Orderly-Parachute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

2,387

Trades

3,250

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-28 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% -$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$240	255	0	+255	Up	+$15	05-22 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$170	207	0	+207	Down	+$37	05-18 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	13	$160	196	0	+196	Up	+$36	05-18 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$140	5,096	56	+5,039	Down	-$63	05-22 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	9	$140	151	0	+151	Down	+$11	05-21 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$135	149	9	+141	Down	+$16	05-18 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	13	$135	149	0	+149	Up	+$14	05-18 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	8	$133	141	10	+131	Down	-$1	05-22 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$133	161	36	+125	Down	+$6	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	10	$131	116	58	+58	Down	-$49	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$125	149	0	+149	Up	+$24	05-18 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	12	$120	138	0	+138	Up	+$18	05-18 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$120	136	0	+136	Up	+$16	05-21 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$110	112	0	+112	Up	+$2	05-21 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$105	115	0	+115	Up	+$10	05-22 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	12	$105	132	0	+132	Up	+$27	05-19 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-18 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$97	115	37	+78	Up	-$1	05-21 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	8	$92	116	58	+58	Down	-$68	05-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	9	$90	103	0	+103	Down	+$13	05-20 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	9	$90	99	0	+99	Up	+$9	05-18 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	10	$81	94	0	+94	Up	+$13	05-22 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$80	100	0	+100	Down	+$20	05-22 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$80	89	0	+89	Up	+$9	05-19 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$80	95	0	+95	Down	+$15	05-18 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$79	81	17	+64	Down	+$3	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$78	97	0	+97	Down	+$19	05-21 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$78	73	54	+18	Down	-$42	05-20 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$77	85	81	+4	Up	-$41	05-22 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$76	94	0	+94	Up	+$18	05-20 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xba4ff5…
10-28 12:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc92a5b…
10-27 13:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x545fe1…
10-27 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x00f8df…
10-27 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xad6088…
10-27 01:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x59f3f7…
10-26 16:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9b513d…
10-26 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbe243c…
10-26 11:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2fac75…
10-25 23:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb46e96…
10-25 23:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdbe4a5…
10-25 19:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ebc3e…
10-25 18:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x623b51…
10-25 16:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x16c107…
10-25 15:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x837f79…
10-25 03:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x574c10…
10-24 23:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x210a82…
10-24 15:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe46e45…
10-24 13:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6f02b…
10-24 11:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7fbd5f…
10-24 06:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xded15d…
10-23 22:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x30927b…
10-23 20:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca2377…
10-23 16:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x97924e…
10-23 13:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x76176c…
10-22 19:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb339ca…
10-22 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x013716…
10-22 18:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe3949c…
10-22 16:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x645421…
10-22 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc14a02…
10-22 14:41:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x71583f…
10-22 10:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd481ef…
10-22 04:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa2a413…
10-22 02:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x56c173…
10-21 22:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xebf048…
10-21 19:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7cef8b…
10-21 14:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x85204c…
10-21 14:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x94df24…
10-21 01:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x368a37…
10-21 01:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdc577c…
10-20 17:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2c5ab1…
10-20 16:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5f594b…
10-20 14:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x67c037…
10-20 13:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcc72d3…
10-20 13:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07bde1…
10-20 11:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf35124…
10-20 01:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x31d750…
10-20 01:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x65c8b7…
10-20 00:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x787a1b…
10-19 20:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x02121b…
10-19 19:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x67839b…
10-19 18:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa29175…
10-19 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x977370…
10-19 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf8fb6d…
10-19 10:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcf5e81…
10-19 09:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0dac9a…
10-19 03:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x92104d…
10-19 02:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf74035…
10-18 23:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x914874…
10-18 22:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6d4711…
10-18 20:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb8f0fc…
10-18 19:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x50d16b…
10-18 19:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xde8313…
10-18 16:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5161d3…
10-18 13:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa509de…
10-18 13:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1ba8ef…
10-18 04:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd00202…
10-18 03:06:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfcf9dd…
10-18 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xba00ec…
10-18 01:27:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x325f9f…
10-17 23:31:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9037e1…
10-17 20:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbfeb80…
10-17 16:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbb8d0d…
10-17 15:52:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2340ce…
10-17 14:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5a76ad…
10-17 14:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xef9458…
10-17 14:08:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x70a81b…
10-17 01:37:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb3e543…
10-17 00:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x822671…
10-16 23:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0661b7…
10-16 22:58:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4e5468…
10-16 17:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb0ae92…
10-16 16:52:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0e87ba…
10-16 16:41:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x52c098…
10-16 15:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6a644d…
10-16 13:47:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb8d442…
10-16 13:41:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x885e3d…
10-16 01:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb49e70…
10-16 01:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x757531…
10-15 23:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x04e62c…
10-15 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x66ed68…
10-15 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x221fad…
10-15 16:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x75dc45…
10-15 13:46:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb1192b…
10-15 12:30:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd2e554…
10-15 11:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1d5066…
10-15 04:31:20	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8440ec…
10-15 02:36:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4f3b41…
10-15 02:36:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfd0736…
10-14 23:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbb3021…