Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$231

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

198

202 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.96K

$2.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$68

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-11 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

79% 7% -$837

Politics

21% 100% +$112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	+2,253	$33	1¢	$33	-$1	11-11 17:00
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	No	+917	$58	3¢	$24	-$34	11-05 16:35
Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	Yes	+961	$22	1¢	$11	-$11	11-11 16:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	Yes	+86	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-10 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$507	314	314	+0	Yes	+$112	11-04 01:45
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	2	$289	1,650	0	+1,650	No	-$289	11-09 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	41	$228	2,700	1,500	+1,200	No	+$132	11-07 16:10
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	1	$200	1,429	0	+1,429	No	-$200	07-09 00:18
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$194	498	0	+498	No	-$194	05-19 17:18
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	1	$96	589	0	+589	No	-$96	07-10 18:04
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	5	$94	700	0	+700	Yes	-$94	11-10 16:45
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?	3	$58	917	0	+917	open	—	11-05 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	9	$54	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$54	11-06 06:20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	2	$50	822	0	+822	Yes	-$50	11-07 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	6	$48	590	0	+590	Yes	-$48	11-06 16:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	5	$45	1,583	0	+1,583	No	-$45	11-06 06:49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	1	$40	267	0	+267	Bilibili Gaming	-$40	11-09 00:32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	1	$40	1,388	0	+1,388	No	-$40	11-09 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	12	$40	4,712	0	+4,712	No	-$40	11-04 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	7	$39	1,674	174	+1,500	No	-$6	11-10 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	3	$33	2,253	0	+2,253	open	—	11-11 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$30	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$30	11-06 09:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$23	2,310	0	+2,310	No	-$23	11-06 14:15
Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	2	$22	961	0	+961	open	—	11-11 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	1	$21	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$21	11-05 23:18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	4	$21	700	0	+700	No	-$21	11-04 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	15	$21	9,491	0	+9,491	No	-$21	11-08 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	2	$20	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$80	11-09 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$20	11-07 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	5	$20	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$20	11-10 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$20	11-10 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	8	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$20	11-11 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	5	$18	8,111	0	+8,111	No	-$18	11-11 13:30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	2	$15	1,572	0	+1,572	No	-$15	11-09 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 17:00:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0x51a9c7…
11-11 16:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	5¢	$18	0xa4e0e5…
11-11 16:58:57	Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	Yes	BUY	781	1¢	$5	0xaadd48…
11-11 16:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	513	1¢	$5	0xbed503…
11-11 16:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x672bef…
11-11 16:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x416ee4…
11-11 16:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x872bfa…
11-11 16:33:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0xa77e2a…
11-11 16:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	578	1¢	$6	0x44042f…
11-11 16:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x5cb1d1…
11-11 16:31:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x950b55…
11-11 14:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x103846…
11-11 13:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0x3056d7…
11-11 13:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x1cf7d1…
11-11 13:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,154	0¢	$4	0xd25bad…
11-11 13:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,646	0¢	$6	0xc3e912…
11-10 19:13:12	Will 240 or more House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?	Yes	BUY	180	10¢	$17	0x5e5320…
11-10 19:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$3	0xddba79…
11-10 19:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x9b20d8…
11-10 19:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$4	0x5e431a…
11-10 19:09:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xbd2bd0…
11-10 16:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x8c3e93…
11-10 16:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	2¢	$8	0x40cc2c…
11-10 16:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x10a842…
11-10 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xefb549…
11-10 16:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$4	0x6797a4…
11-10 16:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x3c2e5a…
11-10 16:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xea110b…
11-10 16:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	141	15¢	$21	0x53e3dd…
11-10 16:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0x253cb0…
11-10 16:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xff9038…
11-10 16:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xd33ca5…
11-10 16:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	2¢	$5	0x58215d…
11-10 16:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	441	0¢	$2	0xc91220…
11-10 15:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,941	1¢	$19	0xa739ef…
11-10 15:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x7f3257…
11-10 14:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x065094…
11-10 14:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,430	0¢	$7	0xfc1c10…
11-10 14:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x72dd55…
11-10 14:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x26c0f0…
11-10 14:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x021862…
11-10 02:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	2¢	$5	0x0d9a69…
11-10 02:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	1¢	$5	0x2c3abb…
11-10 02:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xe540ec…
11-09 16:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2eaa9b…
11-09 14:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,388	3¢	$40	0x010be2…
11-09 14:57:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc2ed61…
11-09 10:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	551	1¢	$6	0xe9b509…
11-09 10:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	1¢	$2	0xfac445…
11-09 10:10:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x9e3d58…
11-09 00:43:00	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	457	11¢	$50	0xde3ffd…
11-09 00:38:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$5	0xb8e83d…
11-09 00:32:19	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	T1	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0xa21077…
11-08 23:33:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xe58251…
11-08 23:21:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x1f7c35…
11-08 23:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0xe7f53b…
11-08 23:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xa72cb7…
11-08 23:12:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x5f6656…
11-08 22:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$1	0xcf939e…
11-08 22:17:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x62d36b…
11-08 20:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x4ca9e4…
11-08 20:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x359ed6…
11-08 20:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x054317…
11-08 20:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xa9e954…
11-08 20:13:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4d5975…
11-08 19:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0092cf…
11-08 19:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5dabc1…
11-08 19:32:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$5	0x6f65b4…
11-08 19:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	413	1¢	$5	0x89d9d1…
11-08 14:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xe6ad84…
11-08 14:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x4dcd00…
11-08 08:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$4	0x701279…
11-08 08:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x5f4a9e…
11-08 08:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x160072…
11-08 07:55:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x35031b…
11-08 07:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf6ba0b…
11-08 07:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x2c22d7…
11-08 07:51:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3e5aa5…
11-08 07:51:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x859d00…
11-08 07:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x027760…
11-08 07:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xe42b7f…
11-08 07:18:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaec4d8…
11-08 05:55:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb07791…
11-08 05:50:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xae3f2b…
11-08 05:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	2¢	$8	0x48c3da…
11-08 05:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xda1708…
11-08 05:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x40c108…
11-08 05:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3c7be3…
11-08 05:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x469e79…
11-08 05:45:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2f39ee…
11-08 05:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	10¢	$17	0xdef18c…
11-08 05:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf864f6…
11-08 05:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,491	0¢	$10	0x2fed57…
11-07 20:23:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$10	0xe057ac…
11-07 16:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xd39781…
11-07 16:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x2ab7dc…
11-07 16:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	2¢	$5	0x9d057c…
11-07 16:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$5	0xa0d3af…
11-07 16:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x0c0009…
11-07 16:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4fbdda…