Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 9?
open
Total volume
$555
$565 in 24h
Trades
78
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$32,042
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-11-09
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-08 10:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-33.5¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $186
vs crowd: 41% YES on $513)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $20 | $51 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $77 | $217 | $140 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $98 | $27 | +$71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $17 | $5 | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $15 | $171 | $157 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $44 | — | +$44 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 6 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $34 | $63 | $29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $73 | $61 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | +222 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 11-08 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-08 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +50 | $31 | $31 | 9 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | Yes | +46 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-08 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | No | +46 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 11-08 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1a4…7d62 | Yes | +43 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 11-08 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x77f0…2b1f | No | +43 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 11-08 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xab89…98e0 | Yes | +26 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cf3…fc86 | Yes | +25 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +25 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Competent-Detail 0x15e9…dacd | Yes | +25 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | +22 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-08 03:14 |
| Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | Yes | +22 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | No | +22 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 11-08 10:20 |
| Embarrassed-Killer 0xff39…b904 | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $23 | 3 | 11-08 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-08 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-08 05:29 |
| Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-08 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x58ce…7be2 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d58…3db0 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-08 06:36 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-08 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd0a…d1a7 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-07 14:36 |
| Fresh-Discretion 0x2f2b…6a39 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-07 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ea3…b7f3 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Loose-Country 0xae67…4414 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-08 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0737…5b91 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 10:05 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-08 10:20 |
| Grubby-Meeting 0x23fc…89f2 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd04e…122e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Mundane-Generosity 0xbfba…9774 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6d4…aa90 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 03:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 10:20:55 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x6e98d1… |
| 11-08 10:20:55 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x6e98d1… |
| 11-08 10:20:55 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x6e98d1… |
| 11-08 10:20:03 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x715498… |
| 11-08 10:20:03 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x715498… |
| 11-08 10:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x0737…5b91 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xae6712… |
| 11-08 10:05:25 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xae6712… |
| 11-08 07:56:03 | (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | No | BUY | 12 | 58¢ | $7 | 0x32c076… |
| 11-08 07:56:03 | (anonymous) 0xa1a4…7d62 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 42¢ | $6 | 0x32c076… |
| 11-08 07:56:03 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | No | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x32c076… |
| 11-08 07:41:03 | (anonymous) 0xa1a4…7d62 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 42¢ | $6 | 0xb5e1ec… |
| 11-08 07:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | No | BUY | 14 | 58¢ | $8 | 0xb5e1ec… |
| 11-08 07:26:04 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | No | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x39e8af… |
| 11-08 07:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xa1a4…7d62 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0x39e8af… |
| 11-08 06:36:09 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x07206c… |
| 11-08 06:36:09 | (anonymous) 0x77f0…2b1f | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x07206c… |
| 11-08 05:29:58 | Loose-Country 0xae67…4414 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x90eff2… |
| 11-08 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x77f0…2b1f | No | BUY | 38 | 61¢ | $23 | 0x90eff2… |
| 11-08 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x90eff2… |
| 11-08 05:29:58 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 39¢ | $6 | 0x90eff2… |
| 11-08 03:37:33 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | SELL | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x450a75… |
| 11-08 03:37:33 | (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x450a75… |
| 11-08 03:37:10 | Loose-Country 0xae67…4414 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x8943cd… |
| 11-08 03:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x8943cd… |
| 11-08 03:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x05dd44… |
| 11-08 03:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x9d58…3db0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x05dd44… |
| 11-08 03:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xf23342… |
| 11-08 03:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7f9e1d… |
| 11-08 03:37:04 | Grubby-Meeting 0x23fc…89f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xf23342… |
| 11-08 03:37:04 | Embarrassed-Killer 0xff39…b904 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x7f9e1d… |
| 11-08 03:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x7f9e1d… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | Mundane-Generosity 0xbfba…9774 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x8d6c7d… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | Yes | BUY | 22 | 39¢ | $9 | 0x2085e9… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | SELL | 26 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x69e723… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | (anonymous) 0xab89…98e0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x69e723… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x8d6c7d… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x2085e9… |
| 11-08 03:37:03 | Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x2085e9… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8b199f… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x572ab8… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x4ea3…b7f3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x8fd75e… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x8fd75e… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x8c758d… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xbd0a…d1a7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x4bba23… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xc4b2da… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xc4b2da… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xc4b2da… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x572ab8… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xbea712… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…122e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x137f0f… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xbea712… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x0f6d01… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xe3b955… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x137f0f… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x0f6d01… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0xe6d4…aa90 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xac8a6b… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xdde6b3… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | Competent-Detail 0x15e9…dacd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0xbea712… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 25 | 64¢ | $16 | 0xb0b7dd… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xe3b955… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x58ce…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x572ab8… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 9 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x4bba23… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x8b199f… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xdde6b3… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xac8a6b… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | These-Woodshed 0xd7b6…2ccd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x8c758d… |
| 11-08 03:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x5cf3…fc86 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 36¢ | $9 | 0xb0b7dd… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x03a4…92ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 39¢ | $15 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 38¢ | $9 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x75bf…870d | Yes | BUY | 46 | 38¢ | $17 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | BUY | 222 | 61¢ | $136 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-08 03:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xefaeb3… |
| 11-07 14:36:31 | Fresh-Discretion 0x2f2b…6a39 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x75b8cb… |
| 11-07 14:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x75b8cb… |