Defiant-Seeker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

985

Trades

1,062

lifetime

Volume

$43.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-08 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$12

Sports

15% 99% +$7

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	7	$100	50	50	-0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Miami Marlins	+$0	06-14 19:21
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$50	50	0	+50	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22
Ōita Trinita vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	05-17 07:02
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$50	50	0	+50	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:03
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$50	50	0	+50	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	09-20 21:48
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$50	50	0	+50	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
cs2 33 htx 2026 07 28	2	$50	50	0	+50	BET-M 33	+$0	07-28 16:09
atp kjaer gueymar 2026 07 20 first set winner Kjaer vs Gueymard Wayenburg	1	$50	50	0	+50	Gueymard-Wayenburg	+$0	07-21 14:18
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$50	50	0	+50	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
ucl pet egn 2026 07 08 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	07-08 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:25:42	Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C	MASONIC	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe16b48…
11-08 18:10:33	Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais	Emile Hudd	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf89af7…
11-08 04:25:46	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde6ba6…
11-08 00:39:12	UT Martin Skyhawks vs. IU Indy Jaguars	IU Indy Jaguars	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafb8d8…
11-07 21:54:00	Lamar Cardinals vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats	Abilene Christian Wildcats	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05a607…
11-07 19:26:48	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6234aa…
11-07 17:13:40	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc0e403…
11-07 16:39:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a3be1…
11-07 16:04:45	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa94b36…
11-07 14:47:33	Counter-Strike: Lunacy Team vs maybe - Map 2 Winner	Lunacy Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1de3d1…
11-07 12:28:09	Big Bash League, Women: Brisbane Heat vs Hobart Hurricanes	Brisbane Heat	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf87ab6…
11-07 08:17:49	M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon	Max Sheldon	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a7354…
11-06 20:34:52	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9da95c…
11-06 18:17:12	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Ryvex - Map 1 Winner	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78aa1e…
11-06 17:04:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xab96aa…
11-06 17:04:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0262b7…
11-06 13:41:48	Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group C	FORZE Reload	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fb079…
11-06 08:20:36	W100 Incheon: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yeonwoo Ku	Yeonwoo Ku	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc89c0d…
11-06 02:44:52	Blues vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xadcb53…
11-05 20:52:55	Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketball	Paris Basketball	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93659…
11-05 15:58:33	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x999fb5…
11-05 12:22:03	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	maybe	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3dca20…
11-02 15:24:07	Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata	Ryo Tabata	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x172840…
11-02 07:02:43	Taipei: Hou Chun Chien vs Kaichi Uchida	Hou Chun Chien	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x795bfe…
11-02 07:02:19	Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6bb5c…
11-02 03:58:40	Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura	Masamichi Imamura	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb733ad…
11-01 19:31:39	Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner	prodigy	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a807d…
11-01 14:52:30	Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ad0a6…
11-01 02:36:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb5268f…
11-01 01:39:06	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x41786b…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x4d5fe4…
11-01 00:43:15	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3f6b2a…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0eb67c…
11-01 00:05:40	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f102c…
10-31 23:42:16	Purdue vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f703c…
10-31 23:20:33	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7aff1…
10-31 23:14:46	Kansas vs. TCU	TCU	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb04204…
10-31 16:00:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8de529…
10-31 00:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x08b497…
10-30 23:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa904ad…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3d8423…
10-30 16:39:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x44002d…
10-30 16:24:40	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3970cd…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f880e…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40bb26…
10-29 16:56:22	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0aa380…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe789cb…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9857c3…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3302ee…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5f78e7…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16a415…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdae572…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x806439…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25490d…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa32f6f…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe02c08…
10-24 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd66913…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe982c6…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcdc2dd…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7f131…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x37a134…
10-23 19:42:09	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3c182…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6548f5…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x794a7e…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x969d17…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc07235…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf7e18e…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x109aeb…
10-20 17:07:15	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x705617…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059e18…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7478c7…
10-19 19:11:29	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51bd2b…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf84974…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf992f1…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaa4cf4…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd58a5a…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1450d4…
10-17 13:14:11	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5ccdeb…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f5fe1…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8f0089…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36f844…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55c6da…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6322d0…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6802c3…
10-13 17:38:01	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcff8f5…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a27cd…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x70c261…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40559c…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x25dcc0…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb60b3d…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd2c24…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc5c4e…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x821e57…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d8c3a…
10-11 09:21:13	Jinan: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov	Omar Jasika	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8d112…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2a09d0…
10-11 04:59:56	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8d6438…