Harmonious-Revascularization — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$198

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,301 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$281.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$217

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-25 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

79% 95% +$4,031

Crypto

19% 56% +$5,451

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+102	$100	100¢	$102	+$2	07-21 05:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	19	$11.3K	6,011	6,011	+0	Yes	+$414	05-27 18:30
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	5	$11.1K	5,587	5,587	+0	Up	+$43	06-12 13:30
spx up or down on june 9 2026	11	$9.6K	4,852	4,852	+0	Down	+$17	06-09 19:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	12	$9.4K	6,627	3,632	+2,994	Yes	+$314	06-15 07:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	5	$7.8K	3,936	3,936	+0	Down	+$33	06-03 13:30
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	6	$7.7K	3,837	3,837	+0	Up	+$7	06-11 13:29
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	9	$6.1K	3,080	3,080	+0	Down	+$19	06-04 13:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	2	$5.7K	2,900	2,900	+0	Yes	+$84	05-31 22:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	14	$5.7K	2,992	2,992	+0	Yes	+$197	06-26 18:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	7	$4.6K	3,275	3,275	-0	Down	+$1,011	05-21 10:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$4.6K	2,333	2,333	+0	No	+$85	05-30 01:21
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	4	$4.5K	2,366	2,366	+0	Down	+$37	06-10 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	12	$4.2K	2,111	2,111	+0	Down	+$15	06-02 13:30
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	7	$4.0K	2,195	2,195	+0	Yes	-$241	06-18 18:31
will spy dip to 730 by june 1 2026	2	$3.6K	1,836	1,836	+0	No	+$22	06-05 19:57
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	9	$3.6K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	05-30 08:31
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?	3	$3.5K	1,742	1,742	+0	No	+$12	06-12 15:43
spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	12	$3.5K	3,511	0	+3,511	Down	+$45	07-13 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	3	$3.4K	1,724	1,724	+0	Up	+$50	05-28 19:39
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$3.3K	3,361	0	+3,361	Yes	+$34	06-12 20:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	5	$3.3K	1,673	1,673	+0	Up	+$40	05-08 13:30
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	4	$3.2K	1,625	1,625	-0	Down	+$49	06-05 15:07
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$3.1K	1,573	1,573	+0	No	+$46	06-05 19:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$2.7K	2,752	0	+2,752	Yes	+$9	06-16 15:55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$2.7K	1,348	1,348	+0	Down	+$12	05-15 19:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	18	$2.6K	1,347	1,347	+0	Up	+$80	05-26 19:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	5	$2.6K	2,252	2,252	+0	Down	+$113	06-03 13:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	+$48	05-15 21:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	2	$2.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	-$1	05-15 20:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	7	$2.2K	1,107	1,107	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	412	52¢	$214	0x0ece04…
10-25 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x6c3bb0…
10-25 21:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xbd3988…
10-25 21:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	405	31¢	$127	0x299ff4…
10-25 21:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0xf4c722…
10-25 21:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6753a8…
10-25 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xc6c990…
10-25 21:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd1f772…
10-25 21:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x2815ad…
10-25 21:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x0a1d59…
10-25 20:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	348	66¢	$230	0x440139…
10-25 20:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xda4a85…
10-25 20:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xede80c…
10-25 20:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xb0e8f3…
10-25 20:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	278	89¢	$247	0xeb4523…
10-25 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x7a0ace…
10-25 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3edad7…
10-25 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0x207ce0…
10-25 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	332	57¢	$189	0x12a112…
10-25 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x092a84…
10-25 20:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x7110c1…
10-25 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xc45f06…
10-25 20:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0xf27102…
10-25 20:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x7c9232…
10-25 18:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	154	72¢	$111	0x9370cd…
10-25 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xfbf393…
10-24 13:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	263	89¢	$234	0x4e54b4…
10-24 13:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x6a8f46…
10-24 13:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xac3284…
10-24 13:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xceb6fc…
10-24 13:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	149	57¢	$85	0x9bfded…
10-24 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6b4c41…
10-23 21:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	333	35¢	$116	0x80df08…
10-23 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x680011…
10-23 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x23d293…
10-23 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	678	77¢	$522	0xdcc57b…
10-23 21:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd694e3…
10-23 21:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x50e141…
10-23 21:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa63329…
10-23 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xf95885…
10-23 21:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb1872e…
10-23 20:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe382a3…
10-23 20:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	317	55¢	$175	0x0121f5…
10-23 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x0da3b9…
10-23 20:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x070053…
10-23 20:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	350	85¢	$297	0xd217fc…
10-23 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x58e44d…
10-23 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x111e5f…
10-11 11:27:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	320	46¢	$147	0x3dc2c4…
10-11 11:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	526	79¢	$414	0x280719…
10-11 11:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x37be21…
10-11 11:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xc8a7be…
10-11 11:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x0baba9…
10-11 11:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbe5dc0…
10-11 11:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x3a1123…
10-11 00:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdc5b8f…
10-11 00:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	257	1¢	$3	0x4f0f8b…
10-11 00:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xc3e171…
10-11 00:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	175	10¢	$17	0x056ceb…
10-11 00:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x21bd65…
10-11 00:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	520	21¢	$109	0x32501a…
10-11 00:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	520	19¢	$100	0xb07bd3…
10-10 23:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5386ce…
10-10 23:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xfe803f…
10-10 23:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6acc51…
10-10 23:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5e08f7…
10-10 23:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xfea082…
10-10 23:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x7be0c9…
10-10 23:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2aea5a…
10-10 23:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0xbfe7c4…
10-10 23:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xbf7e21…
10-10 22:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xccfa61…
10-10 22:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	272	44¢	$120	0x7be8c3…
10-10 22:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x689d0a…
10-10 22:32:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x027269…
10-10 22:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x28dcdd…
10-10 22:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x0eca0d…
10-10 22:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x0525bf…
10-10 22:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	179	34¢	$60	0x6260fa…
10-10 22:20:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x55dd31…
10-10 10:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	238	16¢	$38	0x8fac14…
10-10 10:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x534d2f…
09-27 19:50:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	213	36¢	$77	0x674afe…
09-27 19:48:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x3a757e…
09-27 18:36:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	303	43¢	$129	0xb3984d…
09-27 18:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x64b24c…
09-27 17:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf2c3e4…
09-27 17:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6451b4…
09-27 10:08:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x95cb21…
09-27 09:20:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2f1c42…
09-26 14:09:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xd889fd…
09-26 14:09:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xc029cf…
09-26 14:09:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x9c59f7…
09-21 04:37:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 15-21?	Yes	SELL	379	99¢	$375	0x223335…
09-20 13:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	500	29¢	$144	0xcb9750…
09-20 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x2c4c4f…
09-20 13:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x356ddf…
09-20 12:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1ff50d…
09-20 12:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8fe77e…
09-20 12:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x210c1d…