Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

202

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$1.08K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-12 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 86% -$86

Other

42% 60% +$1,031

Tech

10% 100% +$75

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-1,115	-$1,034	97¢	$-1084	-$51	08-12 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$4.7K	2,866	2,866	+0	Yes	+$788	01-30 00:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$1.8K	938	938	+0	Yes	+$75	03-14 14:21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$1.0K	0	1,115	-1,115	open	—	08-12 04:26
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	1	$945	0	954	-954	No	-$9	01-20 16:54
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	2	$921	472	472	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 12:35
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	1	$461	461	0	+461	Down	+$0	03-23 06:47
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	5	$455	1,489	946	+544	Yes	+$230	01-19 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:15 UTC	2	$200	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	03-19 07:29
bitcoin up or down february 28 7am et	2	$114	57	57	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:45 UTC	2	$105	53	53	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:15 UTC	2	$102	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	2	$100	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:45 UTC	2	$98	52	52	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 06:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:30 UTC	2	$96	48	48	+0	Down	+$0	02-28 06:44
bitcoin up or down february 27 10pm et	2	$96	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 02:00 UTC	2	$94	47	47	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 02:13
ethereum up or down february 27 8pm et	2	$94	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	02-28 01:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC	2	$93	47	47	+0	Up	+$0	02-27 15:14
bitcoin up or down february 27 9am et	2	$93	47	47	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 14:57
ethereum up or down february 27 9am et	2	$92	46	46	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 14:55
bitcoin up or down february 27 7am et	2	$91	46	46	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 12:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 12:15 UTC	8	$89	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	02-27 12:30
ethereum up or down february 27 6am et	3	$88	44	44	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 11:55
bitcoin up or down february 27 6am et	2	$88	44	44	+0	Down	+$1	02-27 11:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 10:45 UTC	2	$85	43	43	+0	Down	+$1	02-27 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC	2	$84	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 09:30 UTC	3	$83	42	42	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 09:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:30 UTC	2	$83	42	42	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 04:41
bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	2	$82	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 09:58
bitcoin up or down february 26 7pm et	2	$82	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 04:26:19	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1,115	93¢	$1,034	0x613b03…
08-01 08:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe464ee…
07-31 15:58:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1ff347…
07-29 13:57:14	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa77e7e…
07-15 16:46:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	46	31¢	$15	0x2abdab…
04-15 15:01:00	highest temperature in taipei on april 16 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x26c60b…
03-31 07:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x50e68f…
03-31 07:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x60f86d…
03-31 06:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x914c8b…
03-31 06:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xcfd5eb…
03-31 06:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xce4e3e…
03-31 05:04:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd8e7de…
03-31 04:34:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x888914…
03-31 02:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x2d1b47…
03-31 02:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x8b71f0…
03-30 12:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xecc1a6…
03-30 12:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x58514d…
03-30 12:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x2a834a…
03-30 12:29:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x10d98e…
03-30 10:44:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9622cb…
03-30 10:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb4c36c…
03-30 10:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0ec442…
03-30 10:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4dc877…
03-30 08:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x3671e2…
03-30 08:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x0e4349…
03-30 08:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xc84881…
03-30 08:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x80e561…
03-30 07:57:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9a9615…
03-30 07:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x37df1b…
03-30 06:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbab0a6…
03-30 05:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xec4295…
03-30 05:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x47bd77…
03-29 14:24:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6d1857…
03-29 05:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x70a709…
03-29 04:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x8ccbb8…
03-29 03:54:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d170d…
03-29 03:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2f69d7…
03-29 03:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd177aa…
03-29 00:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfba56e…
03-28 03:58:33	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdd842c…
03-28 03:55:01	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x705a6e…
03-25 10:51:07	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8502ad…
03-25 10:48:13	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x93d8d3…
03-23 06:47:53	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	461	100¢	$461	0xa2acde…
03-22 12:35:53	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	472	98¢	$461	0xee4a06…
03-22 12:33:13	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	472	97¢	$460	0xb38e48…
03-19 07:43:43	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8abf36…
03-19 07:37:19	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8d9ed0…
03-19 07:29:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6481f0…
03-19 07:29:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73f4b7…
03-14 14:21:33	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	938	99¢	$925	0x6a2077…
03-01 15:59:29	ethereum up or down march 1 10am et	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xbbbd9e…
03-01 15:53:57	ethereum up or down march 1 10am et	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x96e6b0…
03-01 13:58:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc1c1f5…
03-01 13:53:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x947136…
03-01 09:58:07	bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xae365e…
03-01 09:47:41	bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	Down	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x943b1a…
03-01 09:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x81f74f…
03-01 09:39:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3cd6c6…
03-01 07:56:25	ethereum up or down march 1 2am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x17854c…
03-01 07:54:17	ethereum up or down march 1 2am et	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb71f77…
03-01 07:52:47	bitcoin up or down march 1 2am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xde84c5…
03-01 07:46:59	bitcoin up or down march 1 2am et	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x78420b…
03-01 06:55:33	ethereum up or down march 1 1am et	Down	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x109bc4…
03-01 06:51:15	ethereum up or down march 1 1am et	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x79af04…
02-28 16:59:27	ethereum up or down february 28 11am et	Up	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x83e600…
02-28 16:59:23	ethereum up or down february 28 11am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe82d40…
02-28 16:57:23	ethereum up or down february 28 11am et	Up	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x134cba…
02-28 16:57:03	bitcoin up or down february 28 11am et	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xa572e2…
02-28 16:48:53	bitcoin up or down february 28 11am et	Up	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x1fe4c7…
02-28 15:57:55	ethereum up or down february 28 10am et	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf19be4…
02-28 15:57:55	ethereum up or down february 28 10am et	Up	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1323b4…
02-28 15:55:31	ethereum up or down february 28 10am et	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xd31b7c…
02-28 15:55:07	bitcoin up or down february 28 10am et	Up	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x9bf9c9…
02-28 15:48:59	bitcoin up or down february 28 10am et	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0xcb5a40…
02-28 13:42:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x985960…
02-28 13:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	94	61¢	$57	0x36850f…
02-28 12:58:39	bitcoin up or down february 28 7am et	Up	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x1788fd…
02-28 12:58:21	bitcoin up or down february 28 7am et	Up	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x93aede…
02-28 08:57:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xb61ff5…
02-28 08:12:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x5dd43f…
02-28 07:59:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x86030a…
02-28 07:57:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xc28945…
02-28 07:40:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xb789ee…
02-28 07:29:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x09c164…
02-28 07:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x907488…
02-28 07:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x34a57e…
02-28 07:07:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb05a41…
02-28 06:53:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x489320…
02-28 06:52:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x396c4b…
02-28 06:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x5ddee5…
02-28 06:43:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x97fce7…
02-28 03:56:13	bitcoin up or down february 27 10pm et	Down	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x06f088…
02-28 03:47:19	bitcoin up or down february 27 10pm et	Down	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x277fd1…
02-28 02:13:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x87cb4d…
02-28 02:12:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xf62aa0…
02-28 01:57:57	ethereum up or down february 27 8pm et	Down	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x19e98c…
02-28 01:57:15	ethereum up or down february 27 8pm et	Down	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x638fca…
02-27 15:14:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x783b08…
02-27 15:11:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x20cbd1…