Hopeful-Primate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

830

Trades

5,316

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-01 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% $-58

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-18	$-16	96¢	$-17	$-1	07-01 13:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$284	143	161	-18	open	—	07-01 13:15
btc updown 5m 1780809600	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	06-07 05:22
btc updown 5m 1780897200	2	$117	85	85	+0	open	—	06-08 05:42
btc updown 5m 1780896600	2	$113	80	80	+0	open	—	06-08 05:32
btc updown 5m 1780815600	3	$110	91	59	+33	open	—	06-07 07:01
btc updown 5m 1780812000	2	$108	76	76	+0	open	—	06-07 06:02
btc updown 5m 1780810200	2	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	06-07 05:32
btc updown 5m 1780836300	3	$104	71	71	+0	open	—	06-07 12:48
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	2	$92	49	49	+0	open	—	05-26 11:17
btc updown 5m 1780896900	2	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	06-08 05:38
btc updown 5m 1780816500	2	$83	59	59	+0	open	—	06-07 07:18
btc updown 5m 1780816200	2	$78	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$75	75	75	+0	Down	+$17	05-09 12:09
btc updown 5m 1780816800	2	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 07:22
btc updown 5m 1780808700	2	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 05:09
btc updown 5m 1780815000	2	$72	47	47	+0	open	—	06-07 06:55
btc updown 5m 1780817700	2	$60	115	0	+115	open	—	06-07 07:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	05-27 12:55
btc updown 5m 1780755600	2	$41	82	0	+82	open	—	06-06 14:21
btc updown 5m 1780811400	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	06-07 05:46
btc updown 5m 1780810500	2	$40	111	0	+111	open	—	06-07 05:38
btc updown 5m 1780810800	1	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	06-07 05:39
btc updown 5m 1780812300	1	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	06-07 06:03
btc updown 5m 1780896000	1	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	06-08 05:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	15	122	-107	open	—	06-01 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$36	38	8	+30	open	—	05-01 22:29
btc updown 5m 1780751400	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	06-06 13:06
btc updown 5m 1780817100	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	06-07 07:24
btc updown 5m 1780815900	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	06-07 07:03
btc updown 5m 1780807800	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	06-07 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:15:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9440ec…
07-01 13:14:10	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf098d9…
06-29 15:36:26	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1cbe83…
06-25 05:40:35	btc updown 5m 1782366000	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x73485f…
06-25 05:35:44	btc updown 5m 1782365700	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x010c67…
06-25 05:33:17	btc updown 5m 1782365400	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x717f0b…
06-25 05:27:05	btc updown 5m 1782365100	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7c480c…
06-24 11:23:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x28999f…
06-22 06:37:43	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa32166…
06-21 05:11:26	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xcf41e3…
06-21 04:28:16	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf6347c…
06-17 12:45:08	btc updown 15m 1781700300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12fff0…
06-17 12:31:34	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xff6e27…
06-17 12:31:34	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x43289d…
06-17 12:30:55	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8346e4…
06-17 12:16:43	btc updown 15m 1781698500	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd34205…
06-17 12:16:40	btc updown 15m 1781698500	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f01dc…
06-17 12:05:04	btc updown 15m 1781697600	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc6676f…
06-17 12:05:01	btc updown 15m 1781697600	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x69ce65…
06-17 12:00:52	btc updown 15m 1781697600	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe088dc…
06-17 12:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781697600	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x11b3b9…
06-17 11:45:46	btc updown 15m 1781696700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd681ba…
06-17 11:45:13	btc updown 15m 1781696700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaf6be0…
06-17 11:34:23	btc updown 15m 1781695800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd25986…
06-17 11:34:23	btc updown 15m 1781695800	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7007b0…
06-17 11:30:07	btc updown 15m 1781695800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6227f2…
06-17 11:17:28	btc updown 15m 1781694900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1ce3a…
06-17 11:16:31	btc updown 15m 1781694900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7e9843…
06-17 11:15:11	btc updown 15m 1781694900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb2b968…
06-17 11:15:05	btc updown 15m 1781694900	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcde734…
06-17 11:01:17	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xed3f11…
06-17 11:01:14	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0ce750…
06-17 11:00:05	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4bae95…
06-17 10:47:17	btc updown 15m 1781693100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x18d953…
06-17 10:46:19	btc updown 15m 1781693100	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x089b11…
06-17 10:45:23	btc updown 15m 1781693100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb00b8e…
