Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

301

Trades

2,414

lifetime

Volume

$981.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$407

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-23 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

67% 48% -$37,960

Other

29% 45% +$4,689

Crypto

4% 27% -$347

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	77	$116.8K	119,509	97,498	+22,011	Yes	-$33,084	02-28 07:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	95	$66.3K	69,046	69,046	+0	Yes	+$993	02-27 07:04
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	29	$41.8K	30,876	32,543	-1,667	Yes	+$970	02-27 12:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	41	$39.0K	32,181	32,181	+0	No	+$2,224	01-25 14:53
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	26	$37.3K	19,862	19,862	+0	No	+$491	02-24 21:16
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	36	$31.5K	26,512	29,892	-3,380	Yes	+$2,201	02-27 07:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$30.8K	19,551	19,550	+0	No	-$886	01-11 17:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	33	$30.5K	21,722	22,452	-730	No	+$306	01-13 19:27
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	32	$28.9K	29,102	29,102	+0	No	+$7,368	03-21 11:17
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$28.8K	17,121	17,121	+0	No	+$1,023	02-05 20:29
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	71	$28.7K	39,382	40,264	-882	Yes	+$21	02-27 20:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	25	$25.0K	19,352	19,352	+0	Yes	-$303	02-16 08:29
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	64	$24.1K	23,021	23,725	-704	No	+$1,892	02-28 07:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	29	$23.1K	19,380	19,380	+0	Yes	-$358	02-27 12:26
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	20	$20.8K	16,101	12,045	+4,056	No	+$121	01-16 22:16
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	64	$18.9K	18,378	18,023	+355	No	-$689	02-01 19:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$15.0K	32,298	0	+32,298	Yes	-$15,045	03-23 19:57
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	71	$14.7K	11,730	11,576	+154	No	+$2,616	03-02 16:34
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	32	$13.1K	9,361	9,361	+0	No	+$1,350	02-27 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$12.8K	11,489	9,744	+1,745	Yes	-$985	02-22 09:24
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	48	$12.3K	11,585	11,585	+0	Yes	+$1,247	02-03 20:36
iran strike on israel by february 28	41	$12.1K	45,684	45,684	+0	Yes	-$4,371	02-28 10:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	17	$11.8K	10,651	10,651	+0	Yes	-$107	02-27 12:26
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	31	$11.8K	8,990	9,181	-190	No	+$621	02-02 18:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	7	$11.0K	14,340	14,340	+0	Yes	+$280	03-23 19:53
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	37	$10.7K	8,830	7,015	+1,816	No	+$1,705	02-19 07:17
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	30	$9.5K	9,616	9,775	-159	No	+$567	03-01 17:13
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	36	$8.8K	7,891	7,875	+17	No	+$957	02-10 08:44
will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	23	$8.0K	4,754	6,584	-1,831	No	+$573	02-28 05:39
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	41	$7.7K	12,897	12,897	+0	Yes	-$1,790	02-27 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-23 19:57:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5,751	56¢	$3,221	0x7263bb…
03-23 19:55:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb649a4…
03-23 19:53:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	8,445	39¢	$3,277	0xd3b54a…
03-21 11:20:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,276	45¢	$574	0x0a5455…
03-21 11:19:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	2,496	23¢	$574	0x625c28…
03-21 11:17:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11,351	45¢	$5,108	0x4c9aa6…
03-21 11:17:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	6,385	80¢	$5,108	0x00e287…
03-20 18:52:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,612	42¢	$1,937	0x0a6bea…
03-20 18:52:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2,483	78¢	$1,937	0x480525…
03-20 08:09:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7,764	46¢	$3,572	0xb9e6e8…
03-20 08:09:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	4,775	75¢	$3,572	0xf91b0a…
03-19 20:18:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	4,471	37¢	$1,666	0xa44b61…
03-19 20:18:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2,221	75¢	$1,666	0x4cf1a9…
03-19 20:18:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	3,975	37¢	$1,471	0xf76237…
03-19 20:17:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	1,961	75¢	$1,471	0xf03477…
03-19 15:07:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,443	40¢	$577	0xafe148…
03-19 15:04:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0x2972c2…
03-19 15:04:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x17015f…
03-19 15:04:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xacd78c…
03-19 15:04:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x9bfc05…
03-19 15:04:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2d44bb…
03-19 15:04:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	38	25¢	$10	0x29ef8f…
03-19 15:04:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x04f840…
03-19 15:04:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	148	25¢	$37	0x6ba114…
03-19 15:04:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc1c47a…
03-19 15:04:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x789342…
03-19 15:04:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x52c54f…
03-19 15:04:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	77	25¢	$19	0x3ec571…
03-19 15:04:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x33be47…
03-19 15:04:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfb4751…
03-19 15:04:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7e94bc…
