Silent-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-30 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 31% $-1,177

Other

14% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.0K	516	516	+0	open	—	04-09 22:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$597	321	321	+0	open	—	03-31 11:04
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?	4	$459	272	272	+0	open	—	04-22 23:15
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$438	224	224	+0	open	—	03-26 22:27
btc updown 5m 1774959900	1	$330	337	0	+337	open	—	03-31 12:29
highest temperature in warsaw on april 15 2026 15corhigher	3	$324	237	135	+102	open	—	04-14 01:20
will swim bts be the billboard 1 song for the week of april 4	2	$315	178	178	+0	open	—	03-27 12:18
btc updown 5m 1774959600	1	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	03-31 12:23
btc updown 5m 1774566000	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-26 23:04
btc updown 5m 1774890900	1	$200	204	0	+204	open	—	03-30 17:19
will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week 154	2	$198	102	102	+0	open	—	03-30 17:49
will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	17	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 11:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$168	169	169	+0	open	—	04-22 22:37
btc updown 5m 1774891500	1	$150	160	0	+160	open	—	03-30 17:27
btc updown 5m 1776127500	1	$140	287	0	+287	open	—	04-14 00:46
btc updown 5m 1776128100	1	$120	218	0	+218	open	—	04-14 00:55
btc updown 5m 1776126000	1	$120	258	0	+258	open	—	04-14 00:20
btc updown 5m 1776127200	1	$120	278	0	+278	open	—	04-14 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776129000	1	$110	277	0	+277	open	—	04-14 01:10
btc updown 5m 1774825200	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	03-29 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776120900	1	$100	250	0	+250	open	—	04-13 22:55
btc updown 5m 1781469900	1	$100	229	0	+229	open	—	06-14 20:45
btc updown 5m 1776900900	1	$100	254	0	+254	open	—	04-22 23:35
eth updown 5m 1781130300	1	$100	259	0	+259	open	—	06-10 22:26
btc updown 5m 1780782300	1	$100	400	0	+400	open	—	06-06 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	203	0	+203	Up	$-100	05-11 16:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$100	226	0	+226	Down	+$126	05-11 16:50
btc updown 5m 1776127800	1	$100	252	0	+252	open	—	04-14 00:50
btc updown 5m 1781709000	1	$100	250	0	+250	open	—	06-17 15:10
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$100	221	0	+221	Down	$-100	05-06 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 14:14:02	btc updown 5m 1782828600	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xf6e51f…
06-30 07:36:37	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x0925c0…
06-26 14:43:38	btc updown 5m 1782484800	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x7fa14c…
06-25 22:30:53	btc updown 5m 1782426600	Down	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xfa7e81…
06-25 14:45:23	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Up	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x0f21da…
06-25 14:40:50	btc updown 5m 1782398400	Up	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x9c8d59…
06-24 14:25:22	btc updown 5m 1782311100	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb13583…
06-23 09:45:46	btc updown 5m 1782207900	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xcd460a…
06-19 08:10:31	btc updown 5m 1781856600	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xbaede2…
06-17 15:25:17	btc updown 5m 1781709900	Down	BUY	186	52¢	$96	0x7df62e…
06-17 15:20:31	btc updown 5m 1781709600	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xf7f776…
06-17 15:15:56	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xcbc73f…
06-17 15:10:26	btc updown 5m 1781709000	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xb284a2…
06-17 15:00:17	btc updown 5m 1781708400	Up	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0x42db5f…
06-17 14:55:29	btc updown 5m 1781708100	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x949ac4…
06-16 21:16:41	btc updown 5m 1781644500	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0xca7a04…
06-16 19:50:44	btc updown 5m 1781639400	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3e1107…
06-16 19:47:47	btc updown 5m 1781639100	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xf9ee55…
06-16 15:10:53	btc updown 5m 1781622600	Down	BUY	260	39¢	$100	0x375759…
06-16 15:05:34	btc updown 5m 1781622300	Down	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x46b16f…
06-15 21:35:30	btc updown 5m 1781559300	Down	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0xde8c9b…
06-15 16:00:16	btc updown 5m 1781539200	Down	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x3d48b2…
06-15 15:55:42	btc updown 5m 1781538900	Down	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x9aabec…
06-15 15:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781538300	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x46ad40…
06-15 06:25:58	btc updown 5m 1781504700	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4b1116…
06-14 20:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781469900	Up	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x51bc01…
06-14 20:42:06	btc updown 5m 1781469600	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xb82d80…
06-14 20:27:49	eth updown 5m 1781468700	Up	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0xf83f5d…
06-12 14:55:45	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x1a2dd1…
06-11 18:10:51	eth updown 5m 1781201400	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x049f34…
06-11 15:05:28	eth updown 15m 1781190000	Up	BUY	154	39¢	$60	0x098f5a…
