Untried-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-03 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

81% 70% -$9

Other

19% 58% +$61

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$318	169	169	+0	No	+$18	05-16 02:35
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$219	132	132	+0	No	+$24	04-17 23:31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$178	251	0	+251	No	+$73	04-17 03:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$152	167	0	+167	No	+$15	04-24 21:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$150	195	0	+195	No	+$45	05-16 02:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$139	178	0	+178	No	+$39	04-11 03:55
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	1	$135	139	0	+139	Yes	+$4	04-02 18:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$121	152	0	+152	No	+$30	04-19 05:01
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$100	135	0	+135	Yes	-$100	06-03 21:44
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$100	119	0	+119	No	+$19	05-02 12:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	127	0	+127	No	+$27	05-02 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	05-03 04:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	-$100	06-03 21:32
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 29 2026	2	$74	38	38	+0	Yes	$0	03-30 02:03
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	2	$69	48	48	+0	Yes	-$5	03-30 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$66	81	0	+81	No	+$14	06-03 21:31
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 10:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	+$12	05-03 04:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	109	0	+109	Yes	-$50	06-03 21:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$50	83	0	+83	No	+$33	05-28 18:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$50	70	0	+70	Yes	-$50	06-03 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$50	77	0	+77	No	+$27	06-03 21:32
iran closes its airspace by june 15	1	$50	58	0	+58	Yes	-$50	06-03 21:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$44	62	0	+62	No	+$18	04-15 23:40
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	1	$36	37	0	+37	Yes	+$1	03-28 00:27
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	03-26 23:16
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	3	$33	35	0	+35	Yes	+$2	03-26 03:09
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	1	$33	37	0	+37	Yes	+$4	03-31 10:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 01:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$30	39	0	+39	No	+$9	05-19 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 21:44:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x039ea6…
06-03 21:44:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x0e900c…
06-03 21:42:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xcfcf80…
06-03 21:42:12	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa12e3d…
06-03 21:41:54	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x16a4ba…
06-03 21:41:09	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x32b8d5…
06-03 21:40:25	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa414db…
06-03 21:33:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x329255…
06-03 21:32:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9ee7e1…
06-03 21:32:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xb2b54d…
06-03 21:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	81	82¢	$66	0xba4c84…
05-28 18:14:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xff649b…
05-19 02:54:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xbe1748…
05-16 02:37:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0x3a5886…
05-16 02:35:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0x1758cb…
05-16 02:34:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	7¢	$13	0x5797a9…
05-09 14:43:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xac33ea…
05-09 14:43:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x0087da…
05-09 14:38:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	8¢	$15	0xc3ce71…
05-03 04:49:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x5c4370…
05-03 04:48:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x9934e6…
05-02 13:35:40	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa25dc7…
05-02 13:34:34	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x229407…
05-02 13:33:06	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdfcf0f…
05-02 12:50:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9d5a36…
05-02 12:47:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x57980b…
05-02 12:46:50	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x32a8ba…
04-24 21:05:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	91¢	$152	0x6f8a15…
04-19 05:01:26	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	152	80¢	$121	0x750f9c…
04-17 23:31:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	92¢	$121	0x089cd5…
04-17 03:12:08	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	251	71¢	$178	0xf6fe4c…
04-15 23:40:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0x761dc1…
04-12 15:40:27	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	74¢	$98	0x2dd1c0…
04-11 03:55:03	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	178	78¢	$139	0xb409ee…
04-02 18:47:33	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0x36b74b…
03-31 10:55:37	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$33	0x6e6d1c…
03-31 10:54:07	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x2d253c…
03-30 20:11:11	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe6faf5…
03-30 20:09:17	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	Yes	SELL	48	67¢	$32	0x8ff933…
03-30 02:05:20	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0xf45161…
03-30 02:03:54	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 29 2026	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x9f667b…
03-29 12:43:46	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x9e375c…
03-28 00:27:43	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xc5d642…
03-26 23:16:47	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xb1e1c3…
03-26 03:09:53	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x402ad4…
03-26 02:54:31	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x7b66a8…
03-26 01:08:51	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xec1b11…
03-26 01:08:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x213b8f…
03-26 01:01:01	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	No	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x9a682b…
03-24 04:00:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x322b62…