Outrageous-Carload — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$657

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved (90d)

2,414

Trades (90d)

36,383

176,433 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29.9K

$186.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-22 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 247 days

Categories

Other

100% 61% +$7,244

Politics

0% 33% -$184

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 1218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	123	$331	920	920	+0	No	+$41	03-23 15:57
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 11c	118	$301	820	801	+18	Yes	+$39	02-12 13:25
highest temperature in nyc on february 19 2026 38 39f	103	$252	807	607	+200	No	-$1	02-20 02:56
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 13c	125	$243	1,709	1,709	+0	No	+$12	03-27 18:46
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 14c	117	$224	1,483	1,173	+310	No	+$12	03-22 15:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	48	$210	633	622	+11	Yes	+$89	07-07 16:29
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 14c	87	$204	2,092	1,908	+185	No	+$15	03-04 15:22
highest temperature in london on february 15 2026 10c	100	$197	1,120	1,084	+36	No	+$14	02-15 17:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	82	$195	678	678	+0	Yes	+$15	05-10 16:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 38 39f	58	$193	342	339	+3	Yes	+$15	02-13 19:54
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 8c	74	$190	452	452	+0	Yes	+$25	03-18 06:05
highest temperature in london on february 13 2026 9corhigher	59	$183	345	455	-110	No	-$68	02-13 13:22
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 38 39f	62	$183	348	340	+7	Yes	+$19	02-15 18:50
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	77	$182	577	577	+0	Yes	+$16	02-25 13:51
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	59	$181	348	348	+0	No	+$32	03-23 01:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?	262	$179	2,104	2,104	+0	No	+$47	07-07 20:11
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 13c	82	$178	1,400	1,134	+266	No	+$8	03-12 20:59
highest temperature in london on march 21 2026 13c	48	$175	337	337	+0	Yes	+$20	03-21 14:32
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	69	$168	1,321	1,321	+0	No	-$2	03-07 17:34
highest temperature in london on february 23 2026 14c	69	$167	941	941	+0	No	+$6	02-23 16:04
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 10c	61	$167	721	721	+0	No	+$5	03-25 15:00
highest temperature in toronto on april 9 2026 18corhigher	36	$165	153	153	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 20:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 80forhigher	95	$165	872	872	+0	No	+$18	04-13 18:54
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 14c	73	$165	841	841	+0	No	+$15	03-02 09:45
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 18c	87	$164	501	501	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 14:59
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	48	$164	429	429	+0	Yes	-$5	03-23 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 31?	68	$164	568	416	+152	No	-$10	08-31 23:01
highest temperature in london on march 10 2026 14c	90	$162	815	815	+0	Yes	+$18	03-10 14:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?	89	$161	1,391	1,391	+0	No	-$4	07-21 18:09
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	61	$160	277	277	+0	No	-$1	04-14 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x94b05a…
10-22 11:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	343	1¢	$2	0x181414…
10-22 11:00:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x6291cd…
10-22 07:49:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc434a8…
10-22 07:49:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbf1c3e…
10-22 07:49:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa7f63e…
10-22 07:49:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x3bd00e…
10-22 06:37:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6b1bd3…
10-22 06:15:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xe4228c…
10-22 06:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x2763b2…
10-22 05:53:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb6682b…
10-22 05:53:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x877e62…
10-22 05:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x5bdb4a…
10-22 05:38:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0xdcf723…
10-22 05:16:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0x62cbbd…
10-22 05:14:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xd97891…
10-22 03:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x9ae5fd…
10-22 02:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9f6dd1…
10-22 02:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x22dab0…
10-22 02:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xca05f4…
10-22 02:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6a560d…
10-22 02:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x5f603b…
10-22 02:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x3f773a…
10-22 02:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x10f2a9…
10-22 02:52:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe47198…
10-22 02:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x4bee4f…
10-22 02:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x34aa5a…
10-22 02:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x0408df…
10-22 02:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x748abb…
10-22 02:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdcb540…
10-22 02:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbdf928…
10-22 02:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x5c2bee…
10-22 02:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b197c…
10-22 02:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x608c18…
10-22 02:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x334c05…
10-22 02:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc69cc2…
10-22 02:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xc4482d…
10-22 02:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf9ab84…
10-22 02:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x09cded…
10-22 02:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xaddc6b…
10-22 01:36:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x1b7342…
10-22 01:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x002252…
10-22 01:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4146b6…
10-22 01:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x85ea60…
10-22 00:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x91ba44…
10-22 00:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3ddf41…
10-22 00:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa3632d…
10-22 00:34:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x771bcf…
10-22 00:11:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x48f9f2…
10-21 23:56:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb3f38e…
10-21 23:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x45384c…
10-21 23:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf6b26…
10-21 23:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xbc98e4…
10-21 23:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0x977a1c…
10-21 22:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3e9cf8…
10-21 22:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	853	0¢	$2	0x52d814…
10-21 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8afbcd…
10-21 22:40:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x78b29e…
10-21 22:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf74672…
10-21 21:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0xd5aceb…
10-21 21:49:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe99183…
10-21 21:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x31652e…
10-21 21:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xae4876…
10-21 21:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe9849f…
10-21 21:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x71a18b…
10-21 21:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x9aa88e…
10-21 21:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x7eeda5…
10-21 20:58:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x5d95f5…
10-21 20:58:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x24f058…
10-21 20:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x55145f…
10-21 20:57:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3775ea…
10-21 20:55:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe3b1ba…
10-21 20:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xfd0899…
10-21 20:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7ddbe0…
10-21 20:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd514ca…
10-21 20:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x8da6c6…
10-21 20:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x745cb5…
10-21 20:53:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1e221f…
10-21 20:52:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x8c709f…
10-21 20:52:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xc8650a…
10-21 20:52:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x3e428e…
10-21 20:45:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x91db44…
10-21 20:43:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x99c459…
10-21 20:43:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4467ed…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xfd94e2…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xdfb466…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9b2d46…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5442e1…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3c9788…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x3b4d68…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2acafa…
10-21 20:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x1fe7ff…
10-21 20:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x2dd896…
10-21 20:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x82740a…
10-21 20:28:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x7941b4…
10-21 20:25:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x21b9e3…
10-21 20:25:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0xb7ade5…
10-21 20:20:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xbe6691…
10-21 20:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4d2ea2…
10-21 20:17:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xedccda…