Hopeful-Primate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

830

Trades

5,453

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-14 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 62% $-58

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-54	$-51	96¢	$-52	$-1	07-14 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$319	143	196	-54	open	—	07-14 10:20
btc updown 5m 1780809600	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	06-07 05:22
btc updown 5m 1780897200	2	$117	85	85	+0	open	—	06-08 05:42
btc updown 5m 1780896600	2	$113	80	80	+0	open	—	06-08 05:32
btc updown 5m 1780815600	3	$110	91	59	+33	open	—	06-07 07:01
btc updown 5m 1780812000	2	$108	76	76	+0	open	—	06-07 06:02
btc updown 5m 1780810200	2	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	06-07 05:32
btc updown 5m 1780836300	3	$104	71	71	+0	open	—	06-07 12:48
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	2	$92	49	49	+0	open	—	05-26 11:17
california wealth tax defeats opposing propositions 20260701211429348	2	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	07-02 09:57
btc updown 5m 1780896900	2	$89	60	60	+0	open	—	06-08 05:38
btc updown 5m 1780816500	2	$83	59	59	+0	open	—	06-07 07:18
btc updown 5m 1780816200	2	$78	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$75	75	75	+0	Down	+$17	05-09 12:09
btc updown 5m 1780816800	2	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 07:22
btc updown 5m 1780808700	2	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	06-07 05:09
btc updown 5m 1780815000	2	$72	47	47	+0	open	—	06-07 06:55
btc updown 5m 1780817700	2	$60	115	0	+115	open	—	06-07 07:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	05-27 12:55
btc updown 5m 1780755600	2	$41	82	0	+82	open	—	06-06 14:21
btc updown 5m 1780811400	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	06-07 05:46
btc updown 5m 1780810800	1	$40	82	0	+82	open	—	06-07 05:39
btc updown 5m 1780812300	1	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	06-07 06:03
btc updown 5m 1780896000	1	$40	77	0	+77	open	—	06-08 05:19
btc updown 5m 1780810500	2	$40	111	0	+111	open	—	06-07 05:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	15	122	-107	open	—	06-01 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$36	38	8	+30	open	—	05-01 22:29
btc updown 5m 1780751400	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	06-06 13:06
btc updown 5m 1780817100	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	06-07 07:24
btc updown 5m 1780815900	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	06-07 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 10:20:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x8ceacd…
07-09 10:16:55	btc updown 5m 1783592100	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x7c8473…
07-09 10:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783592100	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x30fa98…
07-09 10:16:08	btc updown 5m 1783592100	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x3043d8…
07-09 10:15:53	btc updown 5m 1783592100	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x355362…
07-09 10:10:49	btc updown 5m 1783591800	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x32a0a4…
07-09 10:10:37	btc updown 5m 1783591800	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x14a836…
07-09 10:06:47	btc updown 5m 1783591500	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x71bad4…
07-09 10:06:10	btc updown 5m 1783591500	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x879739…
07-09 10:06:02	btc updown 5m 1783591500	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x64f029…
07-09 10:05:31	btc updown 5m 1783591500	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xeb30b8…
07-09 10:04:04	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8d9042…
07-09 10:02:17	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa46269…
07-09 10:02:10	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5f6507…
07-09 10:00:37	btc updown 5m 1783591200	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf2e91e…
07-09 09:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783590900	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x79120f…
07-09 09:56:04	btc updown 5m 1783590900	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbb861e…
07-09 09:54:20	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x801253…
07-09 09:51:01	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x73f457…
07-09 09:50:43	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1708f0…
07-09 09:50:23	btc updown 5m 1783590600	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x10071a…
07-09 09:46:35	btc updown 5m 1783590300	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8d4e9e…
07-09 09:37:25	btc updown 5m 1783589700	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa9292e…
07-09 09:37:16	btc updown 5m 1783589700	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfd5e45…
07-09 09:36:46	btc updown 5m 1783589700	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4d8f33…
07-09 09:36:14	btc updown 5m 1783589700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd300c8…
07-09 09:32:14	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfd6cfe…
07-09 09:32:14	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Down	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x5a0925…
07-09 09:32:02	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5904a4…
07-09 09:31:41	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4fd2b4…
07-09 09:31:32	btc updown 5m 1783589400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf2e84e…
07-09 09:23:32	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xfbd488…
07-09 09:23:25	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb80656…
07-09 09:22:29	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xba5d72…
07-09 09:20:59	btc updown 5m 1783588800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe5c332…