06-11 15:00:31	btc updown 5m 1781190000	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xab495d…
06-10 22:41:25	btc updown 5m 1781131200	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xeedcf4…
06-10 22:31:55	btc updown 5m 1781130600	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe590a9…
06-10 22:26:09	eth updown 5m 1781130300	Down	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0xde4832…
06-10 22:20:16	eth updown 5m 1781130000	Up	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x3cb853…
06-10 22:05:16	eth updown 5m 1781129100	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x4e5e21…
06-10 21:57:51	eth updown 5m 1781128500	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0x6a94ca…
06-10 14:26:36	eth updown 15m 1781100900	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x97fdb0…
06-10 14:23:58	btc updown 5m 1781101200	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xda03c0…
06-07 23:36:06	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x0c1564…
06-07 23:34:24	btc updown 5m 1780875000	Up	BUY	471	17¢	$80	0x45943e…
06-07 23:31:30	cs2 kol ast 2026 06 08	KOLESIE	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x23893e…
06-07 23:26:30	btc updown 5m 1780874700	Down	BUY	1,058	9¢	$95	0xe044e8…
06-07 23:20:52	btc updown 5m 1780874400	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x5be250…
06-07 23:15:51	btc updown 5m 1780874100	Up	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x2856c7…
06-07 23:10:46	btc updown 5m 1780873800	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x5b400a…
06-07 23:03:01	eth updown 5m 1780873200	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x68068c…
06-07 22:56:01	eth updown 5m 1780872900	Up	BUY	245	16¢	$40	0xc236c9…
06-07 22:45:25	cs2 kol ast 2026 06 08	KOLESIE	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x802fae…
06-06 21:46:36	btc updown 5m 1780782300	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x13fc2e…
06-06 21:42:34	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Down	BUY	221	18¢	$40	0x8657c5…
06-06 21:37:51	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x338ef5…
06-05 06:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780641000	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x2f6da1…
06-04 06:23:37	cs2 ence ent2 2026 06 04	ENCE	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x1f5f35…
06-03 06:25:46	Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Play-In	Young Ninjas	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x53ea0b…
06-02 09:35:41	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2b541c…
05-19 06:08:11	Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	Karan Singh	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x14c704…
05-11 19:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x7501d3…
05-11 18:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x713d9d…
05-11 18:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x6e8af2…
05-11 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x691f22…
05-11 17:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0xc3b8d7…
05-11 17:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x88cc7d…
05-11 16:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xc69db1…
05-11 16:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	425	24¢	$100	0x1c27e2…
05-11 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xe1cf63…
05-11 16:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0x14336b…
05-11 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	394	25¢	$100	0x54fe19…
05-11 15:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	161	48¢	$77	0x9d4af6…
05-11 15:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd61834…
05-11 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	247	41¢	$100	0x28a676…
05-09 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x9e54d4…
05-08 16:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf739a6…
05-08 16:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x0b4f9e…
05-08 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0xc7b4e4…
05-08 16:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0xed5fc0…
05-08 16:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xd47884…
05-08 15:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0xdd0212…
05-08 15:12:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0x81be88…
05-08 15:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x1cfc5c…
05-08 14:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb9d84a…
05-08 14:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	55¢	$93	0x15b85d…
05-08 14:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x4fad3a…
05-08 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	178	45¢	$80	0x911eee…
05-08 13:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0x62727b…
05-07 10:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x1d7475…
05-07 10:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x4eeaf4…
05-07 10:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x5dde0d…
05-07 10:01:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x6ee6c5…
05-07 09:54:32	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0xf613a7…
05-07 08:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0xcab132…
05-07 08:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0xef0715…
05-07 08:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x2e24d6…
05-07 08:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x597bf0…
05-07 08:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0x03984e…
05-07 07:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xbe75f6…
05-06 22:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x9e928f…
05-06 22:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xc3594d…
05-06 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x9ec195…