Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 09-26 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

75% 58% +$4

Politics

22% 21% -$12

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say steel during michigan remarks 20260724162420360	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-27 01:46
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-25 13:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-06 10:41
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 05:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-02 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-03 17:57
will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	07-24 13:42
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 00:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-16 17:37
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-13 13:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-06 02:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-04 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-15 11:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	07-23 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 16:14
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-01 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-04 18:09
iran successfully targets shipping on august 14 2026 20260729163314534	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-15 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 20:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 22:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-01 23:21
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-08 15:38
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 09:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 07:57
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 12:54
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 12:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-23 01:41
will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-27 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 21:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd0cded…
09-23 12:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3a8e83…
09-22 16:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x30d973…
09-22 08:01:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2c5a5f…
09-18 22:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1cf667…
09-18 12:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf59ebe…
09-18 01:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x884932…
09-17 17:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf2f3bf…
09-17 07:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe60d5d…
09-16 23:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb9d8b6…
09-16 15:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x660c58…
09-16 06:47:04	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76a3f7…
09-12 04:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf341f…
09-10 04:36:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x32f601…
09-09 20:16:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c249b…
09-07 21:53:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff190c…
09-07 12:05:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe319e0…
09-07 11:38:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8162e7…
09-02 10:22:19	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x672e75…
09-02 01:11:25	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xec6978…
09-01 16:57:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc9d9b6…
08-30 18:59:00	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x383583…
08-30 10:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x211e3e…
08-29 14:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf20bc4…
08-29 04:20:40	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x16f5d4…
08-28 20:07:15	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe4fb49…
08-25 11:44:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x73f1b1…
08-25 03:33:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x141fc5…
08-22 05:42:43	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x973ac8…
08-21 21:41:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaeafbe…
08-21 13:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc6a6d6…
08-21 13:00:58	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd03fe1…
08-20 16:20:49	will xagusd reach 70 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x236ce7…
08-20 07:25:18	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab7b69…
08-19 22:58:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8564b2…
08-19 14:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x050251…
08-19 06:30:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcd6a6e…
08-16 17:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4ad422…
08-16 07:57:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x46ff1f…
08-15 23:36:24	iran successfully targets shipping on august 14 2026 20260729163314534	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb2c2a3…
08-15 11:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x356bce…
08-13 13:07:13	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x12ae72…
08-13 05:06:09	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x15f375…
08-12 20:59:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe86780…
08-12 12:54:01	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd57e41…
08-08 23:38:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xabb039…
08-08 15:38:34	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x637f33…
08-08 06:44:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7d1b48…
08-06 10:41:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x11c831…
08-06 02:12:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5c2150…
08-04 18:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x501251…
08-04 09:58:57	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x805af9…
08-04 01:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb658e5…
08-03 17:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x16340e…
08-03 09:56:47	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcdc266…
08-03 00:16:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x18bd88…
08-02 16:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb3120c…
08-02 07:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7d2771…
08-01 23:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x388a87…
08-01 22:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x82d7cc…
08-01 14:41:05	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4c6daa…
08-01 04:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x857199…
07-31 20:29:51	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4308aa…
07-31 12:29:14	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc5e3c5…
07-30 16:56:15	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8dfa52…
07-30 07:12:17	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc0eeb7…
07-28 01:09:09	will meta reach 630 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5da764…
07-27 15:07:13	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x76a263…
07-27 01:46:55	will trump say steel during michigan remarks 20260724162420360	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x00dba9…
07-26 13:45:30	will warsh say tax during july press conference 20260720204109055	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0cd571…
07-26 01:43:40	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x375b7a…
07-25 13:43:25	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd28508…
07-25 01:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x2ea243…
07-24 13:42:28	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7dfc65…
07-24 01:41:43	arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x399158…
07-23 13:41:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd217e6…
07-23 01:41:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x47187f…