Shameless-Limit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

129

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$268.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$535

Open exposure

$97

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-29 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Politics

58% 96% +$1,638

Other

34% 89% -$1,078

Crypto

5% 100% +$487

Tech

1% 100% +$237

Sports

1% 100% +$84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No		+97	$87	100¢	$97	+$10	10-24 11:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	31	$12.2K	12,036	6,529	+5,507	No	+$41	06-01 17:04
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	13	$10.5K	5,285	5,285	-0	Yes	+$62	07-17 16:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$10.4K	5,233	5,233	+0	No	-$5	07-17 09:55
will iran strike israel on march 10	26	$8.7K	4,528	4,528	+0	Yes	+$73	03-15 00:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$7.5K	3,749	3,749	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 09:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$7.4K	3,733	3,733	+0	Yes	+$11	05-25 01:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$7.2K	3,582	3,582	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$7.1K	3,530	3,530	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 22:43
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	9	$5.8K	5,812	0	+5,812	No	+$35	08-03 09:29
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$5.8K	5,778	0	+5,778	No	+$12	08-01 03:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?	1	$5.8K	5,767	0	+5,767	Yes	+$12	07-28 23:53
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	8	$5.5K	5,544	0	+5,544	Yes	+$44	07-20 01:43
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	3	$5.3K	5,499	0	+5,499	Yes	+$220	07-17 16:32
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	19	$5.1K	5,148	0	+5,148	No	+$10	07-09 12:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5.1K	5,139	0	+5,139	No	+$15	07-02 01:36
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	5	$4.8K	4,829	0	+4,829	Yes	+$5	06-18 00:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	18	$4.8K	5,123	0	+5,123	No	+$320	06-20 02:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$4.8K	4,824	0	+4,824	Yes	+$39	06-16 14:29
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$4.8K	4,786	0	+4,786	No	+$5	06-16 01:51
israel closes its airspace by june 10	4	$4.7K	4,769	0	+4,769	No	+$61	06-11 02:33
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$4.7K	4,708	0	+4,708	No	+$5	06-09 04:12
Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime?	10	$4.7K	4,703	0	+4,703	Yes	+$19	06-08 12:58
iran full airspace closure by august 15	1	$4.5K	4,503	0	+4,503	No	+$14	08-15 01:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$4.5K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$11	05-29 14:00
will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	1	$4.4K	4,403	0	+4,403	No	+$4	06-14 02:58
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	3	$4.4K	4,412	0	+4,412	No	+$37	07-11 01:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$3.9K	3,918	0	+3,918	Yes	+$4	07-27 02:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	3	$3.9K	3,899	0	+3,899	Yes	+$12	10-29 00:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	4	$3.9K	3,888	0	+3,888	Yes	+$23	10-24 14:01
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$3.7K	3,952	0	+3,952	Yes	+$237	09-08 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:39:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	783	100¢	$781	0xa8b306…
10-29 00:23:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb6f7a…
10-29 00:13:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,108	100¢	$3,098	0xb7fcfe…
10-24 14:01:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	238	99¢	$237	0x4f7807…
10-24 13:52:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc324ba…
10-24 13:46:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	318	99¢	$316	0x267071…
10-24 13:37:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3,327	99¢	$3,307	0xad8988…
10-24 11:54:30	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0xda1b58…
10-24 06:31:39	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0xdb7aa2…
09-08 23:32:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x78ba7e…
08-29 16:46:36	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0a074c…
08-29 16:45:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,085	76¢	$1,582	0x573f06…
08-29 16:42:10	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xb11a75…
08-29 16:41:55	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xb6c92f…
08-29 16:40:18	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x842e33…
08-29 16:38:34	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x6268d6…
08-29 16:38:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	524	76¢	$397	0xc05da1…
08-27 03:54:10	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,948	94¢	$3,711	0xe741cb…
08-22 13:02:04	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	444	99¢	$440	0xcd996e…
08-22 06:16:55	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x6d5cb6…
08-22 05:18:22	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x07a02c…
08-22 04:12:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	1,624	99¢	$1,606	0xeb14c3…
08-22 04:12:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	850	99¢	$841	0x457401…
08-22 03:41:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	374	99¢	$370	0xc1bbd5…
08-22 03:32:51	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	Yes	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0x09e83c…
08-19 00:35:31	Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x4e0931…
08-19 00:34:37	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x9160ba…
08-15 01:54:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0x4d4606…
08-15 01:53:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	4,503	100¢	$4,490	0x7d4e3b…
