Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$212

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-30 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

97% 62% +$1,369

Politics

2% 67% -$8

Sports

1% 50% +$66

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+200	$185	100¢	$200	+$15	10-28 02:30
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+411	$10	2¢	$8	-$2	08-31 22:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+19	$21	16¢	$3	-$18	09-20 00:10
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+277	$97	0¢	$1	-$96	10-28 03:13
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+60	$15	0¢	$0	-$15	10-28 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	11	$3.7K	1,944	1,944	+0	Kia Tigers	+$216	10-09 18:12
will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	4	$2.5K	2,952	2,952	+0	No	+$232	08-05 06:41
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	1	$2.0K	2,017	0	+2,017	Yes	+$15	10-20 13:30
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	18	$1.3K	777	600	+177	open	—	10-18 19:50
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	10	$1.0K	753	753	+0	Yes	-$25	09-15 23:32
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$866	621	621	+0	open	—	10-28 01:48
Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams?	1	$801	802	0	+802	Yes	+$1	10-02 14:24
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G3 or higher?	2	$788	841	0	+841	No	+$53	10-03 00:05
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	9	$752	1,620	1,431	+189	largadosypelados	-$58	10-08 20:02
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G2?	2	$639	320	320	+0	No	+$0	10-03 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	13	$604	863	162	+701	Yes	+$273	10-22 13:36
Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $150B?	2	$599	669	178	+491	Yes	+$172	10-10 00:03
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	2	$514	562	562	+0	open	—	10-05 00:54
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?	8	$509	1,055	469	+586	No	+$36	08-04 13:56
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$491	999	999	+0	No	+$391	10-09 00:29
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	6	$451	720	23	+697	open	—	10-22 04:00
Will "Worldwide" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?	3	$443	412	200	+212	Yes	+$149	08-03 03:09
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	3	$392	421	0	+421	Yes	+$29	10-03 00:09
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	5	$378	588	188	+400	Yes	+$71	08-02 15:47
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	8	$364	751	0	+751	open	—	10-07 17:59
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$363	375	0	+375	Yes	+$11	10-06 12:19
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	2	$360	305	85	+220	No	+$30	10-06 12:45
Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	1	$360	366	0	+366	Yes	+$6	10-19 12:40
Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $12.8B?	1	$350	477	0	+477	Yes	+$127	10-10 08:54
cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	8	$342	230	160	+70	open	—	10-19 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	5	$335	526	250	+276	No	-$150	10-22 14:58
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?	1	$265	265	0	+265	open	—	10-31 22:22
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	5	$234	311	0	+311	open	—	10-12 06:33
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G1?	1	$228	230	0	+230	No	+$2	10-03 00:09
will china become the 2 global art market in 2026 20260626194726882	16	$203	770	270	+500	open	—	08-18 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:22:57	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x8963ff…
10-31 22:22:49	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf73055…
10-30 19:21:54	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 2.5%+?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x90c3c2…
10-30 19:21:18	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 1.5% to 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	264	13¢	$35	0x4b6b9e…
10-29 16:21:26	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x44977a…
10-28 03:13:30	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	525	3¢	$14	0xe66415…
10-28 03:13:30	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2fe112…
10-28 02:50:09	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x51e596…
10-28 02:30:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x60dce2…
10-28 02:28:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xe744e8…
10-28 02:17:33	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x853db3…
10-28 02:14:05	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	58	33¢	$19	0x2686b0…
10-28 02:09:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	61	11¢	$7	0xaf79d4…
10-28 02:05:18	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x1aca00…
10-28 02:01:26	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x4d236a…
10-28 01:59:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xae4931…
10-28 01:59:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3ab959…
10-28 01:59:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x5dc9bd…
10-28 01:59:05	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x62fe16…
10-28 01:58:03	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xa51afd…
10-28 01:48:41	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0xcaa016…
10-28 01:48:15	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0x4021f7…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xee7d0b…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xd400a3…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	84	66¢	$55	0xc622da…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb30350…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xa71a55…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7d4632…
10-28 01:48:11	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3e163f…
10-28 01:48:11	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	206	65¢	$134	0x159548…
10-28 01:43:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	415	75¢	$310	0x78573b…
10-28 01:37:06	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf66765…