03-19 15:04:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x39b0a2…
03-19 15:04:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x2959b5…
03-19 15:04:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1c9be2…
03-19 15:03:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7cc7e9…
03-19 15:03:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	1,550	76¢	$1,184	0x736a00…
03-13 11:16:17	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	SELL	1,220	1¢	$18	0xf9100d…
03-12 21:06:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	807	74¢	$597	0x6bae2d…
03-12 21:06:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2,444	38¢	$929	0x15e178…
03-12 08:37:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2,444	45¢	$1,100	0x3c19bf…
03-12 08:37:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,486	74¢	$1,100	0x75e98f…
03-12 08:36:27	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	252	16¢	$40	0x860026…
03-12 08:36:05	will russia capture hryshyne by april 30 2026 647 522	No	SELL	487	8¢	$40	0xc87779…
03-11 10:20:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,486	65¢	$966	0xa0d759…
03-11 10:18:57	will russia capture hryshyne by april 30 2026 647 522	No	BUY	487	10¢	$50	0xf4b626…
03-11 10:17:55	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	720	42¢	$300	0x59344b…
03-11 10:17:29	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x45b896…
03-11 09:40:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	3,451	41¢	$1,415	0x9f33d0…
03-09 14:34:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	3,451	32¢	$1,104	0xc9f673…
03-09 14:32:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	3,158	44¢	$1,400	0x8fb7ea…
03-09 14:32:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	930	43¢	$400	0x82bfb1…
03-09 14:31:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	3,737	78¢	$2,904	0xc3dfc4…
03-09 09:29:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	685	49¢	$336	0x28b9c5…
03-09 09:28:23	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	415	81¢	$336	0x003c16…
03-09 09:27:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	466	49¢	$226	0x634da0…
03-09 07:55:09	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	277	68¢	$188	0x1b38ae…
03-09 01:38:17	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x54361f…
03-09 01:38:17	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x3ef2f1…
03-09 01:38:15	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0xb9f262…
03-05 19:43:21	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	4,153	76¢	$3,151	0x919517…
03-05 19:40:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2,771	43¢	$1,200	0x551eec…
03-05 19:36:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2,285	39¢	$900	0xc4700c…
03-05 19:36:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,784	36¢	$644	0x99a000…
03-05 19:19:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x600be8…
03-05 19:18:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x44fbc9…
03-05 19:10:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	133	34¢	$45	0x23fc6f…
03-05 19:08:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x03f29d…
03-05 19:05:15	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	2,477	87¢	$2,157	0x7bddf8…
03-05 19:04:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,249	32¢	$400	0x7de5dd…
03-05 19:04:21	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	SELL	1,959	27¢	$520	0x5063c5…
03-05 18:59:37	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	1,959	31¢	$600	0x2476b4…
03-05 18:59:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2,170	26¢	$568	0xe33207…
03-05 18:57:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	2,893	28¢	$824	0x7d202c…
03-05 18:57:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	3,857	31¢	$1,197	0x324afc…
03-05 18:56:57	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	SELL	2,423	72¢	$1,747	0xb07117…
03-05 18:24:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2,033	37¢	$743	0xa93926…
03-05 18:23:53	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	826	90¢	$743	0x92f6fa…
03-04 04:41:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	823	27¢	$222	0x462db4…
03-04 04:41:07	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	331	67¢	$221	0xbd0972…
03-03 14:41:39	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	536	15¢	$82	0x3e9bc9…
03-03 14:40:55	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	165	50¢	$82	0xc90e45…
03-03 14:40:07	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	1,887	22¢	$414	0x82917a…
03-03 14:39:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	829	50¢	$414	0x9d7a83…
03-03 14:39:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2,337	10¢	$239	0x6e4122…
03-03 14:39:27	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	276	64¢	$178	0xb6e16b…
03-03 12:30:13	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	87	71¢	$61	0x99c841…
03-03 11:40:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	457	38¢	$174	0x9be765…
03-03 11:39:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	350	47¢	$164	0xe19584…
03-03 09:53:57	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x055cc8…
03-03 05:04:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	1,139	37¢	$424	0xc34776…
03-03 05:04:21	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	652	65¢	$424	0x2fc28f…
03-03 05:03:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	328	37¢	$121	0xb4ae9c…
03-03 05:03:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	208	48¢	$100	0x0a274a…
03-03 05:02:45	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xeeb347…
03-03 05:01:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	363	37¢	$134	0xc22a33…
03-03 05:01:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	625	21¢	$131	0xf79fe6…
03-02 20:04:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	410	41¢	$168	0x54ef8f…
03-02 20:03:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x903e83…
03-02 20:03:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xbdca29…
03-02 20:02:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	462	49¢	$227	0x763f55…