07-09 09:17:22	btc updown 5m 1783588500	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xdb223b…
07-09 09:16:35	btc updown 5m 1783588500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf86f8c…
07-09 09:16:07	btc updown 5m 1783588500	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd062e1…
07-09 09:15:59	btc updown 5m 1783588500	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x20380d…
07-09 09:14:20	btc updown 5m 1783588200	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xa160da…
07-09 09:11:37	btc updown 5m 1783588200	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x808964…
07-09 09:08:04	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x4e409c…
07-09 09:07:53	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x209ea1…
07-09 09:06:10	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe63c1d…
07-09 09:05:58	btc updown 5m 1783587900	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0c4eb4…
07-09 09:03:59	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x014db5…
07-09 09:02:50	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6c4190…
07-09 09:01:46	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x2f30e2…
07-09 09:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783587600	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc9ac1f…
07-09 08:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783587300	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x956ab7…
07-09 08:57:22	btc updown 5m 1783587300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x95c868…
07-09 08:54:20	btc updown 5m 1783587000	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x65aa15…
07-09 08:50:50	btc updown 5m 1783587000	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x98f5c8…
07-09 08:44:23	btc updown 5m 1783586400	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd282b5…
07-09 08:40:52	btc updown 5m 1783586400	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3a26d3…
07-09 08:37:01	btc updown 5m 1783586100	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x096073…
07-09 08:36:14	btc updown 5m 1783586100	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb183e3…
07-09 08:32:01	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x67b14a…
07-09 08:31:52	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3afab1…
07-09 08:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2c6a2f…
07-09 08:30:47	btc updown 5m 1783585800	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x799ebb…
07-09 08:27:35	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc5419f…
07-09 08:27:22	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd78d9f…
07-09 08:26:17	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x50f34a…
07-09 08:26:02	btc updown 5m 1783585500	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc29c68…
07-09 08:24:32	btc updown 5m 1783585200	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xfc534f…
07-09 08:21:14	btc updown 5m 1783585200	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x779b58…
07-09 08:18:43	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5d26f6…
07-09 08:18:32	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7be94f…
07-09 08:18:02	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x526af3…
07-09 08:17:10	btc updown 5m 1783584900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaa8cd6…
07-09 08:14:22	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb1a657…
07-09 08:12:55	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8fb5f3…
07-09 08:11:47	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8c2062…
07-09 08:11:38	btc updown 5m 1783584600	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdb90cf…
07-09 08:08:19	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x09e0c1…
07-09 08:07:31	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x51dfb9…
07-09 08:05:50	btc updown 5m 1783584300	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9b35ed…
07-09 08:01:26	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x50731e…
07-09 08:01:10	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9cf371…
07-09 08:00:59	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2632ba…
07-09 08:00:50	btc updown 5m 1783584000	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc5938c…
07-09 07:55:43	btc updown 5m 1783583700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x971f06…
07-09 07:53:47	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xbea92d…
07-09 07:53:22	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xee910a…
07-09 07:52:52	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd05052…
07-09 07:52:41	btc updown 5m 1783583400	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd23797…
07-09 07:46:35	btc updown 5m 1783583100	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0fb1bf…
07-09 07:39:20	btc updown 5m 1783582500	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x876260…
07-09 07:36:31	btc updown 5m 1783582500	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc6527d…
07-09 07:34:20	btc updown 5m 1783582200	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4de6ac…
07-09 07:30:50	btc updown 5m 1783582200	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x54c27d…
07-09 07:28:47	btc updown 5m 1783581900	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x789a09…
07-09 07:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783581900	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x465ec3…
07-09 07:27:44	btc updown 5m 1783581900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb97b5a…
07-09 07:21:23	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x90d532…
07-09 07:18:29	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe27765…
07-09 07:17:05	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3aa5db…
07-09 07:16:11	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x40abe9…
07-09 07:10:29	btc updown 5m 1783581000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c6d24…