Subdued-Prostanoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

232

Trades

1,436

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-08 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 98% +$3

Other

12% 0% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	6	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 15:15
sol updown 5m 1774384200	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	03-24 20:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	5	$23	22	2	+20	open	—	04-25 00:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 19:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 03:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 19:38
sol updown 5m 1774384500	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-24 20:38
sol updown 5m 1775008800	7	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 02:01
solana up or down march 20 2026 6pm et	9	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	03-20 22:40
sol updown 5m 1773877500	11	$11	10	8	+1	open	—	03-18 23:49
sol updown 15m 1774032300	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-20 18:59
btc updown 5m 1774274100	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:59
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 25	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 19:50
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 29	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-29 16:10
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 27	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-27 23:26
btc updown 5m 1773719400	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	03-17 03:54
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	3	$9	47	33	+15	open	—	04-11 07:14
sol updown 5m 1775085600	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-01 23:22
sol updown 15m 1774033200	7	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-20 19:14
sol updown 5m 1775009400	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 02:13
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-27 04:15
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 07:24
sol updown 5m 1773876600	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 23:33
btc updown 5m 1773717900	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-17 03:29
btc updown 5m 1773804900	3	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	03-18 03:39
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	04-02 01:19
btc updown 5m 1774229400	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 01:34
sol updown 5m 1774269600	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 12:43
btc updown 5m 1773809100	7	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-18 04:49
solana up or down april 2 2026 2pm et	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:48:30	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x158ff9…
06-08 15:39:22	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x27905d…
06-08 00:48:42	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6e745b…
05-31 22:58:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd413c1…
05-31 22:54:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x924885…
05-31 22:51:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3d0213…
05-31 21:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3bd1a0…
05-31 21:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x3cf0bc…
05-31 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89612b…
05-31 21:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x98c5e8…
05-31 21:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4da304…
05-31 21:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x399439…
05-31 21:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x1b38a2…
05-31 21:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd07574…
05-31 21:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe8c153…
05-31 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc58f10…
05-31 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5bc862…
05-31 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x321859…
05-31 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5e02df…
05-31 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf2801d…
05-31 20:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x986722…
05-31 20:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf54cb3…
05-31 20:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6e6e38…
05-31 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3fe81b…
05-31 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xff0a36…
05-31 20:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d0e19…
05-31 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x62739b…
05-31 19:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x99ac9c…
05-31 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xab54ff…
05-31 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xaaeb06…
05-31 19:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc80d82…
05-31 19:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x309e1d…
05-31 19:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa0f63f…
05-31 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x52b6b2…
05-31 19:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x9c74f1…
05-31 19:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x260f20…
05-31 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc8e31f…
05-31 19:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x04145f…
05-31 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xe00332…
05-31 18:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc1457f…
05-31 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2ed611…
05-31 18:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc7a0b3…
05-31 18:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbb23b5…
05-31 18:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4bc957…
05-31 17:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xca9f1e…
05-31 17:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x80381f…
05-31 17:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x49c932…
05-31 17:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2f5ec…
05-31 17:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf88305…
05-31 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x857143…
05-31 17:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x0fdb99…
05-31 17:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf7eaf3…
05-31 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc8458b…
05-31 17:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7ff930…
05-31 16:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xdde650…
05-31 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4b7404…
05-31 15:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf77ba9…
05-31 15:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x34e69e…
05-31 15:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc32dc7…
05-31 15:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf6a0d…
05-31 15:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xca6363…
05-31 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5a18c1…
05-31 14:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1861f9…
05-31 14:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf6fe8…
05-31 04:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6380df…
05-31 04:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa6cc73…
05-31 00:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ead10…
05-30 23:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x945037…
05-30 22:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeee20d…
05-30 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa5d381…
05-30 17:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6aa27…
05-30 17:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x74c93a…
05-30 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x958d7f…
05-30 14:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x68bccd…
05-30 14:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x60aa95…
05-30 14:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3731f4…
05-30 02:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7752ce…
05-30 02:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x520714…
05-30 01:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbcbfb7…
05-30 01:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf83bed…
05-29 22:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x53dfbd…
05-29 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa184ba…
05-29 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb29b0…
05-29 18:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x586a9c…
05-29 18:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x034f77…
05-29 17:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8d1aa0…
05-29 03:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe8f730…
05-29 02:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6738b8…
05-29 02:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd17975…
05-29 01:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa2951d…
05-29 01:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe1f6e6…
05-29 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xac4464…
05-29 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa89c6f…
05-28 23:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x870130…
05-28 21:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xffbd50…
05-28 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x058416…
05-28 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x01c682…
05-28 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdb43a1…
05-25 22:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x08a48f…
05-25 22:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a357…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	750	$229.1K	21,354	05-31 21:46
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	683	$65.2K	13,380	05-31 21:48
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	515	$568	1,728	05-31 21:48
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	499	$124.9K	7,854	06-09 12:12
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	481	$184.3K	55,959	05-23 21:31
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	475	$22.1K	1,080	06-09 06:43
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	444	$49.2K	3,390	05-31 21:48
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	432	$57.8K	10,671	05-31 21:41