Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$143
$440 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,238
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $36 | $57 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $15 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $11 | $0 |
| Below median | 10 | $12 | $42 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $4 | $3 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | $6 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torn-Trick 0x938d…8674 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 03:13 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +31 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 05-15 13:27 |
| Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 05:09 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-15 12:59 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x11a4…bba6 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 04:08 |
| Well-Worn-Tech 0xb36f…b8a8 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:16 |
| Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 19:34 |
| Rash-Subsidy 0xaa59…09fe | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 12:54 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 01:35 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 04:10 |
| Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:26 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:29 |
| Silky-Piece 0x75bd…c8bb | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:30 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2242…89bc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:27:40 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xefd8b1… |
| 05-15 13:26:03 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x154b6b… |
| 05-15 13:17:24 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x318bca… |
| 05-15 12:59:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x4b6327… |
| 05-15 12:54:42 | Rash-Subsidy 0xaa59…09fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x6ffde5… |
| 05-15 11:26:20 | Bland-Pounding 0x25af…8cde | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xc20f5e… |
| 05-15 10:16:21 | Well-Worn-Tech 0xb36f…b8a8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xe2f4c5… |
| 05-15 05:09:12 | Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xf6292b… |
| 05-15 04:10:15 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xd9e06f… |
| 05-15 04:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x11a4…bba6 | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x80f961… |
| 05-15 04:00:26 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x51ea9e… |
| 05-15 03:40:23 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xc2a3a3… |
| 05-15 03:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x2242…89bc | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x209035… |
| 05-15 03:13:23 | Torn-Trick 0x938d…8674 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xeb66c2… |
| 05-15 00:52:48 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9d6740… |
| 05-14 19:34:35 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xedab99… |
| 05-14 19:34:35 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x532b28… |
| 05-14 16:29:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x438b10… |
| 05-14 11:04:24 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd414c0… |
| 05-14 07:09:14 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xfa22d8… |
| 05-14 05:10:53 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x8ea62e… |
| 05-14 05:10:53 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x843da7… |
| 05-14 01:50:41 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 55 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xcaedce… |
| 05-14 01:40:32 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xf75334… |
| 05-14 01:40:28 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x47c281… |
| 05-14 01:40:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x0934e7… |
| 05-14 01:35:25 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x598af2… |
| 05-14 01:30:31 | Silky-Piece 0x75bd…c8bb | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xd5b2d0… |
| 05-14 00:41:07 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x1eaa5c… |
| 05-13 22:39:49 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x5ee3fd… |