Essential-Band — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved (90d)

237

Trades (90d)

473

1,684 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.2K

$34.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 09-06 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% -$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:35 UTC	3	$306	168	168	+0	Up	+$26	08-19 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:10 UTC	3	$273	145	145	+0	Down	+$13	08-19 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC	3	$235	126	126	+0	Down	+$15	08-20 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:15 UTC	4	$224	170	170	+0	Up	+$64	08-31 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:50 UTC	2	$222	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	08-08 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:40 UTC	2	$218	119	119	+0	Up	+$18	08-19 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:05 UTC	2	$218	119	119	+0	Down	+$18	08-19 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:00 UTC	4	$212	112	112	+0	Down	+$12	08-31 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$211	112	112	+0	Down	+$11	08-19 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:15 UTC	2	$188	99	99	+0	Down	+$8	08-19 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:25 UTC	2	$175	96	96	+0	Up	+$15	08-19 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	3	$151	105	52	+53	Up	-$49	08-08 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:20 UTC	2	$148	79	79	+0	Down	+$8	08-19 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 05:50 UTC	2	$144	75	75	+0	Up	+$4	08-31 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:45 UTC	2	$144	74	74	+0	Down	+$4	08-19 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:25 UTC	3	$143	76	76	+0	Up	+$8	03-26 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 00:05 UTC	2	$137	74	74	+0	Up	+$10	03-27 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 00:00 UTC	3	$135	77	76	+0	Down	-$7	03-27 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:05 UTC	2	$134	85	85	+0	Down	+$34	08-16 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:20 UTC	3	$132	68	68	+0	Down	+$3	03-26 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 09:10 UTC	4	$132	105	44	+61	Down	+$0	03-31 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:35 UTC	3	$131	72	72	+0	Down	+$11	08-08 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:15 UTC	3	$130	70	70	+0	Down	+$10	08-13 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$129	185	58	+127	Up	-$51	09-01 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:25 UTC	3	$129	70	70	+0	Down	+$9	08-14 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:30 UTC	2	$129	68	68	+0	Down	+$5	03-26 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:50 UTC	5	$127	74	73	+1	Up	+$5	03-30 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:55 UTC	2	$127	68	68	+0	Down	+$7	08-18 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:25 UTC	2	$125	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	08-19 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 10:25 UTC	2	$123	80	78	+3	Down	+$34	03-31 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 20:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x08ff3b…
09-06 20:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5761f6…
09-06 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x341e38…
09-06 20:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xea9969…
09-06 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xf38d12…
09-06 20:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x78a6fa…
09-06 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x151bc0…
09-06 20:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x5f81ca…
09-06 11:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xd62018…
09-06 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1bfc61…
09-06 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x202448…
09-06 11:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xbbae1a…
09-06 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xb7e1b5…
09-06 07:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xfbd7e9…
09-06 07:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x46a9a0…
09-06 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc26c3b…
09-06 06:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xa7bc3f…
09-06 06:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xc11857…
09-06 06:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x7bcc11…
09-06 06:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x477bf5…
09-06 06:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x454791…
09-06 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf0edc9…
09-06 04:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xd872d0…
09-06 04:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xbf5388…
09-06 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x47980e…
09-06 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xb52f4a…
09-06 04:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x417425…
09-06 04:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9e53a4…
09-06 04:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x801f9d…
09-06 04:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x7dc615…
09-06 04:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0f359e…
09-06 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xa976e1…
09-06 04:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xe77c08…
09-06 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xcbe56e…
09-06 03:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x08aa5b…
09-06 03:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x5f26c0…
09-06 03:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x379924…
09-06 03:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x68859a…
09-06 03:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xecdb13…
09-06 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x4de095…
09-06 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x5291ca…
09-06 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x08cdae…
09-06 00:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xa4a313…
09-06 00:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xba37f0…
09-06 00:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xa23437…
09-06 00:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x0199e1…
09-06 00:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x95bad0…
09-05 22:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0xd93b5d…
09-05 22:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x09220b…
09-05 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xc877c0…
09-05 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0x04b873…
09-05 21:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x296395…
09-05 21:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xac37f1…
09-05 09:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x0f7222…
09-05 09:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x2447c0…
09-05 08:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x7d02f3…
09-05 08:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x8d4795…
09-05 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x75eb18…
09-05 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xaf50f7…
09-05 08:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xb50887…
09-05 08:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x7df96b…
09-05 08:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x25fb43…
09-05 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe2007d…
09-05 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x96426e…
09-05 08:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x7279ae…
09-02 23:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x3c70e7…
09-02 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xecf0b3…
09-02 18:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xfe6d6e…
09-02 18:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x1a5b66…
09-02 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x4d7923…
09-02 17:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x5d85d8…
09-02 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xc9d071…
09-02 17:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x9d5010…
09-02 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x32ff14…
09-02 17:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x1c3d89…
09-02 17:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x5260c7…
09-02 17:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x0bde35…
09-02 17:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x52aa0a…
09-02 11:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x863c6d…
09-02 11:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x283f24…
09-02 09:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8b3d19…
09-02 09:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x292029…
09-02 08:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2e42ec…
09-02 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xac1c23…
09-02 07:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x13d151…
09-02 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x84f20c…
09-02 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd77e9a…
09-02 07:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1fabe5…
09-02 07:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x7503f7…
09-02 07:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x623290…
09-02 06:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x67c7ad…
09-02 06:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7e406e…
09-02 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xee7bcf…
09-02 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2fdc17…
09-01 21:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	127	32¢	$40	0x867cdc…
09-01 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0xed308f…
09-01 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x0ea5c7…
09-01 19:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x27f24b…
09-01 19:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2e45b1…
09-01 16:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x2048a4…