08-15 00:20:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xea55a9…
08-03 09:29:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x92c325…
08-03 09:28:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xfbf11d…
08-03 09:15:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x02715a…
08-03 09:15:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x01976c…
08-03 09:05:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x306e27…
08-03 09:05:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xc5d95f…
08-03 09:04:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0xcef513…
08-03 09:02:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdaa905…
08-03 09:01:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	4,501	99¢	$4,474	0x389273…
08-01 03:26:35	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	5,778	100¢	$5,766	0x357d07…
07-28 23:53:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?	Yes	BUY	5,767	100¢	$5,755	0x207aae…
07-27 02:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	3,918	100¢	$3,914	0xf4b62c…
07-25 13:37:03	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	64	88¢	$57	0xd45acc…
07-25 12:13:46	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x4417e7…
07-25 12:13:34	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xfd5a7f…
07-25 12:13:27	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xeb48c2…
07-25 04:41:42	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	722	98¢	$704	0xc474f5…
07-25 03:28:39	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	406	98¢	$396	0xe4e288…
07-25 03:23:22	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	2,602	98¢	$2,537	0x976fcc…
07-24 03:36:57	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	1,837	95¢	$1,745	0x55669a…
07-20 01:43:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,892	99¢	$4,853	0x403200…
07-20 01:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xe3d7c3…
07-20 01:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xc4c1a0…
07-20 01:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xc04e09…
07-20 01:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa4db01…
07-20 01:43:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x5fbc4e…
07-20 01:43:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xab8e25…
07-20 01:38:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0xf70822…
07-17 16:32:39	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0x7e2863…
07-17 16:30:12	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	3,172	96¢	$3,045	0xcca381…
07-17 16:29:19	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	2,312	96¢	$2,220	0x0fdca0…
07-17 16:29:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	335	100¢	$335	0xdff73f…
07-17 16:29:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	475	100¢	$475	0x5bbced…
07-17 16:29:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	525	100¢	$524	0x2f38d9…
07-17 16:29:00	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xc6d9b6…
07-17 16:29:00	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x00c07a…
07-17 16:28:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	445	100¢	$445	0xefd68b…
07-17 16:28:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	750	100¢	$749	0x7efe84…
07-17 16:28:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	565	100¢	$564	0x622a8f…
07-17 16:28:57	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	630	100¢	$629	0xb0d83e…
07-17 16:28:57	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x4d2f2d…
07-17 09:57:12	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	604	99¢	$597	0xce2bfb…
07-17 09:56:51	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	4,187	99¢	$4,137	0x84f37a…
07-17 09:56:34	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	493	98¢	$483	0x894c7a…
07-17 09:55:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5,233	100¢	$5,222	0xe00414…
07-15 03:07:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5,233	100¢	$5,227	0x290b0f…
07-12 22:22:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x2581a9…
07-12 16:55:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb84bc2…
07-12 16:53:28	iran successfully targets shipping on july 10	No	BUY	2,229	100¢	$2,220	0x9ad741…
07-12 16:46:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	276	98¢	$270	0x8dba7b…
07-12 16:45:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf7f3c5…
07-12 16:42:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	450	98¢	$441	0x9fff01…
07-12 16:41:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	833	99¢	$823	0xa79209…
07-12 16:12:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca205c…
07-12 16:07:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf91f60…
07-12 16:07:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x5fadcf…
07-12 16:07:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xe254d6…
07-12 16:06:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x7c181d…
07-12 15:58:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xdcf367…
07-12 09:54:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x9eb229…
07-11 01:13:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	2,173	99¢	$2,160	0x90beec…
07-11 01:12:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x32031e…
07-10 14:34:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	505	99¢	$499	0x9089f9…
07-10 14:16:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	1,734	99¢	$1,716	0x51891c…
07-10 14:13:14	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x8aa302…
07-10 13:21:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xd7e546…
07-10 12:55:26	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	384	100¢	$384	0xe19962…
07-10 12:53:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	No	BUY	420	99¢	$416	0xd3dc73…
07-09 12:27:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xf22349…
07-09 12:26:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x41fcc1…