Prime-Compulsion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$558

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

574

Trades

873

lifetime

Volume

$450.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$516

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Politics

88% 86% +$171

Other

12% 85% -$635

Sports

0% 76% -$70

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 50% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-28	-$22	92¢	$-26	-$4	05-31 21:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$22.3K	11,299	11,299	+0	No	+$237	02-25 17:35
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	3	$20.5K	10,303	10,303	+0	No	+$93	02-19 18:24
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	3	$20.2K	10,143	10,143	+0	No	+$81	02-12 18:56
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	2	$20.1K	10,166	10,166	+0	No	+$145	02-23 07:21
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	2	$20.1K	10,060	10,060	+0	No	+$50	02-14 17:02
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$20.0K	10,051	10,051	+0	No	+$41	02-16 07:42
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$12.0K	6,036	6,036	+0	Yes	+$30	03-09 22:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	6	$11.9K	6,210	6,210	+0	No	-$59	03-01 22:46
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$11.5K	11,640	0	+11,640	No	+$140	02-26 19:11
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$11.4K	11,480	0	+11,480	No	+$80	02-25 17:45
will the us next strike iran on february 5 2026 et	2	$11.0K	5,539	5,539	+0	No	+$28	02-06 19:14
will the us next strike iran on february 4 2026 et	2	$11.0K	5,530	5,530	+0	No	+$24	02-05 07:36
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	3	$10.9K	11,076	0	+11,076	No	+$190	02-23 07:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$10.5K	10,703	0	+10,703	No	+$203	02-20 07:45
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$10.4K	5,307	5,307	+0	No	+$164	02-28 02:34
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$10.3K	10,446	0	+10,446	No	+$146	02-19 18:27
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	2	$10.2K	10,212	0	+10,212	No	+$42	02-14 17:06
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	1	$10.1K	0	10,142	-10,142	No	-$10	02-22 09:02
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$10.1K	10,151	0	+10,151	No	+$51	02-16 07:45
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$10.0K	10,050	0	+10,050	No	+$50	02-12 18:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$8.6K	8,626	0	+8,626	No	+$26	03-02 18:31
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	5	$8.5K	8,662	0	+8,662	No	+$181	02-10 07:18
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	2	$7.0K	7,066	0	+7,066	No	+$66	03-24 06:45
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	7	$6.6K	6,681	0	+6,681	No	+$81	02-01 12:58
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	5	$6.3K	3,181	3,181	+0	No	+$77	02-10 07:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$6.1K	6,168	0	+6,168	No	+$68	03-14 19:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$6.0K	6,018	0	+6,018	Yes	+$18	03-10 07:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	03-07 14:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$6.0K	6,024	0	+6,024	No	+$24	03-05 18:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	2	$5.9K	5,924	0	+5,924	No	+$24	01-30 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:55:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xda0bae…
10-25 18:29:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe254e5…
10-25 16:48:51	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5170c2…
10-25 16:09:45	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5fd378…
10-24 22:51:59	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	Imperial	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xee6f9a…
10-24 22:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdf36b6…
10-24 22:46:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0xd28221…
10-23 19:22:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x726230…
10-22 23:05:15	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group B	Imperial	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x22788f…
10-21 19:33:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3b7c12…
10-21 19:32:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x27f8e6…
10-21 19:32:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 21?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x508dba…
10-20 22:19:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdbca51…
10-20 22:08:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 19?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x5bcf87…
10-19 22:09:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x319c1b…
10-18 18:51:32	Bears vs. Falcons	Bears	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdadde9…
10-18 18:50:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 19?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd5993b…
10-15 22:22:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8f1967…
10-15 22:17:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x18905d…
10-14 20:48:10	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x56af35…
10-14 20:37:31	Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdd16ec…
10-14 20:17:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x10b2e7…
10-14 20:13:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x5241a9…
10-13 22:22:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe9df6a…
10-13 22:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 13?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9a240c…
10-12 22:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 13?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x649b16…
10-12 22:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x9138ef…
10-11 22:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc8f946…
10-09 22:05:58	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	MEIA NOITE	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xec42bd…
10-09 22:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 10?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2ed4cf…
10-09 21:59:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x473fd3…
10-08 19:13:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0d5db2…
10-08 19:07:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 8?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x7a91de…
10-07 21:05:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe10b05…
10-07 21:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 7?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3c5849…
10-06 21:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 7?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2bf25a…
10-06 21:09:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xf55c9f…
10-05 21:59:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc6346b…
10-05 20:31:31	Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x9f6f1b…
10-05 20:28:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x3be906…
10-04 21:54:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x22ae29…
10-02 21:59:08	Will IR Tanger vs. Moghreb Athletic Tétouan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x8bcdd1…
10-02 21:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 2?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9c1a2d…
10-01 21:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdd3698…
10-01 21:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xadb0a2…
09-30 22:02:30	Will CS Cienciano vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa02b2c…
09-30 21:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc787f5…
09-30 21:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x1bbc81…
09-29 21:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4af089…
09-29 20:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x789f67…
09-28 21:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd5dee9…
09-28 21:52:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xa3ec36…
09-27 22:12:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x385e23…
09-25 23:19:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 26?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xfbbeb8…
09-25 23:18:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb4b5bf…
09-24 22:22:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbda9c7…
09-23 18:12:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb91386…
09-23 18:00:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x08c77f…
09-22 22:29:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa19976…
09-22 22:26:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x8bf84a…
09-21 22:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x93e37c…
09-21 22:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x24895f…
09-20 20:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3ef2d7…
09-20 20:04:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xcf1c9b…
09-19 21:00:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 20?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa75cbb…
09-19 20:55:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf9c310…
09-18 21:42:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9e08ec…
09-18 21:37:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xbaf0ca…
09-17 20:42:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4c78a5…
09-17 20:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb89912…
09-16 21:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x52867e…
09-16 21:33:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x5b8a46…
09-15 20:49:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x500adb…
09-15 20:45:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 15?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x3b731b…
09-14 19:41:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x57cf16…
09-14 19:40:03	Will Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x65162e…
09-14 19:38:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 14?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x20b742…
09-13 20:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 14?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x62438f…
09-13 19:57:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 13?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xbe4649…
09-13 19:46:33	Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xfbcda0…
09-12 21:04:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x550e7d…
09-12 21:00:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 12?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9f8ab4…
09-12 10:15:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x67f9aa…
09-11 21:51:57	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov	Alexander Zverev	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x26f0ba…
09-11 21:44:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 11?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xc63fe4…
09-10 19:48:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 11?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x089264…
09-10 19:33:52	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x262aba…
09-09 22:14:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 9?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x47eabd…
09-08 21:04:54	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3acbff…
09-08 21:02:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x31e23f…
09-06 21:21:46	Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	567	2¢	$10	0xf50b04…
09-06 21:21:21	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$10	0xa55056…
09-06 21:07:06	Counter-Strike: Overtake vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Group Stage	Overtake	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x328f58…
09-06 21:02:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5f6e12…
09-06 17:22:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2fa8cd…
09-06 17:01:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 6?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x53c829…
09-05 21:17:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 6?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf9ea4d…
09-05 21:03:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 6?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4a2da3…
07-15 22:41:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x329a82…
07-15 22:38:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 15?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x85779a…