10-28 01:32:48	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x178aa7…
10-28 01:32:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$27	0xc6c105…
10-28 01:27:14	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x45a09e…
10-28 01:26:39	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x9fe3a1…
10-28 01:24:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	125	72¢	$90	0x5d3e22…
10-28 01:21:56	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x89d4b6…
10-28 01:19:51	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	253	67¢	$170	0x479069…
10-28 01:19:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa95851…
10-28 01:16:53	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x98f060…
10-28 01:16:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x5767f8…
10-28 01:16:03	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x6e43d6…
10-28 01:12:57	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x09b3a8…
10-28 01:10:59	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	34	81¢	$27	0x0e934e…
10-22 15:00:33	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4a9c30…
10-22 14:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	250	19¢	$48	0xfbbb3e…
10-22 13:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x045906…
10-22 13:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	SELL	99	57¢	$56	0x94db9c…
10-22 13:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0xbd5c43…
10-22 13:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xbb2a6a…
10-22 13:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	280	56¢	$157	0x2ffc3a…
10-22 13:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	71	55¢	$39	0x3ccdce…
10-22 12:58:39	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xee7218…
10-22 12:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	145	42¢	$61	0x3c6cb8…
10-22 12:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9b4bb2…
10-22 12:28:51	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x2a792d…
10-22 12:25:20	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2ba0b0…
10-22 12:25:12	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 4°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3dd363…
10-22 12:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x837aa7…
10-22 12:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0x2502d1…
10-22 12:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x8b424f…
10-22 12:22:05	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	302	22¢	$66	0x26afa2…
10-22 12:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	90	63¢	$57	0x0ed58c…
10-22 12:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$14	0xc55962…
10-22 12:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	214	61¢	$130	0xbc33dc…
10-22 12:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0xc3b9a7…
10-22 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x5253e7…
10-22 12:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0x9dff61…
10-22 04:00:17	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x17854d…
10-22 01:24:47	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xf1e427…
10-22 01:03:41	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xfbe4bd…
10-22 00:06:26	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xea8cce…
10-22 00:06:23	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x777873…
10-21 23:08:44	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x2c643d…
10-21 23:00:06	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	220	61¢	$134	0xe58a7e…
10-21 22:55:21	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5f55dc…
10-21 22:54:56	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	99	49¢	$49	0x28a5dd…
10-21 22:54:51	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	107	49¢	$53	0x03af03…
10-21 22:54:03	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xab09fa…
10-21 14:21:45	Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C	CTRL Esports	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x8e8514…
10-21 14:21:45	Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C	CTRL Esports	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x674805…
10-21 14:21:44	Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C	CTRL Esports	BUY	200	13¢	$27	0xcacd81…
10-21 14:21:03	Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C	CTRL Esports	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xe35211…
10-20 13:30:18	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	2,017	99¢	$2,002	0x810c5f…
10-20 01:27:26	Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.2B?	Yes	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0x6acf3d…
10-19 12:43:47	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 93.5%+?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0xf8d4d3…
10-19 12:40:20	Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	Yes	BUY	366	98¢	$360	0xa571b4…
10-19 00:09:47	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 50%+?	Yes	BUY	187	6¢	$11	0xf4b46b…
10-18 19:50:23	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xd72724…
10-18 19:50:23	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0xd466a8…
10-18 09:16:00	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 93.5%+?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x26edfc…
10-18 00:21:47	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 21b	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x931016…
10-18 00:21:24	will broadcom avgo q4 ai revenue be above 20261008120151000 20b	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xc6ec91…
10-17 19:57:12	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 93.5%+?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf5eb88…
10-17 17:13:50	cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x530d7a…
10-17 17:13:48	cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xd4f876…
10-17 17:13:48	cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa343f4…
10-17 17:13:48	cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9857ca…
10-17 02:48:51	cvs health cvs q3 medical benefit ratio mbr 20261008120127000 93pt5 or more	No	BUY	230	82¢	$188	0x49e235…