Cultivated-Legacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.61K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

4,811

Trades

12,134

lifetime

Volume

$160.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-29 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% +$2,606

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+30	$29	98¢	$29	$0	10-11 15:51
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+30	$12	26¢	$8	-$4	09-02 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	20	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$4	07-03 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 14?	8	$621	314	314	+0	No	+$6	06-14 04:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 28?	4	$432	217	217	+0	No	+$2	06-28 06:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?	5	$382	200	200	+0	Yes	+$10	06-23 03:41
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 23?	18	$323	165	165	+0	No	+$6	06-24 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 5?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	07-05 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14?	3	$260	133	133	+0	No	+$5	06-14 04:11
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 80 81f	17	$257	135	135	+0	No	+$7	03-27 11:00
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	15	$251	198	198	+0	Yes	+$45	03-27 23:44
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 23?	8	$250	130	130	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 03:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 30?	4	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$1	06-30 16:03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 27?	3	$207	106	106	+0	Yes	+$3	06-28 02:47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on June 21?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	06-20 02:58
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 19?	14	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	06-20 04:55
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 22?	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$4	06-23 03:46
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 23?	4	$194	209	0	+209	No	-$194	06-24 03:37
highest temperature in chicago on march 30 2026 76forhigher	18	$184	168	96	+72	Yes	+$20	03-31 00:32
highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 60 61f	6	$172	88	88	+0	No	+$4	03-27 04:56
highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	18	$164	86	95	-9	Yes	+$16	04-05 21:00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 23?	4	$163	84	84	+0	Yes	+$4	06-24 03:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 10?	4	$159	130	30	+100	No	+$1	06-10 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 5?	3	$157	80	80	+0	No	+$3	05-06 05:23
highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 15c	6	$156	80	80	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 09:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 59forbelow	8	$156	84	83	+0	Yes	+$11	04-02 18:13
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 22?	9	$155	80	80	+0	No	+$5	06-23 01:35
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 70 71f	5	$151	77	77	+0	No	+$2	03-27 05:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	8	$151	142	35	+107	Yes	+$24	03-31 03:28
highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 62 63f	4	$148	75	75	+0	No	+$2	03-27 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	3	$139	100	40	+60	Yes	+$1	05-25 13:53
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 30?	3	$139	70	70	+0	No	+$1	06-30 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:37:41	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xc312d8…
10-29 17:37:41	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x8541f9…
10-29 16:22:22	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0xb88f31…
10-29 16:22:22	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x69518d…
10-24 11:34:09	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x43f885…
10-22 11:37:18	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0xb40af5…
10-21 03:35:56	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9b20a6…
10-17 02:29:59	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea472e…
10-15 15:49:44	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0dad8f…
10-15 15:34:40	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xb39680…
10-11 15:51:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x166bbf…
10-02 13:55:30	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x46895a…
10-02 12:32:39	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1e131b…
10-02 10:33:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x363b46…
10-02 10:33:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x77ec7d…
09-22 06:33:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x650680…
09-21 18:36:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x37a087…
09-21 16:20:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2cae9e…
09-21 15:18:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x071128…
09-18 07:03:55	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdd5d65…
09-07 07:08:28	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xb20648…
09-05 14:22:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb86f31…
09-05 14:06:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x6d68f7…
09-05 11:05:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x16ff0b…
09-02 23:01:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x09646a…
09-02 19:44:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xcfba7a…
09-02 09:07:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd0fa37…
09-02 05:01:01	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xeee300…
09-02 05:01:01	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe6715f…
09-02 05:00:54	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x1e9820…
09-02 05:00:52	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3cebd7…
09-01 05:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 1?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x978418…
09-01 05:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xff0d7f…
09-01 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x313257…
09-01 04:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x36409f…
09-01 04:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2002b1…
09-01 04:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$4	0x4a98a2…
09-01 04:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x9c20ec…
09-01 04:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x935387…
09-01 04:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc86b46…
09-01 04:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x0823d6…
09-01 04:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x9c758f…
09-01 04:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 1?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7ed809…
09-01 04:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x563c8d…
09-01 04:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1b7b0d…
09-01 04:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xabcd9f…
09-01 04:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3dc2e2…
09-01 04:01:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xdd9b3a…
09-01 04:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xccfaf3…
09-01 04:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee3d9f…
09-01 04:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9c85cc…
09-01 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x03f6d5…
09-01 03:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe32dad…
09-01 03:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc66576…
09-01 03:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf3cfd7…
09-01 03:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x170765…
09-01 02:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 1?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe3d82a…
08-31 19:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd7c65b…
08-31 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x04a992…
08-31 18:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4f1a5c…
08-31 18:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x726ec2…
08-31 18:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6d4709…
08-31 16:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xfe4df9…
08-31 16:13:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8e1d76…
08-31 16:13:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xbff99b…
08-31 16:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x345a2e…
08-31 15:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdabe22…
08-31 15:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4ca003…
08-31 15:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9ca35f…
08-31 15:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfc47a3…
08-31 13:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2ff501…
08-31 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x41580e…
08-31 13:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x754789…
08-31 13:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x41a18b…
08-31 13:31:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xd92eed…
08-31 13:29:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x3d3cbf…
08-31 13:26:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xcf5cc4…
08-31 13:26:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xd88e08…
08-31 13:26:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x0289ee…
08-31 13:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf80fd4…
08-31 12:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb79c6f…
08-31 11:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x754a9f…
08-31 11:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd3ea63…
08-31 11:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x78cd97…
08-31 11:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xdfdc69…
08-31 11:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xdb56dd…
08-31 11:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xaec0c1…
08-31 11:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc6e09e…
08-31 11:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x06ffe8…
08-31 11:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x3fd5b9…
08-31 11:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x73cc22…
08-31 11:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xeb41e8…
08-31 10:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x97cfd4…
08-31 10:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x552494…
08-31 10:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x379873…
08-31 10:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x3da1fe…
08-31 10:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe15145…
08-31 10:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 31?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xae1c76…
08-31 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 31?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xd578f2…
08-31 05:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 31?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x342764…