Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$671

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-19 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% -$74

Sports

15% 69% +$779

Other

9% 20% -$17

Crypto

4% 0% -$17

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	06-28 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	23	$6.7K	3,469	3,469	-0	Yes	-$7	04-19 22:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	16	$5.7K	3,127	3,127	+0	Yes	-$64	04-19 14:36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	10	$3.2K	1,790	1,790	+0	Yes	-$3	04-17 11:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.9K	944	944	+0	Yes	-$5	04-16 15:05
nba mem hou 2026 04 12	4	$1.6K	845	845	+0	Rockets	+$109	04-13 03:44
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$803	430	430	+0	No	-$17	04-19 19:38
nba tor nyk 2026 04 10	1	$708	715	0	+715	Knicks	+$7	04-11 01:29
nba por sas 2026 04 19	1	$366	397	0	+397	Spurs	+$31	04-20 02:36
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$226	514	0	+514	Pistons	+$288	03-23 11:32
nba tor phx 2026 03 22	1	$218	494	0	+494	Suns	+$277	03-22 08:38
nba orl okc 2026 02 03	1	$78	109	0	+109	Thunder	+$32	02-03 12:13
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	1	$30	33	0	+33	Spurs	+$2	04-10 07:42
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	1	$30	89	0	+89	Spurs	-$30	02-11 02:42
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	1	$23	71	0	+71	Hornets	+$48	03-04 19:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	06-09 00:46
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	2	$19	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	06-28 10:58
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	1	$12	39	0	+39	No	-$12	02-27 06:13
nhl col fla 2026 01 04	1	$11	25	0	+25	Panthers	+$14	01-04 21:20
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-28 11:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$9	22	22	+0	No	$0	07-13 06:31
Raiders vs. Saints	2	$9	7	7	+0	Raiders	$0	09-24 15:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-21 10:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-21 10:03
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-21 10:33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-12 06:04
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-22 20:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-17 18:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	10-12 06:18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	09-04 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 15:34:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9397dc…
10-19 15:25:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe149db…
10-12 06:18:53	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x585e3e…
10-12 06:12:21	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7b8aca…
10-12 06:04:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xa7d29e…
10-12 05:00:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x264d25…
09-24 15:15:15	Raiders vs. Saints	Saints	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x899a46…
09-24 14:06:17	Raiders vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x40cdff…
09-23 15:18:55	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xde8002…
09-23 15:12:05	Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf9bfb8…
09-04 22:02:30	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x9ff3a7…
09-04 21:21:54	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x33f972…
09-04 21:07:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xf577d1…
09-04 20:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0b2018…
07-13 06:31:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x95ae29…
07-13 06:12:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x88f8da…
07-06 03:12:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x23593c…
07-06 03:00:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xce7e04…
06-28 11:14:32	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb5d300…
06-28 11:04:47	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b1d5d…
06-28 10:58:08	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x678437…
06-28 07:26:47	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x16c1be…
06-22 20:04:19	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x1fcff5…
06-22 20:00:35	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xe6193d…
06-22 19:52:19	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd7e5dc…
06-22 19:42:26	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d1994…
06-21 10:33:26	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x3dbe73…
06-21 10:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5d91e5…
06-21 10:04:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x324f26…
06-21 10:03:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe32cb9…
06-21 08:16:58	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x9a4718…
06-21 08:16:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe874bc…
06-21 08:16:41	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb0bdff…
06-21 08:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa721e5…
06-10 20:35:04	Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2aa71b…
06-10 20:28:57	Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5d1f1a…
06-09 00:46:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xcc1965…
06-09 00:43:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xc15b1c…
04-20 02:36:36	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	397	92¢	$366	0x43037c…
04-19 22:22:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	265	96¢	$254	0x426ae8…
04-19 22:15:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	265	97¢	$256	0x79bd0d…
04-19 21:59:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	775	97¢	$749	0xfc47ff…
04-19 21:58:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	775	97¢	$750	0x464f67…
04-19 21:54:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0xd11cac…
04-19 21:40:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xa46502…
04-19 21:36:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	427	97¢	$414	0x01f1ba…
04-19 20:35:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4368e8…
04-19 20:34:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	295	97¢	$287	0x719563…
04-19 20:33:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	374	97¢	$362	0x74ed64…
04-19 20:30:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x827741…
04-19 20:26:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	397	97¢	$385	0x7de3e7…
04-19 20:23:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0x170886…
04-19 20:23:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0xae807f…
04-19 20:20:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	252	97¢	$244	0xac7e42…
04-19 20:20:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xd04573…
04-19 20:19:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x6bdbc8…
04-19 20:17:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	166	97¢	$161	0x957358…
04-19 20:17:14	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	520	97¢	$506	0xc0b2ff…
04-19 20:17:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	217	97¢	$211	0x9c0067…
04-19 19:56:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	828	96¢	$797	0xd8cd90…
04-19 19:55:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	502	97¢	$485	0xf97307…
04-19 19:51:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	326	96¢	$314	0x5d99f2…
04-19 19:38:58	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	135	89¢	$120	0x66202b…
04-19 19:36:18	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x2e56de…
04-19 14:38:58	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	88	90¢	$80	0x243500…
04-19 14:36:30	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x2d00ab…
04-19 14:36:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	136	90¢	$123	0x28316f…
04-19 12:34:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	185	92¢	$171	0xc1f6a6…
04-19 12:21:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	295	92¢	$273	0xcdd453…
04-19 12:19:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	203	93¢	$189	0x806a1c…
04-19 12:16:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	291	93¢	$269	0x9942f0…
04-19 12:16:30	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	122	93¢	$113	0xe79ef6…
04-19 12:11:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x2695f0…
04-19 12:06:42	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	253	92¢	$233	0x9bbfec…
04-19 12:06:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	224	92¢	$206	0xac3d9b…
04-19 12:05:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	529	92¢	$487	0x6ddbac…
04-19 11:39:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	612	90¢	$551	0x7f236b…
04-19 11:25:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	612	90¢	$551	0xf53c6a…
04-19 11:21:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	538	90¢	$484	0x919064…
04-19 11:20:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	538	90¢	$484	0x8f8e65…
04-19 11:12:24	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	126	95¢	$120	0xace34c…
04-19 07:44:14	Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	430	95¢	$410	0xbba201…
04-19 07:20:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	831	87¢	$723	0xaeffc5…
04-18 12:17:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	831	94¢	$781	0x41b077…
04-17 18:05:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe80adc…
04-17 18:02:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9c3c38…
04-17 11:57:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,033	88¢	$910	0xa5249f…
04-17 09:07:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	322	89¢	$286	0xe3753a…
04-17 08:42:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	712	88¢	$626	0x3c63d5…
04-16 18:55:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	757	88¢	$666	0x5eca8c…
04-16 17:07:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	266	88¢	$234	0xc5d288…
04-16 17:05:30	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x13cd09…
04-16 16:57:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x667221…
04-16 16:34:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x8c0cde…
04-16 16:32:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x279327…
04-16 16:31:04	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	448	88¢	$394	0x93bf77…
04-16 15:05:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	944	99¢	$931	0x342790…
04-13 03:48:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	944	99¢	$936	0x2c7492…
04-13 03:44:23	nba mem hou 2026 04 12	Rockets	SELL	845	100¢	$844	0x25cab0…
04-11 21:30:53	nba mem hou 2026 04 12	Rockets	BUY	514	87¢	$447	0x756f94…