Popular-Retention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$285

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-20 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% -$285

Other

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:00 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	02-16 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:30 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	02-16 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	1	$100	195	0	+195	Down	-$100	02-16 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:15 UTC	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	-$100	02-16 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:45 UTC	1	$100	204	0	+204	Up	-$100	02-16 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:45 UTC	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	-$100	02-16 02:28
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$95	79	60	+19	Up	+$42	05-31 04:50
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$91	61	61	+0	Up	+$29	05-31 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$40	75	0	+75	Up	-$40	05-31 04:34
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$38	68	0	+68	Down	-$38	05-31 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$31	58	0	+58	Down	+$27	05-31 05:19
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$31	62	0	+62	Down	+$31	05-31 05:19
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-31 04:53
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$31	60	0	+60	Down	-$31	05-31 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$31	59	0	+59	Down	+$28	05-31 05:08
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 07:06
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$25	50	0	+50	Down	-$25	05-31 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	09-20 07:42
will lola young perform at the 2026 grammy awards	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	01-26 07:12
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Down	+$20	05-31 05:08
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	-$20	05-31 05:14
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	+$18	05-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	Up	+$36	05-31 05:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	Up	+$17	05-31 07:44
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Up	-$20	05-31 04:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-31 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-31 07:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-31 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-31 07:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-31 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 07:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x29ecd2…
09-20 07:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3cc803…
09-20 07:42:50	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc66313…
05-31 07:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xf5f924…
05-31 07:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x13a7c5…
05-31 07:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe0d4b4…
05-31 07:11:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x616f90…
05-31 06:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xece097…
05-31 06:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbba718…
05-31 06:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2e0cfb…
05-31 06:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x95e04b…
05-31 06:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfdd1e2…
05-31 06:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x25784b…
05-31 06:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x488b0f…
05-31 06:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1e6481…
05-31 05:19:43	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x6bd7d7…
05-31 05:19:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0x700395…
05-31 05:14:16	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x063b5b…
05-31 05:08:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x276b45…
05-31 05:08:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x070ff6…
05-31 05:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x6e579d…
05-31 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x0de06d…
05-31 04:54:59	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd649f8…
05-31 04:54:50	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd2166…
05-31 04:53:56	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xc7649d…
05-31 04:50:59	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x086b1b…
05-31 04:50:40	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x7d2c22…
05-31 04:50:02	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xb7861a…
05-31 04:50:02	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x1db2f9…
05-31 04:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x779eba…
05-31 04:46:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x834f1d…
05-31 04:44:01	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x988266…
05-31 04:43:26	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xdf9e05…
05-31 04:39:40	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd9b7f0…
05-31 04:34:08	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x9b4834…
05-31 04:33:40	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9cf2cb…
05-01 07:09:24	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb4d4e3…
05-01 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf8b490…
05-01 07:06:58	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xeff0ac…
04-18 11:30:18	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb3cb90…
02-16 02:28:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xae6c36…
02-16 01:50:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x270a1d…
02-16 01:50:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x50ec56…
02-16 00:58:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8fcd70…
02-16 00:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe91c47…
02-16 00:27:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6575dd…
01-26 07:12:36	will lola young perform at the 2026 grammy awards	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x83342d…