Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$727

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$40

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-26 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

72% 78% +$36

Other

26% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	$0	10-26 20:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+14	$13	99¢	$14	+$1	08-27 19:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	10-26 20:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	10-26 20:21
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	10-26 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$167	113	55	+58	No	+$0	06-24 06:10
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 22:09
maduro exiled to russia by march 31	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	03-29 17:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$70	106	0	+106	Yes	+$36	05-16 02:02
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$55	57	0	+57	No	+$2	06-24 06:13
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-23 23:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-23 23:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-26 20:22
will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-23 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-27 18:59
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	09-30 19:05
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	07-23 23:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	08-27 19:01
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	07-23 23:07
farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-23 23:06
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-26 20:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	09-25 01:52
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	08-27 19:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-26 20:18
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	07-23 23:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 20:21
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 20:17
will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	1	$1	67	0	+67	Yes	-$1	09-30 19:07
Trump renames AI by September 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	09-25 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:22:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd3c6d4…
10-26 20:21:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8fafb3…
10-26 20:18:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa8e3f6…
10-26 20:17:12	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x06f723…
10-26 20:16:56	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x093441…
09-30 19:07:29	will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x13cde7…
09-30 19:05:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xbfe553…
09-25 01:53:00	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa49c90…
09-25 01:52:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xf5979b…
08-27 19:01:42	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x5cf0a9…
08-27 19:01:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0ac690…
08-27 18:59:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x478ab3…
07-23 23:11:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdf3952…
07-23 23:10:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x936e71…
07-23 23:09:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc2b662…
07-23 23:08:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xad6d67…
07-23 23:07:15	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x19c3e0…
07-23 23:06:18	farsi island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013631152	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x7660f2…
07-23 23:05:22	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x497f5b…
06-24 06:13:29	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x93234e…
06-24 06:10:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xd26b08…
06-22 13:37:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x1e2503…
05-16 02:02:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xad5e02…
05-15 22:12:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4c5046…
05-15 22:09:43	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	78	98¢	$76	0xdbe3f1…
04-30 14:00:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xf45812…
03-29 17:44:26	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x876230…