Concrete-Grape — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$386

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.5%

Resolved (90d)

27,556

Trades (90d)

50,297

85,693 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.1K

$21.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-26 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 5% +$514

Other

8% 2% +$40

Politics

4% 50% +$14

Sports

1% 27% -$18

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 987 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	10	$161	100	100	+0	No	+$2	06-16 08:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	5	$108	80	80	+0	No	+$6	06-16 06:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	11	$80	140	90	+50	No	+$16	06-17 06:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	9	$54	128	128	+0	No	-$9	06-16 06:30
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	5	$52	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-14 16:03
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?	5	$46	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 13:01
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?	7	$45	80	80	+0	No	+$0	06-15 03:36
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	10	$39	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-13 22:57
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-14 19:05
Will Türkiye be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$33	160	160	+0	No	-$1	06-13 11:57
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-13 05:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$3	06-16 06:50
Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-12 09:03
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	6	$30	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-15 00:30
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?	3	$27	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-11 16:24
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-14 10:19
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 07:55
will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	2	$24	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-16 04:16
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 05:50
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 00:16
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$4	06-18 08:06
Will Elliot Anderson stay at Nottingham Forest?	4	$20	140	20	+120	No	-$8	06-19 09:30
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	3	$20	40	40	+0	Up	-$6	06-18 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	7	$18	35	0	+35	Down	-$3	05-13 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	13	$18	60	0	+60	Up	+$7	05-16 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 06:35 UTC	3	$17	40	0	+40	Up	+$3	08-07 06:39
Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$17	28	28	+0	No	-$8	06-19 18:50
spy closes above 740 on june 12 2026	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 14:04
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	3	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 04:42
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	5	$14	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-13 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2aecc5…
10-26 22:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9a1867…
10-26 22:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xce8c66…
10-26 22:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x17fe13…
10-26 22:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x65df0c…
10-26 22:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x426b52…
10-26 21:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x02c507…
10-26 21:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe01af6…
10-26 21:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x455a3f…
10-26 20:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xeeb824…
10-26 20:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x042106…
10-26 20:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe20b18…
10-26 19:58:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xab49b8…
10-26 19:58:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa0cc52…
10-26 19:53:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x60d0aa…
10-26 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x07f939…
10-26 19:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3bb543…
10-26 19:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5a4b3…
10-26 18:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x76f115…
10-26 18:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x33717c…
10-26 18:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x03cba3…
10-26 18:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2540f5…
10-26 18:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4288ad…
10-26 18:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2096f0…
10-26 17:38:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x176f3a…
10-26 16:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfcb408…
10-26 15:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa61aa7…
10-26 14:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xbdcff4…
10-26 14:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7bfb6d…
10-26 14:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdffa4f…
10-26 13:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x87f2ba…
10-26 13:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3e9de0…
10-26 12:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5391ab…
10-26 12:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x059ac4…
10-26 12:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2e261c…
10-26 11:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xec7271…
10-26 11:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x72fb5a…
10-26 11:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x469d63…
10-26 10:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xff6694…
10-26 09:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4b2442…
10-26 08:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x57250f…
10-26 08:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0271c4…
10-26 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x738ab2…
10-26 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x58314c…
10-26 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3caa8f…
10-26 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x12db1b…
10-26 07:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xee4903…
10-26 07:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9e50da…
10-26 07:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x73ab29…
10-26 07:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa75464…
10-26 07:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa01dee…
10-26 07:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x58e34a…
10-26 07:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x19e516…
10-26 07:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x374a50…
10-26 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa8a5ef…
10-26 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x49255a…
10-26 07:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xefad17…
10-26 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x066c50…
10-26 06:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x91c204…
10-26 06:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf64fcf…
10-26 06:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x77b59b…
10-26 06:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x882a6d…
10-26 06:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x91b743…
10-26 06:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x59852e…
10-26 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4831d5…
10-26 05:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1ac4c3…
10-26 05:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x438759…
10-26 05:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf57e4c…
10-26 05:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe554af…
10-26 05:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x0a346e…
10-26 05:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x198886…
10-26 04:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc0c19b…
10-26 04:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x36b98c…
10-26 04:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x47d060…
10-26 04:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0bb4bb…
10-26 04:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0ab2d5…
10-26 04:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x224699…
10-26 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5dfbbb…
10-26 03:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x704d5f…
10-26 03:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1038ad…
10-26 03:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8f80a1…
10-26 03:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4dc7ca…
10-26 03:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x21002e…
10-26 02:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x51518c…
10-26 01:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x062e9c…
10-26 00:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x89aef9…
10-25 23:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 25?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe64147…
10-25 23:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x029937…
10-25 22:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 25?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xda2ac9…
10-25 22:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbd9ed4…
10-25 22:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3a8b91…
10-25 22:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2b5728…
10-25 22:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x8a8056…
10-25 21:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb09805…
10-25 21:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1e457d…
10-25 21:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xca4930…
10-25 21:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc976b2…
10-25 21:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x24e065…
10-25 20:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 25?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb7cf49…
10-25 20:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xae783b…