06-17 10:36:13	btc updown 15m 1781692200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3decc2…
06-17 10:35:59	btc updown 15m 1781692200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5555ca…
06-17 10:31:25	btc updown 15m 1781692200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x425f81…
06-17 10:30:08	btc updown 15m 1781692200	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xad99e0…
06-17 10:15:59	btc updown 15m 1781691300	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xca7998…
06-17 10:15:58	btc updown 15m 1781691300	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3126ed…
06-17 10:15:37	btc updown 15m 1781691300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b370e…
06-17 10:00:46	btc updown 15m 1781690400	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5add8…
06-17 10:00:41	btc updown 15m 1781690400	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa7e154…
06-17 10:00:14	btc updown 15m 1781690400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x37e145…
06-17 10:00:05	btc updown 15m 1781690400	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe1fe10…
06-17 09:52:35	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb5c74c…
06-17 09:45:34	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0d0a8…
06-17 09:45:22	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a629a…
06-17 09:45:16	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7a3aab…
06-17 09:45:11	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6104e7…
06-17 09:32:05	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa5a06d…
06-17 09:32:05	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8645d2…
06-17 09:31:53	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x381e27…
06-17 09:31:43	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x042e52…
06-17 09:31:32	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1d045f…
06-17 09:18:23	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xd3cce0…
06-17 09:18:20	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc8d02e…
06-17 09:18:20	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbaabbc…
06-17 09:18:01	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1f3d8…
06-17 09:15:47	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd0b301…
06-17 09:15:05	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x787586…
06-17 09:00:49	btc updown 15m 1781686800	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6961a8…
06-17 09:00:16	btc updown 15m 1781686800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd96880…
06-17 08:51:40	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xdf7407…
06-17 08:51:38	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x47e6c6…
06-17 08:49:58	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfb4cac…
06-17 08:48:37	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8ff388…
06-17 08:45:07	btc updown 15m 1781685900	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x18d90b…
06-17 08:30:28	btc updown 15m 1781685000	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xff11ed…
06-17 08:30:10	btc updown 15m 1781685000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc6315a…
06-17 08:16:32	btc updown 15m 1781684100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7b3e97…
06-17 08:16:29	btc updown 15m 1781684100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0d1ed…
06-17 08:15:29	btc updown 15m 1781684100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcf33cc…
06-17 08:15:07	btc updown 15m 1781684100	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6beb81…
06-17 08:01:38	btc updown 15m 1781683200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe378b2…
06-17 08:01:37	btc updown 15m 1781683200	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa078d2…
06-17 08:01:22	btc updown 15m 1781683200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8e19f1…
06-17 08:01:01	btc updown 15m 1781683200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe572e3…
06-17 08:00:56	btc updown 15m 1781683200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7347f5…
06-17 07:45:13	btc updown 15m 1781682300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3c4142…
06-17 07:45:05	btc updown 15m 1781682300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9137a…
06-17 07:30:56	btc updown 15m 1781681400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x27ef0d…
06-17 07:30:05	btc updown 15m 1781681400	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf4f2eb…
06-17 07:18:14	btc updown 15m 1781680500	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x023e2c…
06-17 07:18:11	btc updown 15m 1781680500	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x03160d…
06-17 07:15:58	btc updown 15m 1781680500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x991ade…
06-17 07:15:19	btc updown 15m 1781680500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6fcc0f…
06-17 07:01:44	btc updown 15m 1781679600	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x537989…
06-17 07:01:07	btc updown 15m 1781679600	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x23b5a9…
06-17 07:00:17	btc updown 15m 1781679600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf2a25d…
06-17 07:00:05	btc updown 15m 1781679600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2c2541…
06-17 06:55:32	btc updown 15m 1781678700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x761db4…
06-17 06:46:23	btc updown 15m 1781678700	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2c1d90…
06-17 06:46:02	btc updown 15m 1781678700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa64ffc…
06-17 06:45:07	btc updown 15m 1781678700	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6586b6…
06-17 06:32:01	btc updown 15m 1781677800	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x10a40a…
06-17 06:31:53	btc updown 15m 1781677800	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe988a6…
06-17 06:30:25	btc updown 15m 1781677800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xddba9a…