Nice-Espadrille — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$176.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$768

Open exposure

$3.88K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-09 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

45% 0% $-400

Sports

8% 50% +$249

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes		+4,960	$2,369	45¢	$2.2K	$-137	06-09 16:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+2,552	$1,531	64¢	$1.6K	+$115	06-09 16:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$17.6K	28,915	28,915	+0	open	—	04-07 23:14
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$11.1K	20,694	20,694	+0	open	—	04-15 13:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$10.6K	16,941	16,941	+0	open	—	03-20 05:37
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	8	$9.3K	5,291	6,991	-1,700	open	—	04-16 11:32
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	3	$7.6K	12,943	0	+12,943	open	—	03-13 05:20
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$7.3K	6,886	6,886	+0	open	—	04-12 22:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$5.9K	9,774	0	+9,774	open	—	04-19 11:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$5.9K	3,859	3,859	+0	open	—	05-12 10:10
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	7	$5.5K	4,547	4,547	+0	open	—	03-14 22:30
fif mex prt 2026 03 28 prt	1	$5.2K	9,604	0	+9,604	open	—	03-27 21:42
epl ful bur 2026 03 21 ful	4	$4.9K	7,925	0	+7,925	open	—	03-21 06:18
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	3	$4.7K	7,205	0	+7,205	open	—	03-29 12:11
atp blockx shelton 2026 04 15	2	$4.5K	3,279	3,240	+38	open	—	04-15 13:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4.4K	3,462	3,462	+0	open	—	04-27 18:36
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4.4K	23,000	23,000	+0	open	—	03-26 22:21
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	6	$3.6K	2,653	2,620	+33	open	—	04-08 20:54
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$3.6K	4,737	0	+4,737	open	—	03-14 22:31
nba min lal 2026 03 10	2	$3.4K	2,352	2,352	+0	open	—	03-11 05:25
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	2	$3.3K	2,128	2,128	+0	open	—	05-19 21:06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$3.1K	2,098	2,066	+32	open	—	04-27 20:56
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	2	$2.5K	3,970	0	+3,970	open	—	03-15 20:44
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	2	$2.4K	1,407	1,407	+0	open	—	03-26 22:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	22	$2.4K	4,960	0	+4,960	open	—	06-09 16:53
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	2	$2.3K	4,786	0	+4,786	open	—	03-11 05:28
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	2	$2.3K	1,429	1,413	+16	open	—	04-05 20:40
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$2.1K	5,929	0	+5,929	open	—	03-03 14:55
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	2	$2.1K	6,665	0	+6,665	open	—	03-10 21:13
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$1.9K	11,875	0	+11,875	open	—	04-15 14:01
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	3	$1.8K	3,488	0	+3,488	open	—	04-11 01:30
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$1.7K	1,122	1,105	+16	open	—	04-12 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:53:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xaa60bc…
06-09 16:30:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,141	60¢	$685	0x55e0e8…
06-09 15:42:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x542bb1…
06-09 15:14:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x916581…
06-09 15:13:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	406	60¢	$244	0x6e6abd…
06-08 11:16:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,200	43¢	$516	0x849c74…
06-07 21:39:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1,500	62¢	$930	0x964b8f…
06-07 20:57:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1,112	9¢	$95	0x76f0fb…
06-07 20:57:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1,276	10¢	$125	0x236aa9…
06-07 20:34:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xf9396c…
06-07 20:34:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xd5cee3…
06-07 20:34:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x86944b…
06-07 20:34:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc58a76…
06-07 20:34:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0xab8088…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee63ee…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xecc4ea…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8a35dd…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x796130…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4bb126…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3e1e39…
06-07 20:34:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x3d45bd…
06-07 20:34:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	675	52¢	$351	0xcf42a1…
06-07 20:34:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	164	52¢	$85	0x7b990c…
06-07 20:01:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x51d053…
06-07 19:56:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xc6ecdf…
06-07 19:37:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1,173	38¢	$446	0xa63a09…
06-07 19:37:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x45bcca…
06-07 19:37:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	323	38¢	$123	0x4980f2…
06-05 11:22:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x4ea7ac…
06-04 18:30:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	122	48¢	$59	0x616d0b…
06-04 00:33:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x91a10e…
06-04 00:33:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	399	48¢	$192	0x0cb174…
06-03 20:43:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2e44a4…
06-03 20:17:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x4c49fd…
06-03 18:57:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	460	50¢	$230	0xe5b47e…
06-03 14:12:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x46df35…
