Rash-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

461

lifetime

Volume

$582

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-09 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 50% $-9

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	9	$19	63	13	+50	open	—	05-01 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	12	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$14	122	12	+110	Down	$-1	05-11 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	12	$12	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	5	$12	29	9	+20	Down	$-0	05-11 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$12	20	10	+10	Down	$-2	05-11 10:54
eth updown 5m 1774182600	8	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	03-22 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	11	$10	28	11	+17	open	—	05-01 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	8	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	9	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 13:30
eth updown 5m 1774181400	6	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	03-22 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$9	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 13:08
btc updown 5m 1774167300	6	$8	131	6	+125	open	—	03-22 08:19
btc updown 5m 1774166100	6	$7	11	5	+5	open	—	03-22 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	6	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 09:23
btc updown 5m 1774165500	7	$7	42	8	+33	open	—	03-22 07:49
btc updown 5m 1774164300	5	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	03-22 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$7	11	4	+7	Up	$-5	05-11 14:35
btc updown 5m 1774167000	7	$7	21	12	+9	open	—	03-22 08:13
eth updown 5m 1774178100	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	03-22 11:18
eth updown 5m 1774176600	5	$7	37	37	+0	open	—	03-22 10:53
eth updown 5m 1774182900	5	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 12:39
eth updown 5m 1774180800	6	$6	13	13	+0	open	—	03-22 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$6	7	4	+3	open	—	05-27 08:48
eth updown 5m 1774176000	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-22 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$6	9	6	+3	Up	+$3	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$5	67	17	+50	Up	$-1	05-10 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:24:30	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe9cdc6…
06-09 07:16:51	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5788f9…
06-09 05:55:01	btc updown 15m 1780983900	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe833cd…
05-27 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f9f49…
05-27 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa037c3…
05-27 08:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xb18342…
05-27 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xde2605…
05-27 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa44d1a…
05-27 08:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb776d3…
05-26 13:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x418bf7…
05-26 13:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x43a7f8…
05-26 13:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7dbe2b…
05-26 12:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xbe45fe…
05-26 12:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x0dd7aa…
05-26 12:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x8d0493…
05-26 12:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ed663…
05-26 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe3dcdb…
05-26 12:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f04ab…
05-26 12:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x908998…
05-26 12:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x96b590…
05-26 12:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6ab485…
05-26 12:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7bbf60…
05-26 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3bf33e…
05-24 08:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x4bd3f1…
05-24 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x929cca…
05-21 02:42:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc137d7…
05-19 14:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7e7c89…
05-19 12:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x92acc0…
05-19 12:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x1f763b…
05-19 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x01ecdb…
05-19 03:38:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d73bb…
05-19 03:10:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe087a3…
05-17 04:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8af7fc…
05-17 04:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x873005…
05-17 04:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf63e2a…
05-16 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb6fbc4…
05-16 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a2a03…
05-16 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7504e2…
05-16 08:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1d2770…
05-16 08:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d9153…
05-16 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x7be2f2…
05-16 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99ba78…
05-15 05:23:40	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbc1812…
05-15 05:22:07	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd826e0…
05-15 05:19:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x518889…
05-15 05:19:14	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5c80ce…
05-15 05:19:09	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x12a316…
05-14 16:04:41	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4e7e1d…
05-14 02:56:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x301da3…
05-14 02:53:11	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcce508…
05-11 14:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xae7194…
05-11 14:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6b824e…
05-11 14:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe14651…
05-11 14:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd1b36d…
05-11 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xe8ec67…
05-11 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf99bbe…
05-11 10:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa9cc20…
05-11 10:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x18f8ff…
05-11 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x57b8e7…
05-11 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x07af35…
05-11 10:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1c9792…
05-11 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x62cff8…
05-11 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x941a06…
05-11 10:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0d6432…
05-11 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x89a2cb…
05-11 09:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd9986a…
05-11 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ae582…
05-11 09:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x02926f…
05-11 08:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x12e93b…
05-11 08:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa46a38…
05-11 08:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6c010b…
05-11 08:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x2abecb…
05-11 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdd66e7…
05-11 08:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8dd1ff…
05-11 08:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd83a54…
05-11 08:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92b99e…
05-11 08:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x56c783…
05-11 08:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9a3221…
05-11 08:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfee0a9…
05-11 08:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xdea653…
05-11 08:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4e372a…
05-11 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x26d733…
05-11 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbc208a…
05-11 07:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xab9b9c…
05-11 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2b4f5b…
05-11 07:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4e6d67…
05-11 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb96168…
05-11 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xdaf29c…
05-11 07:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf2053a…
05-11 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x0a6b54…
05-11 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4b9f97…
05-11 07:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x5867a6…
05-11 07:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8e7d79…
05-11 07:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xdd5c2c…
05-11 07:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb2da90…
05-11 07:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xc939ee…
05-11 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x334f8f…
05-11 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd64cb1…
05-11 03:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc809fe…
05-11 02:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x23c3ea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	130	$27.8K	3,381	05-27 08:51
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	95	$8.27K	1,712	06-09 07:27
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	93	$36.1K	920	06-09 07:29
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	88	$1.48K	190	05-27 08:08
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	85	$4.37K	876	05-17 04:14
Enraged-Finisher 0xff3e…34e0	83	$1.16K	154	06-09 07:15
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	80	$12.1K	2,251	05-27 08:50
Peaceful-Identification 0x4b8e…05a9	75	$630	288	05-11 14:39