This-Diamond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-26 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% — —

Politics

6% 100% +$6

Crypto

2% 0% $-6

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	31	$2.3K	16,816	16,816	+0	open	—	04-30 14:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	18	$1.5K	2,010	811	+1,200	open	—	02-16 12:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	22	$772	4,472	5,086	-614	open	—	05-11 11:41
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	7	$579	399	399	+0	open	—	03-15 09:26
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	23	$547	365	365	+0	open	—	03-08 19:24
US civil war before 2027?	3	$502	0	546	-546	open	—	02-02 23:32
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	8	$398	219	219	+0	open	—	02-27 00:43
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	2	$344	175	175	+0	open	—	02-19 07:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	7	$343	270	270	+0	open	—	02-22 03:49
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	5	$321	190	190	+0	open	—	01-03 10:54
will russia join the board of peace	13	$297	660	660	+0	open	—	02-02 21:54
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	3	$290	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 19:41
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	12	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	02-15 07:38
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	7	$245	248	248	+0	open	—	01-29 15:41
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	4	$229	1,150	135	+1,015	open	—	01-02 14:30
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	7	$219	419	0	+419	open	—	03-29 11:24
nothing ever happens february 152	13	$176	404	354	+50	open	—	02-18 00:09
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	3	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 01:23
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	2	$165	200	200	+0	open	—	01-07 07:06
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	2	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 00:16
will bad bunny say fuck ice at the super bowl	7	$85	528	390	+138	open	—	02-06 15:46
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	4	$76	282	176	+105	open	—	02-06 21:35
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	10	$59	516	0	+516	open	—	04-06 11:03
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	3	$59	62	40	+22	open	—	04-27 15:40
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	3	$53	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	04-17 06:29
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	15	$46	420	0	+420	open	—	04-14 13:20
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	3	$45	3,375	2,500	+875	open	—	02-23 18:01
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	1	$42	1,408	0	+1,408	open	—	02-02 22:26
nothing ever happens elon edition	2	$16	0	18	-18	open	—	01-27 10:08
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-25 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 00:16:19	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xe66fb6…
05-25 23:22:25	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xddc99d…
05-11 11:41:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	612	6¢	$36	0x2744ad…
05-11 10:46:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	11¢	$99	0x953a67…
05-11 09:04:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	9¢	$13	0x07e03f…
05-10 15:37:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,025	8¢	$83	0x501eb4…
05-08 07:35:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	9¢	$21	0x01da84…
05-08 07:34:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6f6b1c…
05-08 07:34:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	9¢	$30	0x2586f8…
05-08 06:55:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x317297…
05-08 06:34:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	9¢	$27	0x6d092c…
05-08 06:20:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	9¢	$23	0x8280a9…
05-08 05:45:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x981869…
05-07 10:37:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x06ab14…
05-05 13:22:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x108224…
05-05 13:21:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xb99c4c…
05-05 01:15:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$16	0xbc4043…
05-04 04:51:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	8¢	$44	0xd131fc…
05-04 04:47:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	8¢	$8	0x6e62a9…
05-04 03:37:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	963	8¢	$76	0x7ed616…
05-04 01:16:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	261	8¢	$21	0xf1c177…
05-03 21:49:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,900	5¢	$101	0xadc787…
05-01 21:24:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	12¢	$35	0xf14e8b…
05-01 20:40:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	12¢	$13	0x9f0045…
05-01 20:39:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	12¢	$16	0x6bd5d4…
05-01 13:32:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	9¢	$44	0x0fe6be…
04-30 14:37:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	1¢	$16	0xfeee35…
04-29 04:59:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xfd5143…
04-29 03:38:24	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x4e22f4…
04-28 22:23:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	0¢	$8	0x667f7d…
04-27 15:40:36	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	27	59¢	$16	0x0261b8…
04-27 13:50:36	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	No	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xa1a93d…
04-27 12:26:50	Will there be exactly 1 major space weather event this week?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5cbce1…
04-27 12:20:58	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0xf83497…
04-25 23:39:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	2¢	$40	0x4f82eb…
04-25 08:53:34	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x823284…
04-24 14:52:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,088	2¢	$86	0xce1c57…
04-24 01:56:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf88c1a…
04-24 01:47:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	2¢	$6	0xb2d2aa…
04-24 01:24:28	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x745d5a…
04-24 01:22:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0x29ac8a…
04-24 01:15:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	2¢	$4	0xf1abf0…
04-22 21:12:20	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,258	5¢	$173	0x015084…
04-22 20:34:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	4¢	$18	0x155098…
04-22 20:13:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	4¢	$8	0x9e6a7b…
04-22 20:13:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,582	4¢	$101	0xb5dee7…
04-22 12:16:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,516	4¢	$254	0x7743b1…
04-20 22:23:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,849	5¢	$225	0x82356e…
04-20 16:29:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x0f5713…
04-20 16:28:48	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,812	2¢	$101	0x8f5ac2…
04-18 21:56:14	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x217e27…
04-17 21:07:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x232589…
04-17 21:01:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x70a250…
04-17 20:41:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf64448…
04-17 13:21:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0xf81280…
04-17 13:11:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0x2a82fd…
04-17 11:46:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xe64841…
04-17 07:19:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0e5594…
04-17 06:30:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0x969d63…
04-17 06:29:30	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x8016e0…
04-17 01:10:14	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	95¢	$138	0x6d1da4…
04-14 13:20:29	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	170	11¢	$19	0x097119…
04-14 13:05:19	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcb4d34…
04-14 12:53:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0xa9e02f…
04-14 12:53:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x67985f…
04-14 12:53:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x0ea9c7…
04-14 12:53:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x0685fc…
04-14 10:08:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf42e1d…
04-14 10:08:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8f84a0…
04-14 09:56:51	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x70ae38…
04-14 09:24:09	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7e09a1…
04-14 09:16:21	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xb7fe20…
04-14 09:16:21	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3bb64a…
04-14 09:16:21	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x152f3e…
04-14 08:36:17	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdb6eb5…
04-14 00:42:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x0c747a…
04-06 11:03:49	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	247	11¢	$27	0x8d9580…
04-06 11:03:05	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xed9cba…
04-05 19:37:21	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x25f9b3…
04-05 14:18:51	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	105	11¢	$12	0x287a56…
04-05 09:07:53	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x6f3bb4…
04-05 09:00:29	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x1c6c36…
04-05 06:59:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe0bda2…
04-05 06:45:09	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9ba748…
04-05 01:19:15	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0xc1b343…
04-05 00:24:05	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x79bea0…
04-01 07:33:17	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	97¢	$213	0x2809ed…
03-29 11:24:58	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x8c3391…
03-29 11:24:58	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x596063…
03-29 11:11:52	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb5580d…
03-29 11:09:30	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	111	52¢	$58	0xb74ab0…
03-29 11:09:30	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0x6b1bb0…
03-29 09:33:18	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x508acf…
03-28 09:09:21	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x0cf7b7…
03-26 17:40:33	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0x13595f…
03-21 01:23:09	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0xd31dbb…
03-19 12:20:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x37c5c6…
03-17 14:22:29	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x315d6e…
03-17 08:53:15	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x9be5b8…
03-15 09:26:25	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x6ef762…