(anonymous) 0xab8918…3298e0
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Realized P&L
+$571
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
1,779
Trades
1,979
lifetime
Volume
$14.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$121
16 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 10-28 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
84% 61% +$582
Sports
10% 51% +$19
Politics
5% 54% -$22
Tech
0% 33% -$6
Crypto
0% 75% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +18 $10 86¢ $15 +$5 10-11 18:50
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +13 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 10-22 19:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 98¢ $12 +$2 10-22 19:21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 10-12 11:58
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 10-13 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-25 18:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-25 18:11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 $0 10-24 08:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +18 $10 52¢ $9 -$1 10-27 08:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +12 $8 76¢ $9 +$1 10-08 04:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14 $10 56¢ $8 -$2 10-26 21:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +11 $10 8¢ $1 -$9 10-14 03:26
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +22 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 10-10 01:44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +20 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 09-29 20:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +7 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-10 01:31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-30 20:11