Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$98

$1.23K lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-03 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$1

Politics

28% 100% +$1

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$217	218	+218	Yes	+$1	03-01 04:09
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-18 03:15
P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$76	76	+76	No	+$0	04-02 07:56
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$71	71	+71	No	+$0	05-04 17:07
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	1	$68	68	+68	No	+$0	07-03 08:48
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$67	67	+67	No	+$0	03-30 02:16
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$66	66	+66	Yes	+$0	03-30 02:18
msft above 585 on january 30 2026	1	$64	64	+64	No	+$0	01-29 08:44
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-07 07:01
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	03-13 06:53
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	06-23 22:35
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$51	51	+51	No	+$0	04-02 02:40
will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	08-17 07:27
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	1	$36	37	+37	No	+$0	01-13 13:46
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 11 2026	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	01-12 04:14
msft above 510 on january 9 2026	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	01-09 07:21
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$35	35	+35	Yes	+$0	03-30 02:18
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$33	33	+33	Yes	+$0	10-03 13:14
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	07-24 23:23
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	01-29 08:50
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-12 06:12
grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-17 00:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 13:14:05	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x79ccc2…
09-12 06:12:01	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb84925…
08-17 07:27:51	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x90dbbf…
07-24 23:23:40	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x68f954…
07-03 08:48:53	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x5d6f07…
06-23 22:35:50	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x745f8e…
06-04 09:52:37	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0302f8…
05-07 07:01:28	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd1be48…
05-04 17:07:46	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xba4019…
04-02 07:56:09	P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x5a4991…
04-02 02:40:39	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x8b6758…
03-30 02:18:38	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xc21b27…
03-30 02:18:20	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4e3a79…
03-30 02:16:44	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa6894a…
03-13 06:53:47	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xad254c…
03-01 04:09:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x75c4c1…
02-17 00:50:47	grok 4pt20 released by april 20 988 375 998 452	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x129c74…
01-29 08:50:10	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2fa2e0…
01-29 08:44:48	msft above 585 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8f2524…
01-18 03:15:34	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x989996…
01-13 13:46:01	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x24c03b…
01-12 04:14:56	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 11 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xdf5037…
01-09 07:21:38	msft above 510 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd8d241…