Orderly-Parachute — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved (30d)

234

Trades (30d)

236

3,337 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$454

$19.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 11-07 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% -$148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$240	255	0	+255	Up	+$15	05-22 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$170	207	0	+207	Down	+$37	05-18 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	13	$160	196	0	+196	Up	+$36	05-18 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$140	5,096	56	+5,039	Down	-$63	05-22 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	9	$140	151	0	+151	Down	+$11	05-21 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$135	149	9	+141	Down	+$16	05-18 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	13	$135	149	0	+149	Up	+$14	05-18 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	8	$133	141	10	+131	Down	-$1	05-22 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$133	161	36	+125	Down	+$6	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	10	$131	116	58	+58	Down	-$49	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$125	149	0	+149	Up	+$24	05-18 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	12	$120	138	0	+138	Up	+$18	05-18 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$120	136	0	+136	Up	+$16	05-21 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$110	112	0	+112	Up	+$2	05-21 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$105	115	0	+115	Up	+$10	05-22 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	12	$105	132	0	+132	Up	+$27	05-19 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-18 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$97	115	37	+78	Up	-$1	05-21 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	8	$92	116	58	+58	Down	-$68	05-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	9	$90	103	0	+103	Down	+$13	05-20 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	9	$90	99	0	+99	Up	+$9	05-18 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	10	$81	94	0	+94	Up	+$13	05-22 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$80	100	0	+100	Down	+$20	05-22 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$80	89	0	+89	Up	+$9	05-19 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$80	95	0	+95	Down	+$15	05-18 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$79	81	17	+64	Down	+$3	05-18 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$78	97	0	+97	Down	+$19	05-21 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$78	73	54	+18	Down	-$42	05-20 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$77	85	81	+4	Up	-$41	05-22 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$76	94	0	+94	Up	+$18	05-20 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x08f1d1…
11-07 12:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x26db45…
11-07 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1283a7…
11-06 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7ffa8d…
11-06 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x58bbcc…
11-06 17:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1a7abe…
11-06 16:18:06	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb4fd5b…
11-06 13:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7495b4…
11-06 03:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa92e6a…
11-06 00:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6a9c7a…
11-05 18:27:33	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd4703d…
11-05 13:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa1e99d…
11-05 12:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46b69d…
11-05 11:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x85c402…
11-05 00:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe8502a…
11-04 21:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb00a87…
11-04 18:36:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x83ba52…
11-04 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x77d48d…
11-04 14:41:10	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x52fab5…
11-04 11:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd4c44e…
11-04 11:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9878b8…
11-04 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x50f351…
11-04 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5b1c9e…
11-03 21:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb8f777…
11-03 14:37:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2cc8aa…
11-03 13:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd2240f…
11-03 12:30:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x41b783…
11-03 11:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2a42a8…
11-03 11:02:19	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa242c7…
11-03 02:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ee286…
11-03 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbb5ad8…
11-03 00:11:54	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28dd7e…
11-02 23:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xccd82b…
11-02 20:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7c9fef…
11-02 19:05:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1529c2…
11-02 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x99f23f…
11-02 16:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd54b2a…
11-02 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0ae9ae…
11-02 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb51a9f…
11-02 14:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9c9408…
11-02 13:32:00	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x01a814…
11-02 12:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9f2e54…
11-02 09:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x879278…
11-02 04:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x381713…
11-02 01:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0f57b3…
11-02 01:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4a61da…
11-02 00:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6a84c…
11-02 00:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe665c0…
11-01 18:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3371f0…
11-01 16:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x66bf93…
11-01 16:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x46767a…
11-01 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x31e599…
11-01 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f1b31…
11-01 14:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x330ce6…
11-01 14:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x907519…
11-01 13:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a4c13…
11-01 13:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1732ff…
11-01 08:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x20355f…
11-01 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x789ac4…
10-31 20:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x691f98…
10-31 17:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa91c42…
10-31 16:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xedb673…
10-31 12:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0fecbf…
10-31 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9ee47e…
10-30 19:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9a9432…
10-30 13:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xec2a26…
10-30 13:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x68aad5…
10-30 11:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xae8d0c…
10-30 04:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbf185e…
10-30 01:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa80db9…
10-30 01:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe6d81b…
10-30 01:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4732f3…
10-29 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3b677e…
10-29 19:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc38446…
10-29 13:17:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa378d5…
10-29 13:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6cee9c…
10-29 02:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x41dc6e…
10-29 02:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf99596…
10-29 02:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa3da7a…
10-29 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4f0882…
10-29 01:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x887035…
10-29 01:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb0948…
10-29 01:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x701d41…
10-29 01:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7c9adb…
10-29 00:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0e4275…
10-28 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdbad3f…
10-28 17:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfb6ed4…
10-28 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xba4ff5…
10-28 12:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc92a5b…
10-27 13:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x545fe1…
10-27 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x00f8df…
10-27 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xad6088…
10-27 01:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x59f3f7…
10-26 16:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9b513d…
10-26 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbe243c…
10-26 11:51:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2fac75…
10-25 23:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb46e96…
10-25 23:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdbe4a5…
10-25 19:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ebc3e…
10-25 18:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x623b51…