Shameful-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-16 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$0

Sports

18% 0% $-9

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 71% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	+25	$13	53¢	$13	$-0	06-15 14:38
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	+20	$11	50¢	$10	$-1	06-08 01:28
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	+20	$9	47¢	$9	+$0	06-10 10:39
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	+20	$8	34¢	$7	$-1	06-11 05:55
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	56¢	$3	$-1	06-15 19:32
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	44¢	$2	$-0	06-11 02:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	13	$341	500	300	+200	open	—	06-01 19:42
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	24	$333	347	330	+17	open	—	05-31 21:26
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	21	$247	461	228	+233	open	—	05-30 22:56
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	15	$153	1,876	69	+1,807	open	—	05-31 13:21
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	14	$144	2,271	73	+2,198	open	—	05-31 11:02
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	6	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 23:27
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	24	$137	1,443	90	+1,353	open	—	05-31 05:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?	5	$124	92	92	+0	open	—	06-01 19:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$123	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 17:30
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	27	$122	1,225	48	+1,177	open	—	05-31 02:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$102	129	114	+15	open	—	05-30 15:31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	7	$84	162	40	+121	open	—	06-02 15:47
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	5	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 21:50
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	13	$70	60	45	+15	open	—	05-30 18:31
will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	25	$67	100	44	+56	open	—	06-04 20:15
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	9	$64	81	81	+0	open	—	06-05 13:12
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys	10	$52	355	34	+321	open	—	05-30 20:08
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	5	$50	0	103	-103	open	—	06-04 08:25
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$47	83	15	+68	open	—	06-05 21:35
grok 4pt4 released by july 31	2	$37	36	36	+0	open	—	06-09 07:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$35	24	28	-4	open	—	05-31 13:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$34	69	13	+56	open	—	05-25 03:16
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	2	$34	40	40	+0	open	—	06-02 22:37
will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	5	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	06-13 07:00
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	16	$32	462	10	+452	open	—	05-30 22:36
will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	6	$32	47	47	+0	open	—	06-05 21:42
will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	7	$29	50	10	+40	open	—	06-06 19:44
will trump speak to elon musk in june	3	$27	34	34	+0	open	—	06-13 10:23
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	2	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	06-03 18:26
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	2	$23	29	29	+0	open	—	06-05 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 17:55:58	Halle Berry as Storm?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x1385fa…
06-15 19:32:57	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x486fe0…
06-15 19:32:54	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xb36fc0…
06-15 14:38:04	Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xed55dd…
06-15 11:42:06	Halle Berry as Storm?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa9daae…
06-15 02:08:03	Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdf7881…
06-14 14:57:25	Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x2942f6…
06-13 10:23:31	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xf2db2e…
06-13 09:59:48	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xe82054…
06-13 09:58:21	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	34	52¢	$17	0xa9923c…
06-13 07:00:13	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$13	0x8865c4…
06-11 05:55:40	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x25167b…
06-11 05:55:40	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x089b41…
06-11 02:38:21	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x56a779…
06-11 02:36:42	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0xaaadf7…
06-11 02:26:10	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd78478…
06-11 02:25:49	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd1f0b0…
06-10 18:00:55	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd2baa7…
06-10 17:09:24	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xf97ed1…
06-10 10:39:06	Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa30a3a…
06-09 13:34:36	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x7fc32b…
06-09 13:13:46	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x23f5c4…
06-09 07:19:54	grok 4pt4 released by july 31	No	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0x1ae3a7…
06-09 07:19:48	grok 4pt4 released by july 31	No	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xd2019e…
06-08 01:28:28	Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x69ec60…
06-07 19:42:39	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1543cc…
06-07 11:32:28	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x94aef5…
06-07 09:38:42	Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x25adbb…
06-07 06:42:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xed911a…
06-06 19:44:25	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xdb69c5…
06-06 19:43:28	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x252562…
06-06 07:35:12	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdc3f52…
06-06 07:35:04	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb32173…
06-06 07:25:09	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2920ed…
06-06 07:15:12	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f59fc…
06-06 07:15:04	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe51beb…
06-05 21:42:09	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x12a907…
06-05 21:37:18	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x4a934e…
06-05 21:35:42	will trump praise susan dell by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc437f0…
06-05 21:35:40	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xc74225…
06-05 21:35:33	will usd fall to 1pt7m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xadaeec…
06-05 21:35:33	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x04370f…
06-05 20:11:21	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0x60a978…
06-05 13:55:31	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0xb4b5f2…
06-05 13:44:52	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x54a3be…
06-05 13:12:25	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xcb8cdc…
06-05 10:08:00	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x604ca9…
06-05 06:47:24	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xcdc1b1…
06-05 06:47:09	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	19	39¢	$8	0x627c0f…
06-05 06:47:03	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xfcbdf5…
06-05 06:39:52	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x38b846…
06-05 06:39:48	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x7d606d…
06-04 21:42:13	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x51be34…
06-04 21:40:16	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0c16a0…
06-04 20:15:13	will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2bbd3d…
06-04 20:13:19	will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	No	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0xe11616…
06-04 20:12:52	will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	No	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x579444…
06-04 20:10:37	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xe9f1f8…
06-04 20:09:37	will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x391871…
06-04 11:59:10	will trump praise susan dell by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x80a1a3…
06-04 11:41:00	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0x29393a…
06-04 09:36:34	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$10	0x44e5ea…
06-04 08:47:30	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x871e41…
06-04 08:47:27	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa7a3cc…
06-04 08:44:09	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x940755…
06-04 08:25:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x4d5ed4…
06-04 08:18:21	will trump praise vladimir putin by june 30	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xc9c9ce…
06-04 02:59:22	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xc41be9…
06-04 02:59:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	Yes	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xe8097c…
06-04 02:33:57	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xc601e9…
06-04 01:01:49	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xb780c2…
06-03 18:26:27	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x7496cc…
06-03 16:06:30	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x4d81bf…
06-03 11:46:36	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x291784…
06-03 11:30:04	Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?	No	BUY	26	41¢	$10	0xa6b544…
06-03 08:23:35	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xec99a3…
06-03 06:41:07	Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc031cb…
06-02 22:37:04	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x7c4a5c…
06-02 18:10:04	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x427839…
06-02 16:56:54	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xc5789e…
06-02 15:47:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x0fb5ad…
06-02 09:43:02	Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x825a82…
06-02 09:24:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x69d6e5…
06-02 09:14:47	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x3e2bba…
06-02 08:45:30	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xee79d5…
06-02 08:45:30	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ef88d…
06-02 08:45:28	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd6bbf2…
06-02 08:45:28	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8e9c40…
06-02 08:45:28	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8472e3…
06-02 08:45:28	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x82edd2…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb345a…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd3a51d…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5e7d0c…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3b61e0…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x11c8ac…
06-02 08:45:26	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x02ae32…
06-02 08:45:24	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf7a752…
06-02 08:45:24	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd1d9b3…
06-02 08:45:24	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8f84ec…
06-02 08:45:24	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x7f6652…