06-03 10:58:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c3063…
06-02 21:47:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0x765b1b…
06-02 21:47:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x2bf2b1…
06-02 17:12:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xfa8cce…
06-02 16:41:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf98f66…
06-01 17:36:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x1ba581…
06-01 17:23:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	440	50¢	$220	0x8eda33…
06-01 15:30:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x36c886…
06-01 15:05:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	185	50¢	$93	0x2d8ff2…
06-01 15:05:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	604	50¢	$302	0x747cfa…
06-01 14:51:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	448	50¢	$224	0x614efd…
05-30 19:45:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	537	48¢	$258	0xda7858…
05-19 21:06:28	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	2,128	100¢	$2,126	0x8c8058…
05-19 20:44:16	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2,128	53¢	$1,128	0xeacdce…
05-15 14:57:40	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	463	77¢	$359	0x6aa0cc…
05-14 10:47:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	463	43¢	$200	0x79ae85…
05-14 10:46:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x8f54b7…
05-12 10:10:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3,859	98¢	$3,765	0xf5fe42…
05-11 16:21:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	1,700	23¢	$392	0x8e1fe7…
05-11 15:31:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf2c39f…
05-11 15:31:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xebd09c…
05-11 15:30:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x6e9d91…
05-11 15:30:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x117871…
05-11 15:29:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xb52655…
05-11 15:28:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0xfc5139…
05-11 15:27:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x8a698e…
05-11 15:26:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0x6f2e35…
05-11 15:26:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0xd9a923…
05-11 15:26:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x3913c1…
05-11 15:26:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	370	30¢	$111	0x1018c2…
05-11 15:25:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x2de99b…
05-11 15:25:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	542	28¢	$151	0x087d12…
05-10 13:23:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0x6c7ffc…
05-06 21:01:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x02d655…
05-05 22:41:52	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	520	50¢	$260	0x718180…
04-29 21:04:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0xb7840f…
04-29 21:04:26	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	791	32¢	$250	0x6cbae7…
04-28 12:36:28	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	123	53¢	$65	0xc07636…
04-27 20:56:48	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	2,066	100¢	$2,064	0x559a15…
04-27 18:37:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2,098	49¢	$1,028	0x3d64f8…
04-27 18:36:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,142	90¢	$1,028	0x3c2794…
04-26 20:21:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,859	54¢	$2,090	0x1dab96…
04-26 20:20:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,320	90¢	$2,088	0x3c7fd5…
04-25 14:49:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,892	37¢	$1,070	0xf4e2fa…
04-21 20:53:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	570	40¢	$228	0xdf2d3c…
04-21 20:45:22	epl bri che 2026 04 21 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1,064	22¢	$234	0xd0e019…
04-21 14:39:24	epl bri che 2026 04 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,078	58¢	$625	0xa5d340…
04-19 11:32:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x141d53…
04-18 20:54:00	epl che mun 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	314	0¢	$0	0xd91b3a…
04-18 18:19:02	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	329	100¢	$329	0x65a365…
04-18 14:43:06	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x023610…
04-18 14:42:38	epl che mun 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xfb66a1…
04-17 18:54:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,927	52¢	$1,000	0x0d5482…
04-16 11:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,432	63¢	$2,162	0x67070a…
04-16 11:32:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2,336	93¢	$2,161	0x4b27b3…
04-16 10:38:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,878	63¢	$2,443	0x017e9a…
04-16 10:37:34	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2,634	93¢	$2,444	0x5a82a2…
04-15 16:19:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0x043619…
04-15 14:01:36	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	8,750	16¢	$1,400	0x050779…
04-15 14:00:16	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0x5e10f4…
04-15 13:50:56	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,691	33¢	$890	0x7c51e8…
04-15 13:36:46	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,691	45¢	$1,200	0xebf2c2…
04-15 13:32:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	818	30¢	$246	0x45c361…
04-15 13:10:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	818	58¢	$476	0x340705…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	54	$241.5K	19,633	06-10 02:55
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	41	$91.7K	970	06-09 23:04
Honest-Cufflink 0x40c2…b2fc	38	$1.48K	245	06-08 19:15
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	37	$2.98M	11,410	05-19 20:44
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	36	$1.31M	13,452	05-19 20:44
Unwilling-Leap 0x0c69…2b8d	35	$4.61K	2,059	05-04 07:00
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	34	$256.4K	7,222	04-30 08:43
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	32	$812.0K	2,956	05-19 18:53