Shameful-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

888

Trades

2,825

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 11-01 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

80% 37% -$468

Sports

7% 31% +$442

Crypto

6% 61% -$63

Politics

5% 44% -$31

Tech

1% 14% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+40	$21	94¢	$37	+$16	06-04 08:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-8	-$2	38¢	$-3	-$1	06-03 11:45
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	+40	$20	6¢	$3	-$17	06-05 21:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	06-30 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	13	$341	500	300	+200	No	-$15	06-01 19:42
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	24	$333	347	330	+17	Jakub Mensik	+$21	05-31 21:26
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	21	$247	461	228	+233	Baltimore Orioles	+$436	05-30 22:56
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	25	$227	1,443	181	+1,262	Philadelphia Phillies	+$99	05-31 05:10
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	19	$191	253	170	+83	No	-$4	07-26 00:12
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	16	$154	1,977	69	+1,908	Elina Svitolina	-$39	05-31 13:21
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	18	$152	228	104	+124	Yes	-$8	07-09 15:57
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	14	$144	2,271	73	+2,198	Marta Kostyuk	-$38	05-31 11:02
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	6	$143	131	131	+0	Yes	+$59	06-04 17:56
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	6	$140	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 23:27
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	28	$126	1,225	56	+1,170	Atlanta Braves	-$35	05-31 02:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?	5	$124	92	92	+0	Yes	-$1	06-01 19:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$123	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 17:30
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	15	$105	136	76	+60	Yes	-$8	07-29 06:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$105	150	114	+36	No	+$15	05-30 15:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	9	$92	139	37	+101	Yes	-$4	08-16 08:46
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?	8	$92	113	82	+31	Yes	-$4	07-23 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 24?	21	$90	147	19	+128	No	+$0	08-23 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 12?	14	$89	174	46	+128	No	-$4	08-11 15:11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	8	$88	162	46	+115	Yes	-$6	06-02 15:47
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	7	$81	103	103	+0	No	+$20	06-04 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	16	$76	137	16	+121	Yes	$0	08-11 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?	17	$75	144	50	+94	No	+$4	08-11 03:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?	13	$74	100	43	+57	No	+$2	08-17 18:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14?	13	$74	124	31	+93	No	+$0	08-13 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 13?	12	$73	85	85	+0	Yes	-$5	08-12 16:51
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	5	$72	100	100	+0	No	-$15	06-01 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 14?	14	$72	208	130	+78	No	+$7	08-13 16:16
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	10	$72	95	65	+30	No	-$5	07-29 06:55
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	13	$70	60	45	+15	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$14	05-30 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe15db8…
11-01 06:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x9621a9…
11-01 06:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xaa01a0…
11-01 06:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x793971…
11-01 06:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xd6bf0e…
11-01 06:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7ca972…
11-01 05:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x1ff339…
11-01 04:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5a548b…
11-01 04:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x513585…
11-01 04:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xfba7de…
11-01 04:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xd1faed…
11-01 03:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8b643f…
11-01 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0x6007e6…
11-01 02:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x9c3d12…
11-01 02:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x077e1e…
11-01 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xe1a127…
11-01 01:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x59795c…
10-31 23:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x35693a…
10-31 23:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb0556d…
10-31 22:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xb63837…
10-31 22:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xdf7666…
10-31 21:01:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x93ad42…
10-31 20:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x17171f…
10-31 19:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x165e2a…
10-31 19:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xa007dc…
10-31 18:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf565ab…
10-31 17:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xa00e34…
10-31 14:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x7082ab…
10-31 14:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x5ce2ae…
10-31 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x076950…
10-31 12:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd5aa0e…
10-31 01:00:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x4ace52…
10-31 01:00:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x1268e4…
10-31 00:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x749fe7…
10-31 00:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x3418b1…
10-30 22:01:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x74ec6d…
10-30 22:01:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x588baa…
10-30 22:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb05d59…
10-30 22:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x63802c…
10-30 21:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x1bf75a…
10-30 21:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x86a137…
10-30 19:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xe030b2…
10-30 19:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd7e8bb…
10-30 17:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x15a712…
10-30 16:55:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x4da540…
10-30 13:53:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xb56007…
10-30 13:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xb59cc3…
10-30 13:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x637422…
10-30 13:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x7707c2…
10-30 11:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01e15a…
10-30 11:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xc2093a…
10-30 01:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x43b97d…
10-30 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x7e8fb2…
10-30 00:03:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x1f7134…
10-30 00:02:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb196ef…
10-29 23:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xb30736…
10-29 23:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x1af217…
10-29 23:00:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x83259d…
10-29 22:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x425d41…
10-29 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5da3bc…
10-29 21:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x9a2807…
10-29 19:53:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x9adda7…
10-29 19:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x9ed40f…
10-29 17:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xa82c1b…
10-29 17:03:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x986394…
10-29 17:03:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x00c5bc…
10-29 02:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1c1664…
10-29 02:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe88ab0…
10-29 02:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xbf7078…
10-29 02:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5b93a3…
10-29 01:21:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x0dd91a…
10-28 22:01:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x49a46f…
10-28 22:01:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa5e3ff…
10-28 20:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xa6a435…
10-28 19:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x6816ec…
10-28 19:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x19798e…
10-28 17:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6dee0b…
10-28 17:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd18071…
10-28 03:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xc9290f…
10-28 03:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x73419a…
10-28 02:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7e7652…
10-28 02:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7d3a9b…
10-28 02:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x27b170…
10-28 02:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xbd5a51…
10-28 01:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xf87f69…
10-27 23:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x47f966…
10-27 23:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf52c8a…
10-27 22:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0xecd18c…
10-27 19:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x5f4761…
10-27 17:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x86f031…
10-27 15:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xbdf029…
10-27 15:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xed360f…
10-27 13:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x7971f6…
10-27 13:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe94b99…
10-27 09:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x3e7352…
10-27 04:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x81b2a8…
10-27 04:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbb1516…
10-26 22:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x0808c2…
10-26 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x35062b…
10-26 20:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xee08f3…