Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$383

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,453

lifetime

Volume

$9.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 02-04 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

54% 27% -$58

Other

44% 51% -$319

Sports

2% 33% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	225	$921	763	760	+3	Yes	-$7	02-04 16:44
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	77	$915	469	469	+0	No	$0	02-04 16:44
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	67	$582	632	0	+632	No	+$50	02-02 23:55
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	50	$518	339	339	+0	No	-$2	02-04 17:08
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	187	$435	1,106	59	+1,047	No	-$74	02-03 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	70	$414	460	460	-0	Yes	-$9	02-04 16:45
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	88	$412	619	5	+614	No	+$54	02-03 04:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	49	$410	269	269	-0	Yes	-$7	02-04 16:46
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	23	$350	139	216	-77	No	+$0	02-04 16:47
lal bet val 2026 02 01 bet	7	$270	292	100	+191	Yes	-$69	02-01 19:44
fl1 tou aja 2026 02 01 tou	4	$221	539	0	+539	No	-$221	02-01 16:59
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	16	$211	159	159	+0	Yes	+$5	02-04 17:06
cbb ri duq 2026 02 01	10	$201	108	108	+0	Duquesne Dukes	+$14	02-01 19:43
cbb chat furman 2026 02 01	5	$186	97	97	+0	Furman Paladins	+$1	02-01 19:44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	23	$185	106	106	-0	No	+$3	02-04 17:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$171	135	135	+0	Yes	-$4	02-04 17:06
cbb quin fair 2026 02 01	22	$163	179	156	+23	Quinnipiac Bobcats	+$3	02-01 20:33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	15	$157	145	145	+0	Yes	-$4	02-04 17:06
cbb wrght gb 2026 02 01	11	$146	180	166	+14	Wright State Raiders	-$8	02-01 20:01
cbb ala fl 2026 02 01	16	$138	192	192	+0	Florida Gators	-$4	02-01 19:45
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	21	$132	435	43	+391	No	-$8	02-03 15:11
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	19	$112	98	98	-0	No	-$1	02-04 17:30
epl tot mac 2026 02 01 mac	1	$105	134	0	+134	No	-$105	02-01 16:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	11	$102	60	60	+0	No	-$2	02-04 17:07
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	6	$98	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 17:07
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-04 19:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$97	500	500	+0	No	+$5	02-04 16:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	17	$90	379	380	-0	No	-$6	02-04 16:45
nhl lak car 2026 02 01	34	$69	119	0	+119	Hurricanes	+$5	02-01 21:13
cbb marist niagra 2026 02 01	15	$58	127	0	+127	Marist Red Foxes	+$1	02-01 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-04 19:19:23	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	37	77¢	$29	0x503f27…
02-04 19:19:13	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4d759f…
02-04 17:32:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xcdcb02…
02-04 17:31:55	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xca35f1…
02-04 17:31:43	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xfdb6c5…
02-04 17:31:27	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x1ef985…
02-04 17:31:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xb9b6a0…
02-04 17:31:07	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	61¢	$17	0x387671…
02-04 17:30:35	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x5ddd70…
02-04 17:13:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x9c4b6b…
02-04 17:12:59	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0xf6fc22…
02-04 17:08:09	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x03d539…
02-04 17:07:57	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x08db66…
02-04 17:07:47	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0xf91c13…
02-04 17:07:37	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	SELL	67	33¢	$22	0xbb9ca7…
02-04 17:07:27	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	68	68¢	$46	0x717489…
02-04 17:07:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	106	88¢	$94	0x0ccce6…
02-04 17:06:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	135	62¢	$84	0x82239d…
02-04 17:06:49	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	145	53¢	$77	0x28eb72…
02-04 17:06:39	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	159	68¢	$108	0x850e31…
02-04 17:06:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	172	4¢	$7	0x6a65dd…
02-04 16:47:33	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x7aa2bc…
02-04 16:47:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0xfb5794…
02-04 16:46:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	268	75¢	$201	0x285bfa…
02-04 16:45:55	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	279	90¢	$252	0xacc9ec…
02-04 16:45:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	303	5¢	$15	0x070541…
02-04 16:45:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	380	11¢	$42	0x3e4866…
02-04 16:45:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	405	10¢	$41	0x0c7b7e…
02-04 16:45:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	459	44¢	$202	0x7e4d4c…
02-04 16:44:51	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	469	97¢	$457	0x85d60a…
02-04 16:44:41	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	760	60¢	$457	0x7d64bd…
02-04 16:44:31	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2,800	0¢	$14	0x2235b5…
02-04 03:44:44	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbca5cf…
02-04 03:44:44	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa033e0…
02-04 03:44:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x031a8f…
02-04 03:44:34	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe24722…
02-04 03:44:22	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0ea6d9…
02-04 03:44:04	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0772ae…
02-04 03:43:54	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x10b606…
02-04 03:42:28	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x4e924d…
02-04 03:39:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x498d56…
02-04 03:39:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x03ad84…
02-04 03:39:46	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x35c0c3…
02-04 03:39:44	will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	No	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xb71ab5…
02-04 03:39:36	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf631f4…
02-04 03:38:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x21e1f8…
02-04 03:38:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x08983f…
02-04 03:38:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0x1e39b5…
02-04 03:38:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x418752…
02-04 03:38:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x1e3c22…
02-04 03:35:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xee2536…
02-04 03:35:32	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc06316…
02-04 03:35:08	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3dbab8…
02-04 03:35:04	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x090e29…
02-04 03:34:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2d401c…
02-04 03:34:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x68522a…
02-04 03:34:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8ad43b…
02-04 03:33:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd6534e…
02-04 03:33:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x87b29e…
02-04 03:33:38	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1ebafa…
02-04 03:33:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe4444f…
02-04 03:33:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8e3e6e…
02-04 03:33:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x54bc96…
02-04 03:33:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4cf298…
02-04 03:33:34	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf19be7…
02-04 03:33:22	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0c7b88…
02-04 03:32:58	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xde36b4…
02-04 03:32:58	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9b774d…
02-04 03:32:56	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa07cc9…
02-04 03:32:54	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xe09710…
02-04 03:32:54	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9f286c…
02-04 03:32:54	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3fb74b…
02-04 03:32:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xecce9c…
02-04 03:32:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb18522…
02-04 03:32:50	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd4c7a0…
02-04 03:32:50	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5dec92…
02-04 03:32:50	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x05bfa3…
02-04 03:32:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x74aac6…
02-04 03:32:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3ec6db…
02-04 03:32:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2d24bc…
02-04 03:32:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1d6bf3…
02-04 03:32:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x17cf6e…
02-04 03:32:46	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd2e8e4…
02-04 03:32:46	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x766047…
02-04 03:32:46	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x160e5b…
02-04 03:32:44	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe44b50…
02-04 03:32:44	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3f69a1…
02-04 03:32:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6a30c0…
02-04 03:32:42	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x04567b…
02-04 03:32:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6f07fe…
02-04 03:32:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x514503…
02-04 03:32:40	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x46fd87…
02-04 03:32:38	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf4d14a…
02-04 03:32:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x70a445…
02-04 03:32:32	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe6c17a…
02-04 03:32:22	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x969d48…
02-04 03:32:18	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x646bb8…
02-04 03:32:06	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x397933…
02-04 03:32:04	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3e2044…
02-04 03:32:02	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdd0dd3…