Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$78
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$76
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-10 21:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90%
Politics
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $19 77¢ $17 $-2 07-10 21:16
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 07-07 14:06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 06-24 18:36
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +9 $6 86¢ $8 +$2 06-10 15:23
China coup attempt before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-01 22:33
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 06-01 22:33
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $4 73¢ $5 +$1 06-17 02:57
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-05 05:46
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 06-13 00:45
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +59 $4 $3 $-1 07-01 17:37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $4 27¢ $2 $-2 06-01 22:34
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-03 14:24
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-19 14:01