K	1,492	1,489	+3	Down	+$46	04-01 13:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$2.3K	2,725	100	+2,625	Yes	-$2,200	06-14 15:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	3	$2.2K	1,163	1,163	+0	Yes	+$132	05-13 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:50 UTC	2	$2.1K	2,367	0	+2,367	Down	-$2,096	03-31 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:25 UTC	4	$2.0K	1,062	1,056	+6	Up	+$67	04-08 11:29
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$13	06-10 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,096	0	+2,096	Down	+$89	03-31 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 20:20 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,261	1,255	+6	Down	-$365	03-31 20:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$42	05-24 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:25 UTC	1	$1.9K	1,988	0	+1,988	Down	+$114	03-31 22:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	7	$1.8K	1,371	780	+591	No	+$297	04-28 07:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 22:00 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,886	0	+1,886	Down	+$161	03-31 22:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	No	+$45	05-27 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 21:55 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,727	0	+1,727	Down	+$35	03-31 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 07:40 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,655	0	+1,655	Up	+$17	04-02 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:50 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Down	+$16	04-01 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:15 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,624	0	+1,624	Up	+$16	04-01 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 21:40 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,703	0	+1,703	Up	+$143	03-31 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:55 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,612	0	+1,612	Down	+$54	04-01 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:25 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,542	0	+1,542	Down	+$40	04-01 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:45 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$33	04-01 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 21:25 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,567	0	+1,567	Up	+$102	03-31 21:26
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	2	$1.4K	761	757	+4	No	+$72	04-17 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 08:40 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	+$56	04-01 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 16:55 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,458	0	+1,458	Down	+$29	04-01 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:46:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xe607c9…
06-14 15:42:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x23628d…
06-14 15:42:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x15d943…
06-14 15:42:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf8dd86…
06-14 00:31:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x0d8e1f…
06-13 22:39:34	Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0x9c2118…
06-13 22:37:48	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x7b4acc…
06-13 22:04:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	63	71¢	$45	0x734244…
06-13 21:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbf1f6f…
06-13 20:34:55	Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xfb99aa…
06-13 20:31:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xec7b9d…
06-10 21:58:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	221	85¢	$188	0x223d56…
06-10 21:57:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x771725…
06-10 21:56:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xb3c988…
06-10 21:27:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	240	85¢	$204	0x297327…
06-10 21:17:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	150	97¢	$146	0x007344…
06-10 14:44:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,204	83¢	$999	0x350b11…
06-10 12:51:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,014	0x1a1046…
06-09 08:49:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xbc2630…
06-08 17:12:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x57ef26…
06-04 22:31:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x82e999…
06-04 22:30:52	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x871a7c…
06-04 19:24:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	377	96¢	$362	0x1d395b…
06-04 19:21:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x689a97…
06-04 19:19:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x00f3c2…
06-04 19:16:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd7181e…
06-04 19:16:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb6d7f7…
06-04 19:14:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe4d78a…
06-04 19:10:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	393	96¢	$377	0xfc095f…
06-04 18:41:40	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xca8330…
06-04 18:05:40	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf154be…
06-04 00:51:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0xf7f6e3…
06-03 09:42:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,001	0x06a1cb…
06-02 22:06:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x4eff1c…
06-01 22:29:05	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xeafda6…
06-01 21:34:22	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xeba423…
06-01 20:02:37	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfea4b4…
06-01 19:25:59	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x23c616…
06-01 19:03:31	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd93d37…
06-01 18:59:33	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x872cf0…
06-01 18:55:46	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x961459…
06-01 18:55:35	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb32acc…
06-01 18:52:00	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1a28ad…
06-01 18:51:37	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x061cfb…
06-01 18:51:35	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0xd448ff…
06-01 18:49:56	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6685d2…
06-01 18:45:19	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5c3163…
06-01 18:42:07	Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xd27c10…
06-01 18:26:01	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x446f2f…
06-01 18:26:01	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	126	90¢	$113	0x353bf4…
06-01 18:21:52	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x96e0cf…
06-01 18:19:39	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7bef60…
06-01 18:16:41	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x966e87…
06-01 18:15:08	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x6be31b…
06-01 18:15:03	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x86f2e9…
06-01 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc4ac73…
06-01 18:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfea9db…
06-01 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9d7519…
06-01 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x911b55…
06-01 17:50:38	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa02284…
06-01 17:40:25	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5693fe…
06-01 17:07:30	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb95f31…
05-30 22:29:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	292	98¢	$285	0xbac3c9…
05-30 17:31:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xcc39a2…
05-30 17:26:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$215	0x5ae68d…
05-30 17:20:05	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x627fc2…
05-30 17:06:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xbc53f5…
05-30 17:06:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x52975c…
05-30 16:58:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x00e26d…
05-28 13:48:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xddf93c…
05-28 13:47:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0xf74f46…
05-27 23:44:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa4d820…
05-27 23:30:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,745	97¢	$1,700	0xb1befa…
05-27 23:29:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x15213f…
05-27 06:27:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	79¢	$142	0x727954…
05-27 06:27:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0x3855a0…
05-27 03:59:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x77f846…
05-26 21:51:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,488	0x977b2d…
05-26 18:09:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0xcf2181…
05-25 15:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x644ca4…
05-24 17:11:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7a53a3…
05-23 17:44:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	867	96¢	$829	0xbd9f4e…
05-23 17:44:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	133	96¢	$127	0xf6a30a…
05-23 17:41:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	75¢	$420	0xfde99e…
05-23 17:40:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xfbd275…
05-22 11:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,052	95¢	$1,000	0x266ce4…
05-21 23:17:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x7213f0…
05-20 12:06:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0x84f744…
05-18 16:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0xd61591…
05-18 16:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xd82fe5…
05-18 15:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x20414d…
05-18 15:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x235091…
05-18 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc892d2…
05-18 15:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa288cc…
05-18 15:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xecce92…
05-18 15:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x185b77…
05-18 15:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x98665c…
05-18 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xfca4be…
05-18 15:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa36119…
05-18 14:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0x77ea19…